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Tobii AB (TOBII) AI Stock Analysis

SE:TOBII

Tobii AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:TOBII)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:SEK 0.65â–²(4.03% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/24/26

The score is driven primarily by very weak profitability, shrinking equity, and elevated leverage. Bearish technical trends, a negative P/E, and severe near-term financing and liquidity risks further weigh on the result, while positive cash flow, cost reductions, and improving core-business performance provide only limited support.

Positive Factors
High-margin software and licensing mixThe 93% gross margin in Integrations indicates a scalable software, services and licensing model with attractive unit economics. A high-margin mix can support cash generation as revenue expands, improve resilience against hardware cost pressure, and strengthen Tobii’s ability to fund product development.
Negative Factors
Severe leverage and equity erosionDebt of 564m against only 116m of equity leaves Tobii highly leveraged and financially vulnerable. The sharp deterioration in debt-to-equity, combined with substantial equity erosion and deeply negative returns, restricts financial flexibility and increases the consequences of continued losses or weaker operating performance.

Tobii AB (TOBII) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%SE:TOBII-62.58%EWD+15.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 26.79M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.37M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.3
Beta (1Y)
1.67
Revenue Growth
-29.55%
EPS Growth
-4399.57%
Country
Sweden
Employees
397
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Computer Hardware

Tobii AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Danderyd, Sweden, Tobii AB (publ), founded in 2001, is a global innovator in eye-tracking technology and solutions. The company's reach extends across Sweden, the broader European continent, North America (including the United States...

Tobii AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-39.81%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call showed meaningful operational progress, including lower costs, improved EBITDA, stronger underlying sales after adjusting for one-off items, positive combined EBIT from Products & Solutions and Integrations, and higher Autosense license revenue. However, these improvements were outweighed by the strained SEK 29 million cash position, negative free cash flow, significant upcoming tax and Xperi obligations, the risk of insufficient financing for the next 12 months, and the SEK 180 million Autosense impairment. The company remains focused on cost reductions, financing and strategic alternatives, but the immediate financial situation is highly challenging.

Positive Updates

Underlying Sales Growth After One-Off Adjustments
Q3 net sales were SEK 140 million, down 11% reported and 12% organically. Adjusted for the prior-year Dynavox prepurchase and nonrecurring royalty revenue, underlying sales increased by 16%. Currency had a positive impact of 1%.

Negative Updates

Reported Sales Decline and Sales Level Below Ambitions
Net sales declined to SEK 140 million from SEK 158 million, representing an 11% reported decline and a 12% organic decline. Management said the current sales level remains low relative to the cost and investment base and is not up to its ambitions.

Company Guidance

Management’s target remains positive operating cash flow for the group during 2027, clarified as positive cash flow for the full year 2027 and reflecting Tobii as is today with the 3 business units we have today; the ambition is to make Products and Solutions a sustainably cash-generative business, while the core operations have potential for robust profitability over time. Future investments will have to follow demonstrated customer demand and visible revenue opportunities and acceptable returns, and Tobii will not invest ahead of the market. The additional Autosense cost program is expected to reduce the annual cost base by more than SEK 50 million, with a focus on shorter payback periods, earlier monetization and lower commercial risk; Autosense license payments are expected to increase in the coming years.

Tobii AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Very weak profitability and balance-sheet health are partly offset by positive, though weakening, operating and free cash flow. The underlying income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow scores average 20.0, mapping to a low component score of 49.

Income Statement

10Very Negative

Balance Sheet

14Very Negative

Cash Flow

36Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue652.00M834.00M857.00M758.00M776.00M616.00M
Gross Profit-11.17M198.00M687.00M567.00M590.00M444.00M
EBITDA170.00M281.00M56.00M-25.00M57.00M-5.00M
Net Income-492.00M-217.00M-177.00M-199.00M-105.00M-184.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets945.00M1.29B1.83B1.15B1.22B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.00M117.00M116.00M236.00M402.00M438.00M
Total Debt564.00M598.00M432.00M79.00M69.00M94.00M
Total Liabilities826.00M901.00M1.15B585.00M470.00M382.00M
Stockholders Equity116.00M393.00M676.00M562.00M752.00M840.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow58.00M85.00M-345.00M-119.00M-37.00M-152.00M
Operating Cash Flow179.00M262.00M7.00M95.00M137.00M-23.00M
Investing Cash Flow-121.00M-177.00M-356.00M-229.00M-169.00M-300.00M
Financing Cash Flow-50.00M-75.00M226.00M-29.00M-8.00M156.00M

Tobii AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.62

Price Trends

50DMA1.09Negative
100DMA1.44Negative
200DMA1.74Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Positive
RSI21.83Positive
STOCH6.27Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:TOBII, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.97, below the 50-day MA of 1.09, and below the 200-day MA of 1.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.83 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:TOBII.

Tobii AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

SE:TOBII against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
SE:TOBIISE:TOBII45NeutralSEK 147.82M-0.30-163.73%―-29.55%-4399.57%
SE:ACCONSE:ACCON44NeutralSEK 826.90M-21.83-14.10%―57.78%-44.95%
SE:BLINC.BSE:BLINC.B44NeutralSEK 198.39M-4.11-98.57%――45.88%
SE:GAPW.BSE:GAPW.B39UnderperformSEK 299.42M-3.13-103.82%―-24.22%-77.03%
SE:SIVESE:SIVE34UnderperformSEK 6.60B-24.30-25.12%―-6.08%-65.93%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%1000%2000%SE:TOBIISE:GAPW.BSE:BLINC.BSE:SE0022240115SE:SIVESE:ACCONDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:TOBII and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:TOBIITobii AB0.63-1.05-62.45%
SE:GAPW.BGapwaves AB Class B8.24-10.26-55.46%
SE:BLINC.BTerranet AB Class B0.080.003.70%
SE:SE0022240115JonDeTech Sensors AB0.35-0.31-46.64%
SE:SIVESivers Semiconductors AB20.9017.35488.40%
SE:ACCONAcconeer AB10.861.7719.47%

Tobii AB Corporate Events

Tobii Strengthens Core Eye-Tracking Business as Autosense Write-Offs Deepen Losses

Oct 22, 2026

Tobii reported third-quarter 2026 net sales of SEK 140 million, down organically but showing a 16% underlying increase after adjusting for prior one-off items, with group EBIT heavily hit by SEK 180 million in Autosense write-offs tied to legacy driv...

Tobii Sets Q3 2026 Report Release and Investor Webcast

Oct 9, 2026

Tobii AB will publish its interim report for the third quarter of 2026 on October 22 at 07:30 am CEST, followed by an English-language audio webcast presentation at 09:00 am. CEO Fadi Pharaon and acting CFO Martin Johansson will present and comment o...

Tobii reshapes board leadership amid ongoing strategic review

Oct 6, 2026

Tobii AB announced that long-serving board member Charlotta Falvin will step down after more than eight years, while the board has appointed Jesper Kärrbrink as an advisor to support its ongoing strategic review. The nomination committee for the...

Tobii Expands Eye‑Tracking Research With Local Webcam Solution

Sep 24, 2026

Tobii has introduced a locally installed version of its Webcam eye‑tracking solution for research, extending its software‑based gaze‑tracking tools beyond remote, distributed studies. Integrated into Tobii Pro Lab, the new offering...

Tobii Names Acting CFO as Strategic Review Progresses

Sep 24, 2026

Tobii has appointed Martin Johansson as Acting Chief Financial Officer, effective 30 September 2026, succeeding Interim CFO Åsa Wirén, who is leaving the company due to relocation abroad. Johansson, currently Sales Controller and a veteran...

Tobii Board Member Carl Mellander Steps Down Amid Expanding Governance Demands

Sep 14, 2026

Tobii AB has announced that board member Carl Mellander has stepped down from the Board of Directors with immediate effect, citing the increasing scope of board responsibilities and the demands of his other commitments. Mellander thanked Tobii for th...

Tobii Tightens Costs and Reshapes Autosense as Sales Normalize After One-Off Boosts

Aug 28, 2026

Tobii AB reported a sharp year-on-year decline in second-quarter 2026 net sales to SEK 154 million as prior-year figures were boosted by a major pre-purchase deal and one-off revenues, but underlying growth turned positive and gross margin remained s...

Tobii to Present Second-Quarter 2026 Results in August Webcast

Aug 17, 2026

Tobii AB announced that it will publish its interim report for the second quarter of 2026 on August 28 at 7:30 a.m. CEST, followed by an audio webcast presentation at 9:00 a.m. CEST led by CEO Fadi Pharaon and interim CFO Åsa Wirén. The pre...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026