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Postal Realty Trust Inc (PSTL)
NYSE:PSTL
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Postal Realty (PSTL) AI Stock Analysis

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PSTL

Postal Realty

(NYSE:PSTL)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
â–²(22.03% Upside)
Postal Realty's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, is the most significant factor driving the stock score. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, with increased AFFO guidance and successful acquisition activities, further supports the score. While the technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, the overbought RSI suggests caution. The high P/E ratio tempers the score, but the attractive dividend yield provides a counterbalance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's robust revenue growth indicates strong demand for its properties and effective leasing strategies, supporting long-term financial stability and market position.
Balance Sheet Health
A debt-free balance sheet enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to pursue growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations, ensuring long-term stability.
Acquisition Strategy
The active acquisition strategy expands the company's portfolio, increasing rental income potential and reinforcing its position in the niche market of USPS-leased properties.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Margin Decline
The significant drop in EBITDA margin suggests rising operational costs, which could pressure profitability if not addressed, potentially affecting long-term financial performance.
Potential for Increased Operating Expenses
Increased operating expenses could reduce cash flow and profitability, impacting the company's ability to fund future growth and maintain dividend payouts.
CFO Transition Costs
CFO transition costs may introduce short-term financial strain and operational disruption, potentially affecting strategic execution and investor confidence.

Postal Realty (PSTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Postal Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPostal Realty Trust, Inc. is an internally managed real estate investment trust that owns and manages over 1,000 properties leased to the USPS. The Company believes it is one of the largest owners and managers of properties leased to the USPS.
How the Company Makes MoneyPostal Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income derived from its portfolio of properties leased to the USPS. The company benefits from long-term lease agreements, which provide a stable and predictable cash flow. Additionally, Postal Realty may realize income through property management fees, leasing commissions, and potential appreciation of its real estate assets. The company’s strategic focus on properties that serve essential postal services ensures a consistent demand for its real estate, contributing to its financial stability. Significant partnerships with local governments and community organizations may also enhance its operational effectiveness and growth prospects.

Postal Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing efforts and acquisition activities that exceeded expectations. The AFFO guidance was increased, and the company maintained low leverage. However, there are some concerns regarding potential increased operating expenses and costs associated with the CFO transition.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Re-Leasing Effort
The company executed 10-year leases, with 31% of the portfolio under such terms and 55% featuring annual rent escalations. All 2025 lease expirations have been agreed upon, and negotiations for 2027 are underway.
AFFO Per Share Guidance Increase
AFFO per share was delivered at $0.33, exceeding expectations and enabling an increase in full-year 2025 AFFO guidance by $0.04 to $1.24-$1.26 per share, implying nearly 8% year-over-year growth.
Acquisition Momentum
Postal Realty Trust closed on 127 properties year-to-date for over $60 million. In Q2 alone, $36 million of acquisitions were completed at a 7.8% cap rate, with net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA decreasing to 5.1x.
Dividend Increase
A quarterly dividend of $0.2425 per share was approved, representing a 1% increase from Q2 2024's dividend.
Negative Updates
CFO Transition Costs
The updated AFFO guidance considers costs related to the CFO transition, although specific impacts were not detailed.
Potential for Increased Operating Expenses
There is an expectation of higher CapEx and variable OpEx in Q3 due to the scope and timing of projects, which may affect the run rate.
Company Guidance
During the Postal Realty Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance, reflecting its strong performance and strategic initiatives. The Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share guidance for 2025 was increased by $0.04 to a range of $1.24 to $1.26, indicating a projected 8% year-over-year growth. This revision was due to lower-than-anticipated operating expenses and successful re-leasing efforts, which contributed to a robust same-store net operating income (NOI) guidance of 7% to 9%, up from the prior 4% to 6%. The company also highlighted its acquisition activity, with 127 properties acquired in 2025 for over $60 million, and a target to exceed $90 million in acquisitions for the year. Postal Realty Trust maintained a strong balance sheet with net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA reduced to 5.1x. The company's dividend increased by 1% from the previous year, and it remained well-covered by AFFO.

Postal Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Postal Realty demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet characterized by zero debt in 2024. The company efficiently generates cash flow, though EBITDA margins have seen a decline, indicating a potential area for operational improvement. Overall, the financial trajectory is positive, with notable strengths in profitability and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Postal Realty has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 19.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 87.1% and a net profit margin of 8.6% for 2024. The EBIT margin is also strong at 27.7%, indicating efficient operations. However, the EBITDA margin decreased from 52.9% in 2023 to 21.8% in 2024, which is a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Postal Realty exhibits a robust balance sheet with no total debt in 2024, significantly improving the debt-to-equity ratio to 0. The equity ratio is strong at 38.8%, and the return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 2.6% for 2024. The substantial increase in stockholders' equity indicates a solid financial position.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company's free cash flow grew by 31% from 2023 to 2024, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 5.1, reflecting efficient cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 5.1 suggests there is room for improvement in converting profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.54M76.37M63.71M53.33M39.94M24.68M
Gross Profit61.20M57.40M48.34M40.54M30.55M19.66M
EBITDA49.16M42.68M33.68M27.86M19.40M10.96M
Net Income11.27M6.60M3.71M3.85M2.06M-640.88K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets689.82M646.82M567.35M501.30M377.72M258.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08M1.80M2.23M1.50M5.86M2.21M
Total Debt0.00296.71M240.62M196.66M95.35M124.63M
Total Liabilities365.27M329.32M265.72M217.59M112.24M139.25M
Stockholders Equity250.80M251.28M243.56M229.23M220.04M91.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.23M30.73M25.56M20.90M15.20M8.43M
Operating Cash Flow39.44M33.50M28.43M24.59M17.09M9.40M
Investing Cash Flow-84.24M-79.15M-72.61M-120.15M-106.72M-126.15M
Financing Cash Flow44.27M45.32M45.01M90.57M93.39M106.84M

Postal Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.57
Price Trends
50DMA
15.20
Positive
100DMA
14.61
Positive
200DMA
13.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
49.71
Neutral
STOCH
14.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSTL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.92, above the 50-day MA of 15.20, and above the 200-day MA of 13.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PSTL.

Postal Realty Risk Analysis

Postal Realty disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Postal Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Postal Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$468.21M40.653.61%6.21%26.73%332.25%
66
Neutral
$1.03B58.271.29%9.81%8.18%-15.35%
52
Neutral
$154.30M-1.98-13.48%5.84%-15.14%16.61%
45
Neutral
$22.10M-0.06-27.60%13.39%-11.93%-1877.17%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSTL
Postal Realty
15.44
2.02
15.05%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
1.62
0.06
3.85%
OPI
Office Properties Income
0.30
-1.68
-84.85%
CIO
City Office REIT
6.95
1.66
31.38%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.74
-0.75
-21.49%
NLOP
Net Lease Office Properties
29.53
2.61
9.70%

Postal Realty Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Postal Realty Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Postal Realty Trust, Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a 29% increase in revenues compared to the same period in 2024. The company acquired 68 USPS properties for $35.9 million and raised $12.8 million from its ATM program to fund acquisitions. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.2425 per share and increased its AFFO guidance for 2025. The portfolio was 99.8% occupied, and the company maintained a strong relationship with the USPS, securing 161 new leases for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSTL) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Postal Realty stock, see the PSTL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Postal Realty Announces CFO Resignation and Transition
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Postal Realty Trust, Inc. announced the resignation of Robert B. Klein as Chief Financial Officer, effective the same day, as he transitions to a role at a privately-held real estate company. Jeremy Garber, who has been with the company since its founding and previously served as the principal financial officer, will take over as interim CFO while the company searches for a permanent successor. Klein will remain with the company as an employee until June 30, 2025, and as a consultant thereafter, ensuring a smooth transition. This change is part of a strategic transition plan, with Klein playing a crucial role in the company’s financial reporting and maintaining its strong financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSTL) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Postal Realty stock, see the PSTL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Postal Realty Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

Postal Realty Trust, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 16, 2025, where several key proposals were approved. These included the election of five directors, ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and advisory votes on executive compensation and its frequency. The board decided to conduct advisory votes on executive compensation annually, aligning with shareholder preferences.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSTL) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Postal Realty stock, see the PSTL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2025