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BioGaia AB (BIOG.B) AI Stock Analysis

SE:BIOG.B

BioGaia AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:BIOG.B)

Select Model
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:SEK 143.00â–²(18.77% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins, strong ROE, and near-zero leverage), supported by positive technical momentum (price above key moving averages and positive MACD). The main constraint is valuation, with a relatively high P/E and only a modest dividend yield, alongside some recent softening in margins and free cash flow.

Positive Factors
High profitabilityBioGaia’s consistently high gross and EBIT margins indicate a profitable business model with substantial operating economics. This profitability can support investment in products, clinical positioning, and distribution while providing resilience if revenue growth moderates over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Free cash flow deteriorationAlthough cash conversion remains healthy in absolute terms, the recent decline in free cash flow weakens the trend in internally generated funds. If sustained, this could reduce the capacity available for product development, distributions, or other strategic uses of cash.

BioGaia AB (BIOG.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%SE:BIOG.B+23.10%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 12.18B
Dividend Yield
1.36%
Average Volume (3M)
183.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
31.1
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
13.13%
EPS Growth
23.94%
Country
Sweden
Employees
251
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

BioGaia AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BioGaia AB (publ), a Swedish enterprise founded in 1990 and headquartered in Stockholm, is dedicated to the worldwide development, marketing, and distribution of probiotic products renowned for their scientifically proven health advantages. The compa...

How the Company Makes Money

BioGaia makes money mainly by commercializing probiotic products and probiotic ingredients built around its Lactobacillus reuteri strains. Its revenue model typically includes: (1) Sales of finished consumer products: BioGaia sells branded probiotic...

BioGaia AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

High-quality fundamentals: strong profitability with consistently high gross margins and solid EBIT margins, plus an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with effectively zero debt and strong ROE. Offsetting factors are moderating net margins versus 2022–2023 and softer recent free cash flow trends (negative FCF growth in 2024–2025 and further declines in TTM).

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

94Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.65B1.54B1.42B1.30B1.10B785.11M
Gross Profit1.20B1.13B1.03B950.19M801.93M582.95M
EBITDA496.12M454.33M488.29M494.92M476.89M276.86M
Net Income391.55M332.76M351.39M365.35M373.77M196.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.60B2.03B2.33B2.21B2.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments518.27M801.31M1.22B1.54B1.49B1.48B
Total Debt06.90M7.10M8.80M16.01M9.81M
Total Liabilities229.68M283.59M310.07M305.54M241.55M250.69M
Stockholders Equity1.22B1.31B1.72B2.03B1.97B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow258.38M302.97M359.06M377.25M301.03M215.50M
Operating Cash Flow284.45M306.57M373.22M425.96M318.94M221.88M
Investing Cash Flow-26.21M-3.34M-14.07M-50.94M-18.14M-126.97M
Financing Cash Flow-476.20M-709.87M-689.72M-308.42M-313.59M-81.85M

BioGaia AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price120.40

Price Trends

50DMA115.78Positive
100DMA116.31Positive
200DMA115.21Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.11Positive
RSI51.19Neutral
STOCH4.12Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:BIOG.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 120.40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.17, above the 50-day MA of 115.78, and above the 200-day MA of 115.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:BIOG.B.

BioGaia AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

SE:BIOG.B against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:BIOG.BSE:BIOG.B79OutperformSEK 12.18B31.1131.08%1.36%13.13%23.94%
SE:SECARESE:SECARE60NeutralSEK 3.04B35.191.24%1.47%2.73%36.67%
SE:APOTEASE:APOTEA58NeutralSEK 9.59B39.05―0.65%9.35%-91.93%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
SE:ENZYSE:ENZY44NeutralSEK 551.01M-12.24――-2.36%23.44%
SE:CLBIOSE:CLBIO39UnderperformSEK 371.09M-28.83――54.37%52.22%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%400%SE:BIOG.BSE:MVIRSE:SECARESE:APOTEASE:ENZYSE:CLBIODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:BIOG.B and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:BIOG.BBioGaia AB Class B120.4022.8823.46%
SE:MVIRMedivir1.551.02191.35%
SE:SECARESwedencare AB19.00-18.06-48.73%
SE:APOTEAApotea AB92.1511.3114.00%
SE:ENZYEnzymatica AB2.270.3216.41%
SE:CLBIOCorline Biomedical AB14.20-5.75-28.82%

BioGaia AB Corporate Events

BioGaia boosts margins and expands probiotic reach in Q3 2026

Oct 22, 2026

BioGaia AB reported strong growth for the third quarter of 2026, with net sales rising 23% to SEK 400.4 million and operating profit up 54%, lifting the operating margin to 33%. The Pediatrics and Adult Health segments both delivered double-digit sal...

BioGaia names Nomination Committee for 2027 AGM

Oct 15, 2026

BioGaia AB has appointed its Nomination Committee for the 2027 Annual General Meeting, based on the ownership structure as of June 30, 2026 and in line with a previous AGM decision. The committee includes representatives from major shareholders Anato...

BioGaia Sets October 22 Date for Q3 2026 Results and Investor Briefing

Oct 9, 2026

BioGaia AB will publish its financial report for the third quarter of 2026 on October 22 at around 8:00 AM CEST, followed by a live audiocast at 9:30 AM CEST where CEO Theresa Agnew and CFO Alexander Kotsinas will present the results and answer quest...

BioGaia to Outline Long-Term Strategy at London Capital Markets Day

Sep 16, 2026

BioGaia AB will host a Capital Markets Day in London on December 8, 2026, offering both in-person attendance and a live webcast to reach a broad investor base. The event underscores the company’s intent to deepen engagement with the financial c...

BioGaia launches clinically proven colon health probiotic Colus

Sep 9, 2026

BioGaia AB is expanding its adult gut health portfolio with BioGaia Colus, a new probiotic supplement targeting colon health using the proprietary L. reuteri BG-R59 strain and delayed-release vegan capsules designed for delivery to the lower gastroin...

BioGaia Deepens Iberian Partnership With Recordati to Drive Probiotic Growth

Aug 31, 2026

BioGaia AB, a Swedish probiotics specialist with a global footprint and a focus on gut, immune and oral health, is deepening its commercial ties in Southern Europe. The company relies on local distribution partners such as Recordati to reach more tha...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026