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Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY)
NASDAQ:RELY
US Market
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Remitly Global (RELY) AI Stock Analysis

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RELY

Remitly Global

(NASDAQ:RELY)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(24.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
RELY scores well primarily on improved fundamentals—strong profitability and especially strong free cash flow with low leverage—reinforced by upbeat forward guidance and operational momentum from the latest earnings call. Technicals are supportive with the stock above major moving averages. The main constraint on the score is valuation (P/E ~45) and the need to monitor slowing growth and margin variability (including a lower Q3 margin guide and prior-period gross margin compression).
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, high-quality free cash flow that nearly equals net income demonstrates durable cash conversion. That cash generation supports reinvestment, buybacks and buffer against shocks, reduces refinancing risk given low leverage, and underpins long-term financial flexibility and capital allocation optionality.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Compression
A sustained drop in gross margin materially limits operating leverage potential even with cost cuts. If margin compression reflects adverse mix, FX economics, or higher partner/disbursement costs, it can reduce incremental profitability on added volume and make long-term margin targets harder to sustain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, high-quality free cash flow that nearly equals net income demonstrates durable cash conversion. That cash generation supports reinvestment, buybacks and buffer against shocks, reduces refinancing risk given low leverage, and underpins long-term financial flexibility and capital allocation optionality.
Read all positive factors

Remitly Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Customers
Active Customers
Reflects the number of individuals using Remitly's services, indicating customer base size, engagement, and potential for revenue growth through increased transactions.
Chart InsightsActive customer counts show sustained, accelerating uptake through 2024–25 driven by product rollouts and geographic expansion; management’s call ties this growth to higher-value senders, Remitly One adoption and business expansion, which helped lift send volume and move the company into GAAP profitability. The strategic win is richer customer mix and better monetization, but keep an eye on immigration policy headwinds and some take‑rate pressure—new users are growing, but future revenue per customer may be the real driver of investor returns.
Data provided by:The Fly

Remitly Global (RELY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Remitly Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Remitly Global, Inc. specializes in providing digital financial services tailored for immigrants and their families. Primarily, it enables international money transfers, operating in nearly 150 countries. Founded in 2011, the company maintains its...
How the Company Makes Money
Remitly primarily makes money from transaction-based revenue generated when customers send international remittances. The main revenue stream is service fees charged to the sender on each transfer (fee levels can vary by send/receive country corri...

Remitly Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrayed a strong operational and financial quarter with record revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, robust customer and volume growth, meaningful product launches (Global Card, stablecoin wallet) and clear AI-driven productivity gains. Management provided confident forward guidance, continued share repurchases, and regulatory expansion. Lowlights include corridor-specific FX/regulatory headwinds (notably India), nascent monetization of receivers and other growth accelerators, quarterly variability in transaction losses, and a Q3 margin guide below Q2 driven by planned reinvestments and normalization assumptions. On balance, the positives — scale, profitability, cash generation, product momentum and AI-led efficiency — outweigh the early-stage risks and short-term headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Profitability
Q2 revenue of $495M, up 20% year-over-year and $11M above midpoint of guidance; adjusted EBITDA of $115M (23% margin), $28M above midpoint of guidance; record GAAP profitability supported by a $140.6M release of tax valuation allowance.
Negative Updates
India Corridor Headwinds in June
High-value sender volume softened in June due to Indian rupee fluctuations and short-term foreign currency mobilization measures from the Reserve Bank of India; company expects normalization over the year.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue and Profitability
Q2 revenue of $495M, up 20% year-over-year and $11M above midpoint of guidance; adjusted EBITDA of $115M (23% margin), $28M above midpoint of guidance; record GAAP profitability supported by a $140.6M release of tax valuation allowance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided Q3 2026 revenue of $505–$507 million (≈20–21% YoY), with send volume expected to grow faster than revenue, revenue to modestly exceed quarterly active user growth, and send volume per active customer to rise mid‑ to high‑single digits; they expect Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $92–$94 million (≈18–19% margin). For the full year they expect revenue of $1.978–$1.988 billion (21–22% growth) and adjusted EBITDA of $410–$415 million (~21% margin, >400 bps expansion YoY). Management said Q3 transaction margins should be slightly higher year‑over‑year and full‑year transaction margins broadly in line with 2025, are planning for normalized transaction losses (~11 bps) for the back half, expect continued marketing efficiencies even as Q3 marketing spend per QAU is slightly higher, and reiterated total company revenue growth of >20% in H2 2026.

Remitly Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong step-up in profitability and a clear inflection to robust free cash flow, with high earnings quality (free cash flow nearly matching net income) and meaningfully improved leverage (very low debt-to-equity). Key risks are decelerating revenue growth and unusually low TTM gross margin versus prior periods, which could cap future operating leverage if sustained.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.81B1.64B1.26B944.28M653.56M458.61M
Gross Profit1.09B934.37M748.44M532.65M326.63M221.47M
EBITDA211.23M104.27M-8.96M-96.47M-104.95M-31.20M
Net Income305.01M67.93M-36.98M-117.84M-114.02M-38.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.57B1.46B1.01B1.04B695.95M625.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments676.39M828.88M368.10M323.71M300.63M403.26M
Total Debt38.26M220.26M16.29M142.99M9.20M6.15M
Total Liabilities440.61M589.92M347.40M506.97M215.87M145.34M
Stockholders Equity1.13B868.79M665.47M529.34M480.09M480.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow436.17M295.65M176.78M-62.69M-112.33M-22.93M
Operating Cash Flow449.39M325.08M194.49M-53.59M-108.66M-18.39M
Investing Cash Flow-71.43M-69.93M-17.70M-50.04M-7.31M-4.53M
Financing Cash Flow-107.41M-89.78M-127.44M126.65M14.59M238.20M

Remitly Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.53
Price Trends
50DMA
22.59
Positive
100DMA
21.30
Positive
200DMA
17.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
62.88
Neutral
STOCH
61.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RELY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.88, below the 50-day MA of 22.59, and above the 200-day MA of 17.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RELY.

Remitly Global Risk Analysis

Remitly Global disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Remitly Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Remitly Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$5.42B18.1132.97%23.79%1992.92%
77
Outperform
$4.35B21.4737.04%1.36%46.60%66.04%
74
Outperform
$5.42B24.2915.06%7.03%-8.05%
74
Outperform
$2.42B50.507.27%6.31%-48.91%
66
Neutral
$2.78B10.1023.02%5.76%-3.78%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$353.48M23.2711.58%-13.27%-62.21%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RELY
Remitly Global
26.30
6.70
34.18%
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
53.44
6.88
14.78%
EEFT
Euronet Worldwide
73.20
-22.76
-23.72%
IMXI
International Money Express
14.59
0.17
1.18%
PAYO
Payoneer
7.13
0.40
5.94%
DLO
DLocal
14.17
-1.23
-7.99%

Remitly Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Remitly Global Delivers Record Quarter and Raises Outlook
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Remitly reported record results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly active customers surpassing 10.2 million and send volume rising 27% year over year to $23.5 billion. Revenue climbed 20% to $495.2 million, net ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Remitly Global Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Remitly Global, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where shareholders elected Bora Chung, Laurent Le Moal, and Nigel Morris to the board of directors for terms expiring at the 2029 annual meeting. These elections ...
Executive/Board Changes
Remitly Global Announces Resignation of Chief Product Officer
Negative
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Remitly Global, Inc. announced that Chief Product and Technology Officer Ankur Sinha has submitted his resignation, effective June 19, 2026. The company noted that Sinha’s departure is not related to any disagreement over it...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Remitly Global Reports Record Q1 2026 Results, Profitability Soars
Positive
May 6, 2026
Remitly Global reported record results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, with active customers rising 20% year over year to 9.6 million and send volume climbing 37% to $22.1 billion. Revenue grew 25% to $452.8 million, while net income s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026