Origin Agritech (SEED) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $9.94M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 264.69K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.95
• Revenue Growth: -21.82%
• EPS Growth: -104.92%
• Country: US
• Employees: 68
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): -0.49
• Shares Outstanding: 7,199,998
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 607,388
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 264,689
• PEG Ratio: -0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): -4.41
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.22
• P/FCF Ratio: -6.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.33
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.04
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -0.21
• 1Y Price Target: $1.50
• Price Target Upside: 4.90% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: $1.50 ▲(4.90% Upside)

The overall stock score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including negative equity and cash flow issues. While technical indicators show some short-term bullish momentum, the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh on the stock's attractiveness.

Origin Agritech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates an agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in crop seed breeding and genetic improvement activities. It develops, produces, and distributes hybrid crop seeds, as well as develops hybrid seed technology. The company also operates an e-commerce platform, which provides range of products, including agricultural seed products that comprise corn, rice, and vegetable seeds; other agricultural inputs, such as fertilizers and agricultural chemicals; foods; household products; and other consumer products to farmers through online and mobile ordering. It has a collaboration agreement with Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the National Maize Improvement Center, China Agricultural University, and Zhejiang University. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

How the Company Makes Money

Origin Agritech generates revenue primarily through the sale of genetically modified seeds and other agricultural products. The company's revenue model is based on the commercialization of its proprietary seed technology, which allows it to charge premium prices for its high-yield, pest-resistant seeds. Key revenue streams include direct sales to farmers, licensing agreements for its biotechnology innovations, and potential partnerships with agricultural companies for product development and distribution. Additionally, the company may benefit from government subsidies and incentives aimed at promoting agricultural advancements and biotechnology in China, contributing further to its earnings.

Origin Agritech Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Origin Agritech faces substantial financial challenges, including inconsistent revenue growth, negative stockholders' equity, high leverage, and negative cash flows. These issues indicate significant financial instability and operational inefficiencies.

Income Statement

Origin Agritech has shown inconsistent revenue growth with significant fluctuations in net income. Despite a positive net income in the latest period, the company has experienced negative EBIT and volatile EBITDA margins, indicating operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits a negative stockholders' equity, reflecting a concerning financial position. The high debt-to-equity ratio indicates significant leverage, posing potential risks to financial stability.

Cash Flow

Origin Agritech has struggled with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. The company's reliance on financing activities to manage cash flow needs further highlights cash management issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	93.68M	113.38M	93.31M	52.58M	46.42M	52.51M
Gross Profit	6.46M	16.07M	17.25M	16.19M	12.81M	3.51M
EBITDA	-62.20M	23.08M	67.84M	-8.99M	-59.77M	-86.01M
Net Income	-6.23M	20.71M	55.33M	-6.26M	-91.53M	-102.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	88.71M	131.56M	238.51M	135.96M	119.04M	254.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.40M	8.38M	23.71M	17.67M	15.35M	22.48M
Total Debt	21.73M	5.08M	241.00K	139.28M	140.77M	140.89M
Total Liabilities	151.36M	190.16M	319.77M	308.60M	304.64M	340.35M
Stockholders Equity	-31.16M	-31.29M	-57.40M	-133.87M	-140.67M	-77.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-22.84M	-20.00M	-17.66M	2.67M	-26.79M	-5.62M
Operating Cash Flow	-14.71M	-15.03M	-5.46M	3.29M	-25.08M	-5.62M
Investing Cash Flow	-8.13M	-4.97M	-11.22M	-1.10M	-1.21M	-42.24M
Financing Cash Flow	15.05M	4.50M	22.93M	-332.00K	19.84M	65.92M

Origin Agritech Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1.43
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.17, above the 50-day MA of 1.10, and below the 200-day MA of 1.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEED.

Origin Agritech Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
UAN	72 Outperform	$974.20M	11.08	28.37%	9.78%	8.15%	77.68%
BIOX	62 Neutral	$85.91M	193.48	-3.00%	―	-28.28%	-1718.93%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
AVD	55 Neutral	$156.66M	―	-42.97%	0.78%	-9.57%	-3226.39%
SEED	46 Neutral	$9.94M	2.75	―	―	-21.82%	-104.92%
RKDA	45 Neutral	$4.74M	―	-87.18%	―	1.50%	-8.01%
LVRO	44 Neutral	$211.75M	―	-69.68%	―	―	―

Origin Agritech Corporate Events

Origin Agritech Announces Board Changes with New Appointments and Resignations

On September 12, 2025, Origin Agritech Limited announced the appointment of Dr. Changqing Mao and Mr. Siu Laam Hau as independent board members, bringing extensive experience in agriculture and corporate finance, respectively. Concurrently, the company saw the resignation of Ms. Fei Wang, Dr. Michael Trimble, Dr. Min Lin, and Mr. Chi Kin Cheng from their positions as directors, with Mr. Cheng continuing as Chief Financial Officer. These changes in the board composition may influence the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Origin Agritech Reports Significant Losses Amid Production Challenges

Origin Agritech Limited reported its unaudited financial results for the first half of FY2025, ending March 31, 2025. The company experienced a decline in net revenue to RMB72.3 million (US$10.1 million) from RMB92.0 million in the previous year, primarily due to halted production lines at its Xinjiang factory for equipment upgrades and technical renovations. This led to reduced production capacity and decreased sales of some proprietary products. Operating expenses rose significantly by 144% to RMB32.8 million, driven by increased general and administrative costs and research and development expenses for new products. Consequently, the company recorded a net loss of RMB25.6 million (US$3.6 million) compared to a net profit of RMB1.4 million a year ago, with a loss per ordinary share of RMB3.55 (US$0.5).