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Old Second Bancorp (OSBC) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 06, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Old Second stockholders and Bancorp Financial stockholders will each have reduced ownership and voting interest in and will exercise less influence over management of the combined company.
Old Second stockholders currently have the right to vote in the election of the Old Second board of directors and on other matters affecting Old Second, and Bancorp Financial common stockholders currently have the right to vote in the election of the Bancorp Financial board of directors and on other matters affecting Bancorp Financial. When the merger occurs, each Bancorp Financial stockholder will become a stockholder of Old Second, and each Bancorp Financial stockholder and Old Second stockholder will have a percentage ownership in the combined company that is smaller than the stockholder's percentage ownership of either Bancorp Financial or Old Second individually. Because of this, each Bancorp Financial stockholder and Old Second stockholder will have less influence on the management and policies of the combined company than each now has on the management and policies of Bancorp Financial or Old Second individually.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Bancorp Financial stockholders have appraisal rights in the merger.
If the merger agreement is adopted by Bancorp Financial shareholders, Bancorp Financial shareholders who do not vote in favor of the adoption of the merger agreement and who properly demand payment of fair cash value of their shares of common stock will be entitled to appraisal rights in connection with the merger under Section 262 of the DGCL. Old Second cannot predict the number of shares of Bancorp Financial common stock that may constitute dissenting shares, the amount of cash that Old Second may be required to pay following the completion of the proposed merger with respect to the dissenting shares, or the expenses that Old Second may incur in connection with the appraisal process. However, if the proposed merger is completed, Old Second payments with respect to the dissenting shares and Old Second expenses in connection with the dissent and potential appraisal process may negatively impact Old Second's liquidity and capital, which could adversely affect our business, stock price, financial condition, and results of operations, including short-term and long-term liquidity, our ability to successfully close the merger, our ability to implement our strategic plan, and could also result in Old Second taking steps to strengthen its liquidity or capital position, including by issuing additional stock or equity derivative securities. However, Old Second's obligation to consummate the merger is subject to the condition that the holders of no more than 7.5% of the aggregate outstanding shares of Bancorp Financial's common stock properly notify Bancorp Financial of their intent to exercise appraisal rights.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Various factors, including potential stockholder litigation, could prevent or delay the completion of the merger or otherwise negatively impact Old Second's and/or Bancorp Financial's business and operations.
The completion of the merger is subject to closing conditions. Various factors, including potential stockholder litigation, could prevent or delay the completion of the merger or otherwise negatively impact the business and operations of the combined company. Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial stockholders may file lawsuits against Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial and/or the directors and officers of Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial in connection with the merger. One of the conditions to the closing is that no order, injunction or similar decree issued by any governmental authority of competent jurisdiction or other legal restraint will prohibit the consummation of the transactions contemplated by the merger agreement. If any plaintiff were successful in obtaining an injunction prohibiting the parties from completing the merger pursuant to the merger agreement, then such injunction may delay or prevent the effectiveness of the merger. If a lawsuit is filed, the parties may incur costs in connection with the defense or settlement of any such lawsuits, which could have an adverse effect on Old Second's and/or Bancorp Financial's financial condition and results of operations and could prevent or delay the completion of the merger.
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4Old Second and Bancorp Financial will be subject to business uncertainties and contractual restrictions while the merger is pending, which could adversely affect each party's business and operations.
Uncertainty about the effect of the merger on customers and material business partners may have an adverse effect on Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial. These uncertainties could cause customers, critical business partners and others that deal with Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial to seek to change or terminate existing business relationships with Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial. Specifically, a significant portion of Bancorp Financial's lending activity is derived from relationships with Original Equipment Manufacturers ("OEMs") and their retail customers, as such, uncertainties about the effect of the merger could cause these OEMs to change or terminate business relationships with Bancorp Financial or the combined company. Subject to certain exceptions, Old Second and Bancorp Financial have each agreed to operate its business in all material respects in the ordinary course of business consistent with past practice and to use reasonable best efforts to preserve its the rights, franchises, goodwill and relations of its customers, clients and others with whom business relationships exist until the merger occurs and to refrain from taking other specified actions without the consent of the other party. These restrictions may prevent Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial from pursuing attractive business opportunities that may arise prior to the completion of the merger.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 5The merger agreement may be terminated in accordance with its terms and the merger may not be completed.
The merger agreement is subject to a number of conditions which must be fulfilled in order to complete the merger. Those conditions include: (a) the approval of the Bancorp Financial merger proposal by the requisite vote of Bancorp Financial's stockholders; (b) the receipt of all required regulatory approvals which are necessary to consummate the merger and the bank merger and the expiration of all statutory waiting periods; (c) the receipt of all consents (other than required regulatory approvals) required for consummation of the merger and for the prevention of a default under any contract of such party which, if not obtained or made, would reasonably likely have, individually or in the aggregate, a material adverse effect on such party; (d) the effectiveness of the registration statement on Form S-4, of which the proxy statement/prospectus is a part, and the absence of any pending or threatened proceedings to suspend such effectiveness; (e) the absence of any injunction, judgment, order or other legal restraint preventing the consummation of the transactions contemplated by the merger agreement or making the consummation of the merger illegal; (f) the authorization for listing on NASDAQ of the shares of Old Second common stock to be issued in the merger; (g) receipt by each party of an opinion from its tax advisor or legal counsel as to certain tax matters; (h) subject to materiality standards in the merger agreement, the accuracy of the representations and warranties of the other party; (i) the prior performance in all material respects by the other party of the obligations required to be performed by it at or prior to the closing date of the merger; (j) the absence of any event, change or occurrence which, individually or together with any other event, change or occurrence, has had or is reasonably expected to have a material adverse effect on the other party since February 24, 2025; (k) the holders of no more than 7.5% of the issued and outstanding shares of Bancorp Financial common stock will have taken the actions required by the DGCL to exercise appraisal rights; (l) Bancorp Financial obtaining necessary consents from certain material third parties; and (m) the execution of the Old Second officer agreements by Darin Campbell in the form attached to the merger agreement (and he must not have advised Old Second that he intends to breach any such agreements). These conditions to the closing of the merger may not be fulfilled in a timely manner or at all, and, accordingly, the merger may not be completed. In addition, the parties can mutually decide to terminate the merger agreement at any time, before or after stockholder approval, or Old Second or Bancorp Financial may elect to terminate the merger agreement in certain other circumstances.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 6Failure to complete the merger could negatively impact Old Second and Bancorp Financial.
If the merger is not completed for any reason, including as a result of Bancorp Financial stockholders failing to approve the merger, there may be various adverse consequences, and Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial may experience negative reactions from the financial markets and from their respective customers and personnel. For example, Old Second's or Bancorp Financial's businesses may have been impacted adversely by the failure to pursue other attractive or otherwise opportunistic or beneficial opportunities due to the focus of management on the merger, without realizing any of the anticipated benefits of completing the merger. Additionally, if the merger agreement is terminated, the market price of Old Second common stock could decline to the extent that current market prices reflect a market assumption that the merger will be beneficial and will be completed. Old Second and/or Bancorp Financial also could be subject to litigation related to any failure to complete the merger or to proceedings commenced against Old Second or Bancorp Financial to perform their respective obligations under the merger agreement. If the merger agreement is terminated under certain circumstances, Bancorp Financial may be required to pay to Old Second a termination fee of $8,500,000. Additionally, each of Old Second and Bancorp Financial has incurred and will incur substantial expenses in connection with the negotiation and completion of the transactions contemplated by the merger agreement, as well as the costs and expenses of preparing, filing, printing and mailing a proxy statement/prospectus, and all filing and other fees paid in connection with the merger. If the merger is not completed, Old Second and Bancorp Financial would have to pay these expenses without realizing the expected benefits of the merger.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 7Combining Old Second and Bancorp Financial may be more difficult, costly or time-consuming than expected and the combined company may fail to realize the anticipated benefits of the merger.
The success of the merger will depend, in part, on the ability to realize the anticipated synergies, operating efficiencies and cost savings from combining the business operations of Old Second and Bancorp Financial. To realize the anticipated benefits and cost savings from the merger, Old Second and Bancorp Financial must integrate and combine their businesses in a manner that permits those benefits and cost savings to be realized, without adversely affecting current revenues and future growth. If Old Second and Bancorp Financial are not able to successfully achieve these objectives, the anticipated benefits of the merger may not be realized fully or at all or may take longer to realize than expected. In addition, the actual cost savings of the merger could be less than anticipated, the costs associated with effecting the merger may be more than anticipated and integration may result in additional and unforeseen expenses. An inability to realize the full extent of the anticipated benefits of the merger and the other transactions contemplated by the merger agreement, including the bank merger, as well as any delays encountered in the integration process, could have an adverse effect upon the revenues, levels of expenses and operating results and financial condition of the combined company, which may adversely affect the value of the common stock of the combined company after the completion of the merger. Old Second and Bancorp Financial have operated and, until the completion of the merger, must continue to operate, independently. It is possible that the integration process could result in the loss of key personnel, the disruption of each company's ongoing businesses or inconsistencies in standards, controls, procedures and policies that adversely affect the companies' ability to maintain relationships with clients, customers, depositors, business partners and employees or to achieve the anticipated benefits and cost savings of the merger. Integration efforts between the two companies may also divert management attention and resources. These integration matters could have an adverse effect on each of Old Second and Bancorp Financial during this transition period and on the combined company for an undetermined period after completion of the merger. Other factors such as the strength of the economy and competitive factors in the areas where Old Second and Bancorp Financial do business may also affect the ability of the combined company to realize the anticipated benefits of the merger.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 8Old Second and Bancorp Financial will incur transaction and integration costs in connection with the merger.
Old Second and Bancorp Financial have incurred and expect to incur significant, non-recurring costs in connection with negotiating the merger agreement and closing the merger. In addition, the combined company will incur integration costs following the completion of the merger as Old Second and Bancorp Financial integrate the businesses of the two companies, including facilities and systems consolidation costs and employment-related costs. There can be no assurances that the expected benefits and efficiencies related to the integration of the businesses will be realized to offset these transaction and integration costs over time. Old Second and Bancorp Financial may also incur additional costs to maintain employee morale and to retain key employees. Old Second and Bancorp Financial will also incur significant legal, financial advisor, accounting, banking and consulting fees, fees relating to regulatory filings and notices, SEC filing fees, printing and mailing fees and other costs associated with the merger. Most of these costs are payable regardless of whether the merger is completed.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 49
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1The trading volumes in our common stock may not provide adequate liquidity for investors.
Shares of our common stock are listed on the NASDAQ Global Select Market; however, the average daily trading volume in our common stock is less than that of larger financial services companies. A public trading market having the desired characteristics of depth, liquidity and orderliness depends on the presence in the marketplace of a sufficient number of willing buyers and sellers of the common stock at any given time. This presence depends on the individual decisions of investors and general economic and market conditions over which we have no control. Given the current daily average trading volume of our common stock, significant sales of our common stock in a brief period of time, or the expectation of these sales, could cause a significant decline in the price of our common stock and increased volatility.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2The trading price of our common stock may be subject to continued significant fluctuations and volatility.
The market price of our common stock could be subject to significant fluctuations due to, among other things: - actual or anticipated quarterly fluctuations in our operating and financial results, particularly if such results vary from the expectations of management, securities analysts and investors, including with respect to further credit losses on loans or unfunded commitments we may incur;- announcements regarding significant transactions in which we may engage;- market assessments regarding such transactions;- changes or perceived changes in our operations or business prospects;- legislative or regulatory changes affecting our industry generally or our businesses and operations;- a weakening of general market and economic conditions, particularly with respect to economic conditions in Illinois;- the operating and share price performance of companies that investors consider to be comparable to us;- future offerings by us of debt, preferred stock or trust preferred securities, each of which would be senior to our common stock upon liquidation and for purposes of dividend distributions;- actions of our current stockholders, including future sales of common stock by existing stockholders and our directors and executive officers; and - other changes in U.S. or global financial markets, economies and market conditions, such as interest or foreign exchange rates, stock, commodity, credit or asset valuations or volatility, or heightened volatility in the banking sector generally. As a result, the market price of our common stock may continue to be subject to similar market fluctuations that may or may not be related to our operating performance or prospects. Increased volatility could result in a decline in the market price of our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Shares of our common stock are subject to dilution, which could cause our common stock price to decline.
We are generally not restricted from issuing additional shares of our common stock up to the number of shares authorized in our Certificate of Incorporation. We may issue additional shares of our common stock (or securities convertible into common stock) for a number of reasons, including to finance our operations and business strategy (including mergers and acquisitions), to adjust our ratio of debt to equity, to address regulatory capital concerns, or to satisfy our obligations upon the exercise of outstanding stock awards. We may issue equity securities in transactions that generate cash proceeds, transactions that free up regulatory capital but do not immediately generate or preserve substantial amounts of cash, and transactions that generate regulatory or balance sheet capital only and do not generate or preserve cash. If we choose to raise capital by selling shares of our common stock or securities convertible into common stock for any reason, the issuance would have a dilutive effect on the holders of our common stock and could have a material negative effect on the market price of our common stock and on our earnings per share.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Certain banking laws and our governing documents may have an anti-takeover effect and may make it difficult and expensive to remove current management.
Certain federal banking laws, including regulatory approval requirements, could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire us, even if doing so would be perceived to be beneficial to our stockholders. In addition, certain provisions in our certificate of incorporation and bylaws could make it more difficult for a third party to acquire control of the Company, even if such event was perceived by you to be beneficial to your interests. These include, among others, (a) provisions that empower our board of directors, without stockholder approval, to issue preferred stock, the terms of which, including voting power, are set by the board of directors, (b) we have a classified board of directors with three-year staggered terms, which may delay the ability of stockholders to change the membership of a majority of our board, and (c) the approval of certain business combinations requires the affirmative vote of at least 75% of our outstanding shares of common stock. In addition, federal banking regulators must approve certain changes in control under applicable banking laws. The combination of these laws and provisions in our certificate of incorporation may inhibit certain business combinations, including a non-negotiated merger or other business combination, which, in turn, could adversely affect the market price of our common stock. These provisions in our certificate of incorporation could also discourage proxy contests and make it more difficult and expensive for holders of our common stock to elect directors other than the candidates nominated by our board of directors or otherwise remove existing directors and management, even if current management is not performing adequately.
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