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Research Frontiers (REFR) AI Stock Analysis

REFR

Research Frontiers

(NASDAQ:REFR)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:$0.37â–²(4.86% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

REFR scores low primarily due to weak financial performance: declining small revenue, extremely large losses, and persistently negative operating and free cash flow that imply ongoing funding dependence. Technicals also weigh on the score as the stock trades below key moving averages with below-neutral momentum, despite some oversold signals. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Asset-Light Licensing ModelThe licensing and royalty model lets Research Frontiers monetize proprietary technology without directly expanding manufacturing capacity. If licensee commercialization grows, revenue can scale with limited incremental production investment, supporting operating leverage over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue BaseThe shrinking revenue base indicates that SPD commercialization has not yet produced dependable growth. Continued contraction reduces operating leverage, limits resources available for technology support and market development, and makes it harder for fixed corporate costs to be absorbed.

Research Frontiers (REFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%REFR-80.00%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$12.21M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.67M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-5.3
Beta (1Y)
0.74
Revenue Growth
-46.47%
EPS Growth
-26.00%
Country
US
Employees
5
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Research Frontiers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) stands as a global innovator, focusing on the development and commercialization of advanced light-regulating technologies and associated devices. The company's core business revolves around its proprietary Suspe...

How the Company Makes Money

Research Frontiers primarily makes money by licensing its patented SPD technology and collecting royalties tied to the sale of SPD-enabled products made by its licensees and their supply-chain partners. Its revenue model is predominantly IP-based rat...

Research Frontiers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-57.98%|Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call conveyed cautious optimism: the company strengthened its balance sheet (cash up ~92.8%, debt-free), production and customer programs continued, and next‑generation black SPD development is progressing — all positive indicators. However, near-term revenue and liquidity were materially impacted by GAAP timing effects and ongoing French rehabilitation proceedings involving a key licensee, and recent licensee liquidations highlight partner volatility. Positives and negatives are both significant and roughly balanced, yielding a cautiously neutral outlook.

Positive Updates

Balance Sheet Strengthened — Cash Increased
Cash and cash equivalents rose to approximately $1.28 million as of March 31, 2026 from approximately $664,000 at year-end 2025, an increase of ~92.8%. The company also remains debt-free.

Negative Updates

Reported Revenues Pressured by Accounting Timing and Nonrecurring Items
First quarter reported revenues were negatively affected by the timing of revenue recognition under license agreements and the nonrecurrence of upfront revenue recognized in Q1 2025 (ASC 606 front-loading), making the quarter look weaker from an accounting perspective even though underlying activity was better.

Company Guidance

The call's guidance emphasized cautious optimism for long-term SPD growth while noting near-term accounting and licensee-driven timing effects: Q1 2026 revenues were depressed by the nonrecurrence of an ASC 606 upfront license payment from Q1 2025 and by GAAP rules that spread minimum annual royalties roughly evenly over four quarters (making Q1 typically lower), although royalties from automotive and aircraft rose sequentially from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026; the company strengthened its balance sheet via a focused financing with long-term accredited investors and ended March 31, 2026 with approximately $1.28 million in cash and cash equivalents (up from ~$664,000 at year‑end 2025, an ≈93% increase) while remaining debt‑free and reporting lower operating and R&D expenses year‑over‑year; operationally, SPD production and R&D (including black SPD and specialized film) continue, the business has products in series production with four OEMs, and a key French court hearing regarding Gauzy Vision Systems is set for May 12, 2026 with potential outcomes ranging from liquidation to approval of a continuation plan that management expects as most likely.

Research Frontiers Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Very weak fundamentals driven by persistently large operating and net losses and continued cash burn. Revenue remains very small and declining TTM (~-18.6%), and while gross margin is strong (~92%), it has not translated into profitability (EBIT margin ~-280%, net margin ~-396%). Balance sheet is not distressed but leverage is meaningful (debt-to-equity ~0.97) alongside sharply negative ROE (~-169%).

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue654.23K1.12M1.34M909.60K539.69K1.26M
Gross Profit566.24K934.57K1.07M-1.45M539.69K1.26M
EBITDA-2.08M-1.86M-1.05M-1.74M-2.49M-1.67M
Net Income-2.25M-2.05M-1.31M-1.91M-2.67M-1.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.48M2.25M4.04M3.85M5.37M4.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.09M664.30K1.99M2.48M4.23M3.03M
Total Debt1.09M1.17M1.30M267.72K464.13K646.22K
Total Liabilities1.35M1.32M1.44M332.79K569.59K762.06K
Stockholders Equity1.12M933.63K2.60M3.52M4.80M3.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.56M-1.33M-790.44K-2.30M-2.18M-1.81M
Operating Cash Flow-1.56M-1.33M-788.82K-2.30M-2.18M-1.80M
Investing Cash Flow-622-726-1,62355.59K2.69M-2.78M
Financing Cash Flow1.38M0308.67K484.50K3.45M86.26K

Research Frontiers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.35

Price Trends

50DMA0.54Negative
100DMA0.53Negative
200DMA0.75Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Positive
RSI29.59Positive
STOCH5.18Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REFR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.54, below the 50-day MA of 0.54, and below the 200-day MA of 0.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.59 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REFR.

Research Frontiers Risk Analysis

Research Frontiers disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Research Frontiers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Research Frontiers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

REFR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
CPSHCPSH48Neutral$69.60M780.430.15%―25.56%―
MINDMIND46Neutral$36.81M-15.44-5.77%―-28.46%-147.43%
ODYSODYS45Neutral$39.73M-1.77-78.20%―-78.30%-4.48%
REFRREFR43Neutral$12.21M-5.30-168.53%―-46.47%-26.00%
NEONNEON31Underperform$11.09M1.3534.15%―-21.65%―

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%REFRMINDNEONCPSHODYSHOLODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
REFR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
REFRResearch Frontiers0.35-1.53-81.38%
MINDMind Technology Inc4.05-7.95-66.25%
NEONNeonode0.66-2.22-77.08%
CPSHCPS Technologies Corp.3.590.102.87%
ODYSOdysight.Ai Inc.1.96-0.85-30.18%
HOLOMicrocloud Hologram Inc.1.12-2.98-72.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 20, 2026