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Rumble (RUM) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q3, 2024
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Sep 30, 2024, filed Nov 12, 2024
Risk Change Over Time
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 1Our recently launched cloud services business may not achieve success, and, as a result, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Our recent expansion into the cloud service business may not be successful and involves various risks relating to this business that may negatively affect our operating results, including: - our ability to derive an optimal pricing model that enables us to derive sufficient value from our customers while attracting new customers and retaining existing customers;- our reliance on third-party providers for data center space and colocation services and on public cloud providers to prevent service disruptions;- the intense competition that we face, including from companies with longer operating histories, greater name recognition, larger customer bases and significantly greater financial, technical, sales, marketing and other resources than we have;- our ability to attract and retain highly qualified personnel, particularly software and cloud engineers and sales and customer experience personnel;- the possibility that we may be unable to maintain and improve our platform performance, especially during peak usage times;- the possibility that we may underestimate or overestimate our data center capacity requirements and our capital expenditures on data centers, servers and equipment;- our ability to obtain or retain standard industry security certifications for our platform and products;- our exposure to possible liability and harm to our reputation if the security of our cloud is breached, resulting in the exposure of our customers' data, including personal information, to cyber criminals and other nefarious actors;- the possibility that we may be unable to maintain the compatibility of our platform with third-party applications that our customers use in their businesses; and - our ability to respond to rapid technological changes with new solutions and services offerings. The occurrence of any of these factors, or our inability to successfully mitigate the results of the associated impact, could also damage our reputation, negatively impact our relationship with our customers, and otherwise materially harm our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Risk Highlights Q3, 2024
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 52
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1We are an "emerging growth company" within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933 (the "Securities Act") and as such we have relied on, and we expect to continue to rely on, certain exemptions from disclosure requirements available to emerging growth companies. Our reliance on these exemptions could make our securities less attractive to investors and may make it more difficult to compare our performance with that of other public companies.
We are an "emerging growth company" within the meaning of the Securities Act, as modified by the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (the "JOBS Act"), and as such we have relied on, and we expect to continue to rely on, certain exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies including, but not limited to, not being required to comply with the auditor internal controls attestation requirements of Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (the "Sarbanes-Oxley Act"). Further, the JOBS Act exempts emerging growth companies from the requirement to comply with new or revised financial accounting standards until private companies are required to comply with the same standards. The JOBS Act provides that a company may elect to opt out of the extended transition period and comply with the requirements that apply to non-emerging growth companies. We have elected not to opt out of such extended transition period, which may make comparison of our financial statements with those of other public companies difficult or impossible because of the potential differences in accounting standards. As a result of our emerging growth company status and our reliance on certain reporting exemptions, our stockholders may not have access to certain information they may deem important, and investors may find our securities less attractive. This could result in a less active trading market for our common stock, and the price of our common stock may be more volatile.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Our Charter authorizes our Board of Directors (the "Board") to issue preferred stock, which may delay, defer or prevent a tender offer or a takeover attempt.
The provision of our Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation (the "Charter") that authorizes our Board to issue preferred stock from time to time based on terms approved by the Board may delay, defer or prevent a tender offer or takeover attempt that stockholders might consider to be in their best interest.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Our Charter contains forum limitations for certain disputes between us and our stockholders that could limit the ability of stockholders to bring claims against us or our directors, officers and employees.
Our Charter provides that, unless we consent in writing to the selection of an alternative forum, the Delaware Court of Chancery (the "Court of Chancery") is the sole and exclusive forum for (i) any derivative lawsuit brought on our behalf, (ii) any lawsuit against our current or former directors, officers, employees or stockholders asserting a breach of a fiduciary duty owed by any such person to us or our stockholders, (iii) any lawsuit asserting a claim arising under any provision of the Delaware General Corporation Law, our Charter or bylaws (each, as in effect from time to time), or (iv) any lawsuit governed by the internal affairs doctrine of the State of Delaware. These provisions do not apply to claims arising under the Securities Act, the Exchange Act or other federal securities laws for which there is exclusive federal or concurrent federal and state jurisdiction. Our Charter also provides that, unless we consent in writing to the selection of an alternative forum, the federal district courts of the United States are the sole and exclusive forum for the resolution of any complaint asserting a cause of action arising under the Securities Act. Although we believe these exclusive forum provisions benefit our company by providing increased consistency in the application of Delaware law and federal securities laws in the types of lawsuits to which each applies, the exclusive forum provisions may limit a stockholder's ability to bring a claim in a judicial forum that the stockholder finds favorable for disputes with us or any of our directors, officers or stockholders, which may discourage lawsuits with respect to such claims. Further, in the event a court finds either exclusive forum provision contained in our Charter to be unenforceable or inapplicable in an action, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such action in other jurisdictions, which could harm our business, operating results and financial condition.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Our CEO has control over key decision making as a result of his control of a majority of the voting power of our outstanding capital stock.
As the beneficial owner of all of the Class D Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share, of Rumble (the "Class D Common Stock"), our CEO Chris Pavlovski is able to exercise voting rights with respect to approximately 85% of the voting power of Rumble's outstanding capital stock. For so long as Mr. Pavlovski continues to beneficially own at least approximately 8.47 million of the issued and outstanding shares of Class D Common Stock (assuming, for this purpose, that the number of outstanding shares of all classes of our capital stock continues to equal the same number of shares outstanding as of the closing of the Business Combination), Mr. Pavlovski will continue to control the outcome of matters submitted to our stockholders for approval. Such number represents approximately 8.0% of the shares of Class D Common Stock that Mr. Pavlovski owns. This concentrated control will limit or preclude our public stockholders' ability to influence corporate matters for the foreseeable future. Further, our Charter does not include a sunset provision for the high vote feature of the Class D Common Stock, meaning this feature will persist indefinitely (unless amended or until all of the shares of Class D Common Stock have been redeemed by Rumble in connection with future transfers (other than "permitted transfers") of shares of Class A Common Stock or ExchangeCo Shares by Mr. Pavlovski). As a result, Mr. Pavlovski may control or effectively control the voting of Rumble, even if he holds only a small economic interest in the company. Consequently, in the event Mr. Pavlovski liquidates a significant portion of his economic interest in Rumble, Mr. Pavlovski may no longer be incentivized (or incentivized to the same extent) to exercise his voting control, including in connection with the types of decisions further described below, in a manner that will maximize the economic value of Rumble. Because of the voting ratio between the Class D Common Stock on the one hand, and the Class A Common Stock and Class C Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share of Rumble (the "Class C Common Stock"), on the other hand, Mr. Pavlovski has the ability to control the outcome of matters submitted to our stockholders for approval, including the election of directors, amendments to our organizational documents, and any merger, consolidation, or sale of all or substantially all of our assets. The Charter provides that Rumble may not issue any shares of Class D Common Stock, so all of the Class D Common Stock are held by Mr. Pavlovski and/or his transferees. In this regard, no shares of Class D Common Stock may be transferred by Mr. Pavlovski unless the transfer is made to a qualified transferee as described in the Charter. As a result, only Mr. Pavlovski has the right to vote and control the Class D Common Stock, meaning that Mr. Pavlovski is not entitled to transfer voting control of Rumble to another person or entity not controlled by Mr. Pavlovski through the transfer of Class D Common Stock. This concentrated control could delay, defer, or prevent a change of control, merger, consolidation, or sale of all or substantially all of Rumble's assets that our other stockholders support, or, conversely, this concentrated control could result in the consummation of such a transaction that our other stockholders do not support. This concentrated control could also discourage a potential investor from acquiring our publicly traded Class A Common Stock, which will have limited voting power relative to the Class D Common Stock that is held by Mr. Pavlovski, and might harm the trading price of our Class A Common Stock. In addition, Mr. Pavlovski has the ability to control the management and our major strategic investments as a result of his position as our CEO and his ability to control the election of our directors. As a board member and officer, Mr. Pavlovski owes a fiduciary duty to our stockholders and must act in good faith in a manner he reasonably believes to be in the best interests of our stockholders. As a stockholder, even a controlling stockholder, Mr. Pavlovski is entitled to vote his shares in his own interests, which may not always be in the interests of our stockholders generally.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Our CEO may be incentivized to focus on the short-term share price as a result of his interest in shares placed in escrow and subject to forfeiture pursuant to the terms of the Business Combination Agreement.
Mr. Pavlovski, the CEO and controlling shareholder of Rumble, holds shares placed in escrow and subject to forfeiture pursuant to the terms of the Business Combination Agreement. Such shares will vest in the event certain share price thresholds are satisfied, but if such price thresholds are not satisfied in the applicable time periods, such shares will be forfeited and cancelled. Accordingly, Mr. Pavlovski may be incentivized to focus on short-term results which may have a positive effect on Rumble's share price at the expense of the long-term success of the Company.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Substantial future sales of our Class A Common Stock by our current stockholders could cause the market price of our Class A Common Stock to decline.
Substantially all of our issued and outstanding shares are freely transferable and/or registered for resale on a registration statement on Form S-1. Sales of a substantial number of our shares of Class A Common Stock in the public market or the perception that such sales will occur could adversely affect the market price for our Class A Common Stock and make it more difficult for our public stockholders to sell their shares of Class A Common Stock at such times and at such prices that they deem desirable.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7Our stock price may be volatile, and purchasers of our common stock could incur substantial losses.
Our stock price is likely to be volatile. The stock market in general, as well as the market for technology companies in particular, have both experienced extreme volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. The market price for our common stock may be influenced by many broad market and industry factors. These broad market and industry factors may seriously harm the market price of our common stock, regardless of our operating performance. In addition, the market price for our common stock may be subject to price movements that may not comport with macro, industry or company-specific fundamentals, including, without limitation, the sentiment of retail investors (including as may be expressed on financial trading and other social media sites and online forums), the direct access by retail investors to broadly available trading platforms, the amount and status of short interest in our securities, access to margin debt, trading in options and other derivatives on our common stock and any related hedging and other trading factors. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market, securities class-action litigation has often been instituted against companies. Such litigation could result in substantial costs and diversion of management's attention and resources, which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and growth prospects.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8There can be no assurance that we will be able to comply with the continued listing standards of Nasdaq.
If Nasdaq delists our shares from trading on its exchange for failure to meet the listing standards and we are not able to list such securities on another national securities exchange, our securities could be quoted on an over-the-counter market. If this were to occur, Rumble and its stockholders could face significant material adverse consequences including a limited availability of market quotations for our securities, reduced liquidity for our securities, a determination that our Class A Common Stock is a "penny stock," which will require brokers trading the Class A Common Stock to adhere to more stringent rules, possibly resulting in a reduced level of trading activity in the secondary trading market, a limited amount of news and analyst coverage, and a decreased ability to issue additional securities or obtain additional financing in the future.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9If securities or industry analysts cease publishing research or reports about Rumble, our business, or our market, or if they change their recommendations regarding our securities adversely, the price and trading volume of our securities could decline.
The trading market for our securities will be influenced by the research and reports that industry or securities analysts may publish about Rumble, our business, market or competitors. If any of the analysts who may cover Rumble change their recommendation regarding our shares of common stock adversely, or provide more favorable relative recommendations about our competitors, the price of our shares of common stock would likely decline. Some analysts who covered Rumble have ceased coverage of our securities in the past, and if additional analysts were to cease such coverage or fail to regularly publish reports on us, we could lose additional visibility in the financial markets, which in turn could cause our share price or the trading volume of our securities to decline.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
