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Septerna, Inc. (SEPN) AI Stock Analysis

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SEPN

Septerna, Inc.

(NASDAQ:SEPN)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:$50.00â–²(2.97% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile financial performance (losses, sharp revenue swing, and current cash burn) despite a strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Offsetting this, technicals show solid bullish momentum with price above major moving averages and a positive MACD. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support, while recent corporate events add a modest positive pipeline/execution signal.

Positive Factors
Low Leverage and Financial FlexibilityLow leverage gives Septerna greater flexibility to fund research and development through clinical cycles without the burden of substantial debt service. The sizable equity base and asset position can help support strategic investment while reducing financial strain relative to a highly leveraged biotechnology company.
Negative Factors
Persistent Operating LossesThe substantial trailing loss shows that Septerna has not yet converted its research platform and programs into sustainable profitability. Continued negative returns indicate capital is not currently producing earnings, leaving future financial performance dependent on successful development and commercialization progress.

Septerna, Inc. (SEPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%SEPN+124.40%SPY+14.30%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$2.31B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
397.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-37.6
Beta (1Y)
1.88
Revenue Growth
336.69%
EPS Growth
14.29%
Country
US
Employees
130
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Biotechnology

Septerna, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Septerna, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, discovers and develops G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) oral small molecule products for the treatment of endocrinology, immunology and inflammation, and metabolic diseases. It develops PTH1R P...

Septerna, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed and risk-tilted: the balance sheet is a key strength (low leverage with ~$22.0M debt vs ~$427.9M equity), but operating performance is weak with a TTM net loss of ~$59.0M, sharply volatile revenue (reported growth -264%), and meaningful cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -$76.6M; free cash flow -$77.6M).

Income Statement

36Negative

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

33Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue96.27M45.95M1.07M151.00K0
Gross Profit76.97M45.95M1.07M151.00K0
EBITDA-57.07M-47.26M-70.89M-44.70M-27.39M
Net Income-59.00M-48.88M-71.80M4.18M-27.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets619.40M596.19M456.55M130.87M36.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments478.60M391.09M350.92M88.48M30.61M
Total Debt21.99M23.63M25.48M12.57M710.00K
Total Liabilities191.47M214.26M36.51M169.24M80.32M
Stockholders Equity427.93M381.93M420.05M-38.37M-44.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-77.59M109.67M-69.57M-41.60M-24.59M
Operating Cash Flow-76.57M110.19M-67.47M-38.72M-23.30M
Investing Cash Flow-157.22M-229.35M-160.60M22.12M-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow80.93M1.69M377.78M74.52M30.05M

Septerna, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price48.56

Price Trends

50DMA40.26Positive
100DMA38.85Positive
200DMA32.94Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.98Negative
RSI63.10Neutral
STOCH85.41Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.66, above the 50-day MA of 40.26, and above the 200-day MA of 32.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEPN.

Septerna, Inc. Risk Analysis

Septerna, Inc. disclosed 89 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Septerna, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.We expect to lose our smaller reporting company status, which will increase our reporting and compliance obligations.Q2, 2026

Septerna, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

SEPN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SEPNSEPN56Neutral$2.49B-37.64-14.98%―336.69%14.29%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
BHVNBHVN52Neutral$2.28B-3.94-2271.87%――49.16%
RAPPRAPP51Neutral$1.54B-8.52-34.00%――-17.88%
PHVSPHVS46Neutral$2.39B-11.41-61.24%――9.42%
GPCRGPCR42Neutral$1.55B-5.37-21.24%――-8.08%
GHRSGHRS39Underperform$1.34B-19.25-20.86%――-33.76%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%SEPNPHVSGHRSBHVNGPCRRAPPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SEPN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SEPNSepterna, Inc.48.5625.30108.77%
PHVSPharvaris N.V.34.1810.6345.14%
GHRSGh Research Plc19.255.2537.50%
BHVNBiohaven Ltd.15.196.8983.01%
GPCRStructure Therapeutics, Inc. Sponsored ADR20.95-15.87-43.10%
RAPPRapport Therapeutics, Inc.27.022.6510.87%

Septerna, Inc. Corporate Events

Product-Related Announcements

Septerna Selects SEP-204 Candidate for Graves’ Disease

Positive
Nov 4, 2026

Septerna is a clinical-stage biotechnology company advancing oral small-molecule GPCR drug candidates through its Native Complex Platform, with programs spanning endocrinology, immunology and inflammation, metabolic diseases and other areas. On Novem...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Septerna Appoints Rajiv Patni as Chief Medical Officer

Positive
Aug 25, 2026

Septerna, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company specializing in GPCR-targeted oral small-molecule therapies for unmet needs in endocrinology, immunology, inflammation and metabolic diseases, is building a diversified pipeline enabled by its Na...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026