TipRanks
Orange SA (ORANY)
OTHER OTC:ORANY
Want to see ORANY full AI Analyst Report?

Orange SA (ORANY) AI Stock Analysis

668 Followers

Top Page

ORANY

Orange SA

(OTC:ORANY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 62 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
â–¼(-3.35% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/27/26
The score is driven primarily by resilient cash flow but weakened recent profitability and high leverage (financial performance). The latest earnings call was a notable positive with raised guidance and broad operational momentum, while technicals remain weak with the stock below major moving averages. Valuation is supportive given the low P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Resilient Cash Generation
Strong operating and free cash flow provide Orange with internally generated funding for network investment, debt service and customer initiatives. This recurring cash-generation capacity is a durable strength for a capital-intensive telecom business, although the recent free-cash-flow decline merits monitoring.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Lower Equity
High debt combined with a materially smaller equity base reduces financial flexibility even though Orange generates substantial cash. This structure can constrain discretionary investment, increase sensitivity to weaker earnings, and leave less room to absorb operating setbacks or pursue strategic opportunities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Resilient Cash Generation
Strong operating and free cash flow provide Orange with internally generated funding for network investment, debt service and customer initiatives. This recurring cash-generation capacity is a durable strength for a capital-intensive telecom business, although the recent free-cash-flow decline merits monitoring.
Read all positive factors

Orange SA (ORANY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orange S.A. operates as a major telecommunications provider, serving customers in France and worldwide. The company delivers a broad spectrum of services, including essential mobile communication features like voice calls, text messages, and data ...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange primarily generates revenue by selling telecommunications and related services to consumers, enterprises, and wholesale customers. Its largest revenue streams typically come from (1) retail mobile services—monthly service plans and usage-ba...

Orange SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive overall. Orange reported broad-based revenue, EBITDAaL and operating cash flow growth, raised full-year EBITDAaL guidance to above 4.5%, and highlighted strong commercial momentum, particularly in Africa and the Middle East, France and Europe 6. The main challenges were the decline in Orange Business revenue, continued negative service revenue in Spain, French ARPU pressure, macroeconomic and political uncertainty, limited initial Skylo adoption and a temporary mobile network outage.
Positive Updates
Strong Q3 Group Performance and Raised Guidance
Q3 revenue grew 3.6% to EUR 12.2 billion, EBITDAaL increased 4.6%, and operating cash flow grew 10.3%. Revenue increased across all geographies, and full-year EBITDAaL growth guidance was upgraded to above 4.5%.
Negative Updates
Orange Business Revenue Decline
Orange Business revenue declined 2.5% in Q3, reflecting an IT market still affected by the macroeconomic environment. Management said the complex market environment was weighing on the EBITDAaL improvement trend and that the environment was putting pressure on prices for customers.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q3 Group Performance and Raised Guidance
Q3 revenue grew 3.6% to EUR 12.2 billion, EBITDAaL increased 4.6%, and operating cash flow grew 10.3%. Revenue increased across all geographies, and full-year EBITDAaL growth guidance was upgraded to above 4.5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Orange upgraded its full year EBITDAaL growth guidance to above 4.5%, while eCapEx to sales is expected to be around 15%; France is expected to deliver stable plus EBITDAaL growth for 2026, including H2 stable plus EBITDAaL, Spain is expected to deliver low single-digit EBITDAaL growth in H2, Africa and Middle East is expected to achieve double-digit EBITDAaL growth for the full year, and Europe 6 is expected to deliver mid-single-digit EBITDAaL growth for the full year. Orange also reiterated its 2026-2028 guidance of an EBITDAaL CAGR of plus 3%, with the signing of the SFR transaction planned by the end of this year, 2026 and closing by the end of 2027.

Orange SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is solid with positive free cash flow (~€3.3B in 2025) and strong operating cash flow (~€10.4B), but 2025 showed a meaningful profitability reset (net margin ~1.3% vs. ~5–6% in 2022–2024) and the balance sheet remains highly leveraged with declining equity, limiting flexibility if earnings stay pressured.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.76B38.80B40.26B39.68B39.13B42.52B
Gross Profit8.50B6.11B23.61B22.91B22.96B24.55B
EBITDA13.83B11.59B13.29B13.70B13.64B11.24B
Net Income4.20B516.77M2.35B2.44B2.15B9.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets126.40B110.76B111.07B125.63B120.79B111.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.43B15.21B12.23B9.16B11.21B12.38B
Total Debt8.86B50.00B49.67B58.16B45.96B41.00B
Total Liabilities91.25B82.11B79.79B92.33B88.76B72.71B
Stockholders Equity31.82B25.23B31.77B29.69B28.64B32.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.14B3.32B3.77B4.57B2.58B2.94B
Operating Cash Flow12.72B10.35B11.03B13.03B11.81B13.28B
Investing Cash Flow-10.47B-6.19B-1.58B-7.57B-10.98B-7.06B
Financing Cash Flow-634.54M-842.39M-6.20B-5.91B-3.51B-5.72B

Orange SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.59
Price Trends
50DMA
16.78
Negative
100DMA
17.88
Negative
200DMA
18.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
49.36
Neutral
STOCH
67.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORANY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.89, above the 50-day MA of 16.78, and below the 200-day MA of 18.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ORANY.

Orange SA Risk Analysis

Orange SA disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orange SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.43B10.6517.54%7.85%13.99%29.93%
69
Neutral
$75.10B15.0722.21%2.42%15.97%39.45%
66
Neutral
$185.39B11.4115.73%6.29%1.38%-16.44%
63
Neutral
$36.97B-72.56-0.79%3.38%16.69%87.12%
62
Neutral
$43.11B9.2814.52%3.64%10.52%296.96%
62
Neutral
$144.23B11.5711.95%5.18%3.51%-39.83%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORANY
Orange SA
16.15
0.68
4.37%
AMX
America Movil
24.48
2.26
10.17%
T
AT&T
21.41
-2.21
-9.37%
TIMB
TIM
17.68
-3.63
-17.02%
VZ
Verizon
44.73
7.47
20.05%
VOD
Vodafone
15.88
4.28
36.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026