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Organon (OGN)
NYSE:OGN
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Organon (OGN) AI Stock Analysis

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OGN

Organon

(NYSE:OGN)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-0.85% Downside)
Organon's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. However, the stock's valuation appears attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, providing some support. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with strategic debt repayment and guidance raise as positives.
Positive Factors
Debt Repayment
Significant debt repayment demonstrates financial discipline and improves leverage ratios, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Growth in Women's Health and Biosimilars
Growth in key segments like Women's Health and Biosimilars indicates strong market demand and potential for sustained revenue expansion.
Vtama Performance
Vtama's strong revenue growth and increasing prescriber base highlight successful product adoption and potential for future market penetration.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue, impacted by loss of exclusivity, poses a challenge to maintaining growth and profitability in a competitive market.
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, necessitating careful management to avoid potential financial instability.
Endometriosis Program Discontinuation
Discontinuation of the endometriosis program reflects challenges in R&D, potentially impacting future growth and innovation in this segment.

Organon (OGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Organon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrganon (OGN) is a global healthcare company focused on women's health and other critical health issues. Established as a standalone entity from Merck & Co., Organon specializes in developing and delivering innovative medicines and solutions that address the unique health needs of women throughout their life stages. The company offers a diverse portfolio of products, including contraceptives, hormone replacement therapies, and treatments for conditions such as infertility, endometriosis, and osteoporosis.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrganon generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which are designed to address various health issues particularly affecting women. Key revenue streams include sales from hormonal contraceptives, menopause therapies, and specialty medications for women's health conditions. Additionally, the company may engage in collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical firms or healthcare organizations to co-develop products, which can also contribute to its earnings. By focusing on a niche market with specific health needs, Organon aims to build a loyal customer base that drives consistent revenue growth.

Organon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed performance for Organon. While there were strong achievements in adjusted EBITDA and biosimilars growth, challenges such as the decline in U.S. Nexplanon sales and the revenue impact from loss of exclusivity in the EU were notable. The decision to discontinue the endometriosis program was another setback. Overall, the company's financial discipline and strategic debt repayment were positives against a backdrop of operational challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $522 million, representing a 32.7% margin. Year-to-date, adjusted EBITDA is $1 billion with a 32.4% margin.
Debt Repayment
Organon repaid approximately $350 million of principal on long-term debt in the second quarter, aiming to achieve net leverage below 4x by year-end.
Growth in Women's Health and Biosimilars
The Women's Health franchise grew 2% at constant currency, with the fertility business up 15%. Biosimilars, led by Hadlima, grew 68% compared to the prior year.
Vtama Performance
Vtama revenue reached $31 million, up 35% sequentially and 70% year-over-year, adding over 20,000 new prescribers since launch.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the quarter was $1.6 billion, down 1% at constant currency, impacted by the loss of exclusivity of Atozet in the EU.
Nexplanon U.S. Decline
Nexplanon sales declined by 5% in the U.S. due to constrained funding for contraceptive products, though it grew 10% outside the U.S.
Endometriosis Program Discontinuation
Organon failed to see efficacy in the 6219 endometriosis study, leading to the discontinuation of this and the backup molecule program.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Organon reported revenue of $1.6 billion, which represented a 1% decrease at constant currency. Despite this decline, the company raised its full-year revenue guidance by $100 million at the midpoint, influenced by favorable foreign exchange movements. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at $522 million, marking a 32.7% margin, with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA reaching $1 billion or a 32.4% margin. Organon reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range of 31% to 32% and projected over $900 million in free cash flow for the year. The Women's Health franchise saw a 2% growth at constant currency, driven by a 15% rise in the fertility business and double-digit growth from Jada. Nexplanon experienced a 1% decline in constant currency, with a 5% decrease in the U.S. but a 10% increase outside the U.S. The biosimilars segment outperformed expectations, with Hadlima contributing significantly, almost reaching $100 million in revenue by June, up 68% year-over-year. Vtama revenue reached $31 million for the quarter, showing a 35% sequential increase and a 70% rise compared to the previous year. Organon also repaid approximately $350 million of principal on long-term debt, aiming to achieve a net leverage ratio below 4x by year-end, with a long-term target of 3.5x or below by the end of 2026.

Organon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Organon is facing financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and reduced cash flow generation. The company needs to address its high debt levels and improve operational efficiency to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Organon's income statement shows a significant decline in revenue with a TTM revenue growth rate of -25.51%. Gross profit margin is relatively stable at 57.18%, but net profit margin has decreased to 11.92%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating reduced operational efficiency. The company faces challenges in maintaining revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 16.52, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is low at 1.82%, reflecting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is weak, suggesting potential financial instability. The company needs to address its high leverage to improve financial health.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -44.84% TTM, indicating reduced cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.36, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, which is decent but declining. The company needs to enhance its cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.28B6.40B6.26B6.17B6.30B8.10B
Gross Profit3.53B3.71B3.75B3.88B3.92B4.75B
EBITDA1.52B1.61B1.44B1.69B1.81B2.99B
Net Income700.00M864.00M1.02B917.00M1.35B2.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.50B13.10B12.06B10.96B10.68B10.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments599.00M675.00M693.00M706.00M737.00M500.00M
Total Debt8.90B8.88B8.76B8.91B9.13B31.00M
Total Liabilities12.77B12.63B12.13B11.85B12.19B11.25B
Stockholders Equity733.00M472.00M-70.00M-892.00M-1.51B-820.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow323.22M588.00M538.00M431.00M1.97B1.91B
Operating Cash Flow531.29M939.00M799.00M858.00M2.46B2.19B
Investing Cash Flow-371.21M-513.00M-260.00M-420.00M-481.00M-258.00M
Financing Cash Flow-160.30M-368.00M-569.00M-433.00M-1.33B-2.17B

Organon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.06
Price Trends
50DMA
9.82
Negative
100DMA
9.76
Negative
200DMA
11.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.64
Positive
RSI
15.45
Positive
STOCH
17.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.53, below the 50-day MA of 9.82, and below the 200-day MA of 11.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 15.45 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OGN.

Organon Risk Analysis

Organon disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Organon reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Organon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$217.38B13.4235.44%3.72%2.00%20.01%
$123.89B12.708.39%4.33%-9.32%120.62%
$87.65B20.1223.04%3.77%3.46%-13.29%
$8.04B19.525.41%1.52%10.05%98.22%
$87.16B17.2829.31%5.79%2.57%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$2.38B3.40159.64%9.01%-1.02%-30.57%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OGN
Organon
6.66
-10.49
-61.17%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
42.82
-7.19
-14.38%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
43.70
7.17
19.63%
GRFS
Grifols SA
9.36
1.27
15.70%
MRK
Merck & Company
87.03
-12.99
-12.99%
SNY
Sanofi
51.06
-1.11
-2.13%

Organon Corporate Events

Organon & Co.’s Promising Phase 3 Study on Tapinarof Cream for Pediatric Plaque Psoriasis
Oct 27, 2025

Organon & Co. is conducting a Phase 3 clinical study titled ‘A Phase 3 Study of Tapinarof for the Treatment of Plaque Psoriasis in Pediatric Subjects.’ The study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of tapinarof cream, 1%, in treating plaque psoriasis in children. This research is significant as it addresses a common skin condition affecting pediatric patients, potentially offering a new treatment option.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Organon CEO Resigns Amid Sales Practices Probe
Negative
Oct 27, 2025

On October 26, 2025, Kevin Ali resigned as CEO and board member of Organon due to an investigation into the company’s wholesaler sales practices. The Audit Committee’s investigation revealed improper sales practices involving Nexplanon, which allowed the company to meet revenue expectations during certain periods. As a result, Organon appointed Joseph Morrissey as Interim CEO and Carrie S. Cox as Executive Chair. The company is taking steps to improve financial controls and address material weaknesses, while initiating a search for a permanent CEO.

The most recent analyst rating on (OGN) stock is a Sell with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Organon stock, see the OGN Stock Forecast page.

Organon & Co. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 6, 2025

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company focused on delivering impactful medicines and solutions, particularly in Women’s Health and General Medicines, including biosimilars, with a commitment to advancing access, affordability, and innovation in healthcare across over 140 markets worldwide.

Organon & Co. Earnings Call: Resilience Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Organon & Co. recently held its earnings call, revealing a company that continues to demonstrate strong financial discipline and growth in key areas such as Women’s Health and Biosimilars. Despite facing challenges like the loss of exclusivity for Atozet and funding issues impacting Nexplanon sales, Organon has shown resilience through strategic debt repayment and investments, suggesting a stable outlook for the future.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Organon Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Guidance
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

Organon reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a revenue of $1.594 billion, a slight decrease from the previous year. The company achieved a net income of $145 million and repaid $345 million of long-term debt, aiming for a net debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio of less than 4.0x by year-end. Organon raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $6.275 billion and $6.375 billion, while maintaining its Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance. The quarter saw growth in women’s health and biosimilars, offset by declines in established brands due to the loss of exclusivity in key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (OGN) stock is a Sell with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Organon stock, see the OGN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025