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Oneok Inc (OKE)
NYSE:OKE
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Oneok (OKE) AI Stock Analysis

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OKE

Oneok

(NYSE:OKE)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(14.58% Upside)
Oneok's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by a positive earnings call. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates robust demand for Oneok's services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial health.
Successful Integration of Acquired Assets
Effective integration of acquisitions boosts operational efficiency and profitability, strengthening Oneok's competitive advantage in the midstream sector.
Financial Flexibility
Proactive debt management and share repurchases reflect strong financial discipline, enhancing shareholder value and reducing leverage risks.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and pose risks in volatile market conditions, potentially impacting long-term stability.
Margin Pressure
Declining margins suggest rising costs or pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not addressed, affecting long-term financial performance.
Operational Challenges
Operational disruptions can lead to revenue loss and increased costs, highlighting the need for robust risk management to maintain operational stability.

Oneok (OKE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oneok Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionONEOK, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of natural gas in the United States. It operates through Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, Natural Gas Liquids, and Natural Gas Pipelines segments. The company owns natural gas gathering pipelines and processing plants in the Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain regions. It also gathers, treats, fractionates, and transports natural gas liquids (NGL), as well as stores, markets, and distributes NGL products. The company owns NGL gathering and distribution pipelines in Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas, New Mexico, Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming, and Colorado; terminal and storage facilities in Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, and Illinois; and NGL distribution and refined petroleum products pipelines in Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana, as well as owns and operates truck- and rail-loading, and -unloading facilities connected to NGL fractionation, storage, and pipeline assets. In addition, it operates regulated interstate and intrastate natural gas transmission pipelines and natural gas storage facilities. Further, the company owns and operates a parking garage in downtown Tulsa, Oklahoma; and leases excess office space. It operates 17,500 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines; 1,500 miles of FERC-regulated interstate natural gas pipelines; 5,100 miles of state-regulated intrastate transmission pipeline; six NGL storage facilities; and eight NGL product terminals. It serves integrated and independent exploration and production companies; NGL and natural gas gathering and processing companies; crude oil and natural gas production companies; propane distributors; municipalities; ethanol producers; and petrochemical, refining, and NGL marketing companies, as well as natural gas distribution and electric generation companies, producers, processors, and marketing companies. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyOneok generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts for its midstream services, including gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas and NGLs. The company operates a network of pipelines and processing facilities that allow it to collect fees for transporting and storing hydrocarbons. Key revenue streams include gathering and processing fees from producers, transportation fees from shippers, and NGL sales. Additionally, Oneok benefits from long-term contracts with producers, which provide stable cash flows. Significant partnerships with exploration and production companies further enhance its revenue potential by ensuring consistent demand for its services.

Oneok Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results and successful integration of acquired assets, with significant contributions from synergies and increased volumes across several segments. Despite some operational challenges like the MB-4 fractionator incident, the overall outlook remains positive, driven by strategic projects and financial flexibility.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Third Quarter Results
ONEOK announced higher third quarter results and affirmed their 2025 net income and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges. Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% compared to the second quarter and approximately 20% compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Performance of Acquired Assets
The acquired EnLink and Medallion assets contributed nearly $470 million in adjusted EBITDA during the third quarter, continuing their meaningful contribution to year-over-year earnings growth.
Financial Flexibility and Debt Management
ONEOK repurchased more than 600,000 shares of common stock and retired over $500 million in senior notes. Year-to-date, over $1.3 billion in senior notes have been extinguished.
Successful Synergy Recognition
ONEOK remains on track to realize approximately $250 million of incremental synergies in 2025, having already realized nearly $500 million since the Magellan acquisition in September 2023.
Increased Volumes Across Segments
There was an increase in natural gas liquids and natural gas gathering and processing segment volumes. Rocky Mountain region volumes hit a record, and Gulf Coast/Permian NGL volumes increased by 8% compared to the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Refinery Maintenance Impact
Regional supply disruptions related to refinery maintenance primarily impacted short-haul lower tariff movements in the refined products segment.
MB-4 Fractionator Incident
Operations at the MB-4 fractionator were temporarily halted due to an incident in early October, although operations resumed within 10 days following repairs.
Company Guidance
During ONEOK's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics and strategic updates. They affirmed their 2025 net income guidance range of $3.17 billion to $3.65 billion and an adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $8 billion to $8.45 billion. The company reported a third-quarter net income of $940 million, a 10% increase compared to the previous quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.12 billion. They noted a 7% sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, driven by volume growth and integration strategies. ONEOK also emphasized their significant operating leverage, with projects adding substantial capacity, and reaffirmed their expectation to achieve approximately $250 million in synergy-related adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Additionally, ONEOK repurchased over 600,000 shares and retired more than $500 million in senior notes during the quarter, reflecting their balanced capital allocation approach. They remain focused on achieving a long-term leverage target of 3.5x by the fourth quarter of 2026 and anticipate benefitting from a $1.5 billion reduction in cash taxes over the next five years, boosting their free cash flow.

Oneok Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oneok demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, though there are pressures on margins. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow generation remains solid, supporting the company's financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Oneok's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 11.99%. The company maintains solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 26.58% and a net profit margin of 11.07%. However, there is a slight decline in margins compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.49, indicating significant leverage. However, the company has improved its equity position, and the return on equity remains robust at 16.04%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 6.20% TTM, but the company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.79. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.54 suggests adequate cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.95B21.64B17.68B22.87B17.27B8.46B
Gross Profit6.26B5.05B5.75B3.12B3.02B2.03B
EBITDA7.26B6.59B5.11B3.52B3.30B2.00B
Net Income3.09B3.04B2.66B1.72B1.50B612.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets64.52B64.07B44.27B24.38B23.62B23.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.00M733.00M338.00M220.00M146.39M524.50M
Total Debt32.47B32.29B21.76B13.70B13.73B14.34B
Total Liabilities42.62B41.94B27.78B17.89B17.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity21.83B17.04B16.48B6.49B6.02B6.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.88B2.87B2.83B1.70B1.85B-296.31M
Operating Cash Flow5.29B4.89B4.42B2.91B2.55B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-6.79B-6.61B-6.40B-1.14B-665.29M-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow1.56B2.12B2.10B-1.69B-2.26B875.00M

Oneok Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.20
Price Trends
50DMA
72.05
Negative
100DMA
75.58
Negative
200DMA
82.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.17
Positive
RSI
33.50
Neutral
STOCH
42.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.88, below the 50-day MA of 72.05, and below the 200-day MA of 82.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OKE.

Oneok Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$51.74B12.0531.38%7.54%4.67%2.07%
$67.38B11.6620.43%6.88%-0.55%2.14%
$42.32B12.7017.14%6.07%58.76%13.74%
$57.62B21.388.87%4.21%8.54%7.22%
$32.58B21.8460.30%2.29%5.88%46.35%
$69.58B29.0619.64%3.43%10.57%-14.22%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKE
Oneok
67.20
-24.63
-26.82%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.12
3.81
13.95%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
25.90
2.12
8.92%
TRGP
Targa Resources
151.38
-11.98
-7.33%
WMB
Williams Co
56.98
6.27
12.36%
MPLX
MPLX
50.29
9.22
22.45%

Oneok Corporate Events

ONEOK Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Oct 30, 2025

ONEOK Inc. is a leading midstream energy company headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, specializing in the gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) across North America. As one of the largest integrated energy infrastructure companies, ONEOK plays a crucial role in meeting domestic and international energy demands.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with net income reaching $940 million and adjusted EBITDA at $2.12 billion. The company highlighted a 17% increase in Rocky Mountain region NGL raw feed throughput volumes and a 6% rise in the Mid-Continent region. The results were driven by the successful integration of acquisitions and increased production across its operational basins, positioning ONEOK for long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ONEOK Completes $3 Billion Public Offering
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 12, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. completed a significant public offering of notes totaling $3 billion, with the proceeds intended to repay outstanding commercial paper and senior notes due in September 2025. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen ONEOK’s financial position and provide flexibility for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ONEOK Announces $3 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 6, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. announced the pricing of a $3.0 billion senior notes offering, which includes $750 million of 7-year notes, $1.0 billion of 10-year notes, and $1.25 billion of 30-year notes. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding commercial paper and senior notes due September 15, 2025, with any remaining funds allocated for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen ONEOK’s financial position by addressing its debt obligations and potentially enhancing its operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

ONEOK Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Growth
Aug 6, 2025

ONEOK Inc., a leading midstream service provider in North America, specializes in gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and export services for natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), refined products, and crude oil.

Oneok Inc. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Oneok Inc. presented a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong performance in the second quarter. The call emphasized significant net income growth, a boost in adjusted EBITDA, and strategic expansions in the Permian Basin. However, it also acknowledged challenges related to market volatility and adjustments to the 2026 outlook.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
ONEOK Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Boost
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. reported higher earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $841 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.98 billion. The results were driven by strategic acquisitions, particularly EnLink and Medallion, which contributed significantly to the company’s performance. The company also repaid nearly $600 million in senior notes and affirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance ranges. These developments underscore ONEOK’s strong market positioning and its ability to deliver long-term value to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (OKE) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Oneok stock, see the OKE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025