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Bufab AB (BUFAB) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:BUFAB

Bufab AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:BUFAB)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:SEK 139.00â–²(2.51% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

The score is mainly supported by solid and improving profitability plus strong recent free-cash-flow generation, while being held back by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a high P/E with limited dividend support. Moderate leverage and historically volatile cash flows add risk if demand or working capital conditions worsen.

Positive Factors
Improving ProfitabilityImproving gross, EBIT, and net margins indicate stronger pricing, product mix, and operating leverage. If maintained, this expansion can increase earnings resilience, support reinvestment in sourcing and distribution capabilities, and improve the company’s ability to absorb cost changes.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageAlthough leverage has improved, debt remains meaningful relative to equity for a distributor. A prolonged earnings or working-capital downturn could reduce financial flexibility, constrain investment capacity, and increase the importance of maintaining stable operating cash generation.

Bufab AB (BUFAB) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%SE:BUFAB+40.23%EWD+14.31%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
SEK 25.24B
Dividend Yield
0.96%
Average Volume (3M)
213.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
33.0
Beta (1Y)
1.22
Revenue Growth
8.13%
EPS Growth
32.45%
Country
Sweden
Employees
1,937
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Bufab AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bufab AB (publ) is an international trading firm that offers end-to-end solutions for C-parts, covering sourcing, quality assurance, and logistics, for clients in Sweden and globally. Its extensive product range features various metal and plastic fas...

How the Company Makes Money

Bufab makes money mainly by purchasing components (especially fasteners and related C-parts) from a global supplier base and reselling them to industrial customers at a markup, reflecting the value of its sourcing capability, quality control, and sup...

Bufab AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is solid with improving TTM margins (gross ~33.1%, EBIT ~13.0%, net ~8.4%) and healthy ROE (~17%). Leverage is moderate-to-elevated (debt-to-equity ~0.89) though improving versus 2022–2023. Cash generation is strong in TTM (FCF ~1.04B; ~93% of net income) but historically volatile (notably negative in 2022) and revenue growth has been inconsistent.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

71Positive

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.65B8.07B8.04B8.68B8.43B5.88B
Gross Profit2.90B2.58B2.39B2.49B2.39B1.64B
EBITDA1.49B1.30B1.18B1.26B1.19B849.00M
Net Income777.00M626.00M551.00M574.00M609.00M470.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.64B9.32B9.19B8.60B9.44B6.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments390.00M205.00M211.00M218.00M322.00M293.00M
Total Debt3.83B3.58B3.53B3.58B4.05B2.25B
Total Liabilities6.09B5.29B5.29B5.18B6.40B4.20B
Stockholders Equity4.54B4.03B3.90B3.42B3.04B2.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B849.00M1.02B1.36B-113.00M138.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.10B925.00M1.10B1.45B-47.00M172.00M
Investing Cash Flow-970.00M-809.00M-494.00M-734.00M-1.08B-335.00M
Financing Cash Flow25.00M-93.00M-623.00M-813.00M1.15B158.00M

Bufab AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price135.60

Price Trends

50DMA138.28Negative
100DMA135.57Positive
200DMA124.09Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-1.72Positive
RSI48.84Neutral
STOCH45.13Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:BUFAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 135.60 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.06, below the 50-day MA of 138.28, and above the 200-day MA of 124.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:BUFAB.

Bufab AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SE:BUFAB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:LAGR.BSE:LAGR.B66NeutralSEK 47.86B37.1929.82%1.04%16.99%21.47%
SE:INDTSE:INDT64NeutralSEK 96.55B34.7415.59%1.16%5.59%5.36%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
SE:ALLIGO.BSE:ALLIGO.B62NeutralSEK 5.89B16.529.12%1.88%4.68%42.14%
SE:ADDT.BSE:ADDT.B61NeutralSEK 88.00B39.1128.37%1.08%4.32%15.23%
SE:BERG.BSE:BERG.B61NeutralSEK 7.00B26.6413.53%1.59%1.00%―
SE:BUFABSE:BUFAB60NeutralSEK 25.24B32.9918.20%0.96%8.13%32.45%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%SE:BUFABSE:INDTSE:ADDT.BSE:BERG.BSE:ALLIGO.BSE:LAGR.BDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SE:BUFAB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:BUFABBufab AB135.6039.2440.72%
SE:INDTIndutrade AB268.2033.7514.39%
SE:ADDT.BAddtech AB Class B334.8022.727.28%
SE:BERG.BBergman & Beving AB Class B264.50-46.23-14.88%
SE:ALLIGO.BAlligo AB Class B117.00-0.14-0.12%
SE:LAGR.BLagercrantz Group AB Class B240.6024.7811.48%

Bufab AB Corporate Events

Bufab Names Nomination Committee Ahead of 2027 Annual General Meeting

Oct 23, 2026

Bufab AB has appointed its Nomination Committee ahead of the Annual General Meeting 2027, naming representatives from major shareholders Liljedahl Group, Lannebo Fonder, Swedbank Robur Fonder and Andra AP‑fonden, with Board Chairman Bengt Liljedahl c...

Bufab Delivers Record Margin and Expands with U.K. Acquisition in Q3 2026

Oct 23, 2026

Bufab reported a strong third quarter of 2026, with net sales rising 16.6 percent to SEK 2,236 million, driven by 6.5 percent organic growth and order intake matching sales. Earnings improved sharply, as operating profit (EBITA) climbed to SEK 362 mi...

Bufab Sets October 23 Date for Q3 2026 Results and Investor Call

Oct 13, 2026

Bufab AB will publish its third-quarter 2026 report on October 23 at 07:30 CET, accompanied by a presentation on its corporate website. The company is preparing to communicate its recent financial performance and operational developments to the marke...

Bufab to Outline Strategy and Growth Ambitions at 2026 Capital Markets Day

Sep 16, 2026

Bufab has invited investors, analysts and media to a Capital Markets Day in Stockholm on 10 December 2026, where CEO Erik Lundén and the Group Executive Management Team will present an update on the company’s strategy, opportunities and financial amb...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026