Once Upon a Farm, PBC AI Stock Analysis
Once Upon a Farm, PBC (OFRM) AI Stock Analysis
Once Upon a Farm, PBC
(NYSE:OFRM)
No summary available
Once Upon a Farm, PBC (OFRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $423.27M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 555.61K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -45.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.71
- Revenue Growth
- 42.95%
- EPS Growth
- 80.13%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 153
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Packaged Foods
Once Upon a Farm, PBC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Once Upon A Farm, PBC specializes in developing and distributing organic food options for infants and young children. Their product line encompasses purees, complete meals, and convenient snack items, all crafted from organic ingredients and distingu...
Once Upon a Farm, PBC Earnings Call Summary
The call conveyed strong top-line momentum: net sales grew 42.3% YoY, baby and kid segments posted double-digit growth, household penetration and repeat rates improved, and guidance was raised for both net sales and adjusted EBITDA. These operational and commercial wins were tempered by margin compression (gross margin down 485 bps YoY), higher SG&A (up $11.9M, SG&A at 42.5% of sales), elevated inventory (+47.6% YoY), and near-term adjusted EBITDA pressure. Management highlighted planned pricing, targeted marketing, cooler expansion and multi-year supply chain automation (with ~$25M–$35M capex) to improve margins over time. On balance, the call emphasized accelerating demand, successful promotions and confident scaling plans, while acknowledging short-term margin and working capital headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 guidance to net sales of $327–$335 million (≈36%–39% growth vs. 2025, up from a prior $313–$323M range) and increased adjusted EBITDA guidance to $3.0–$4.5 million (from $2–$4M); they now expect full‑year gross margin of ~40% (about 100 bps lower than prior outlook), with Q3 margin roughly in line with Q2 (Q2 GM 35.9%, down 485 bps YoY) and improvement in Q4 as the club program ends and a low‑single‑digit price increase (Sept) begins to flow. Management said net sales growth should be fairly balanced across Q3 and Q4, Q3 adjusted EBITDA will be slightly below Q2 (Q2 adjusted EBITDA loss was $1.7M) and profitability is weighted to Q4 to deliver the full‑year target; they expect inventory to remain elevated through Q3 (inventory $51.9M, +47.6% YoY), ended Q2 with ~$93.5M cash and no debt, plan about 5,000 coolers in 2026 (8,000 in 2027 and ≥15,000 over time), and anticipate initial supply‑chain productivity benefits in 2027 with larger contributions in 2028 (capital investment roughly $25–$35M).
Once Upon a Farm, PBC Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SENEA70Outperform
MAMA68Neutral
LWAY66Neutral
SMPL50Neutral
HAIN41Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SENEA | 70Outperform | $1.11B | 10.06 | 15.60% | ― | 12.06% | 100.55% |
| MAMA | 68Neutral | $642.62M | 75.80 | 9.10% | ― | 53.88% | 48.88% |
| LWAY | 66Neutral | $336.28M | 31.33 | 12.66% | <0.01% | 25.59% | 1.38% |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| SMPL | 50Neutral | $1.08B | -7.39 | -10.23% | ― | -6.51% | -266.08% |
| HAIN | 41Neutral | $12.36M | -0.04 | -140.07% | ― | -18.74% | 45.19% |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFRM | Once Upon a Farm, PBC | 10.08 | -10.97 | -52.11% | |
| SMPL | The Simply Good Foods Company | 12.64 | -6.93 | -35.41% | |
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | 22.51 | 0.60 | 2.74% | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods | 175.60 | 55.83 | 46.61% | |
| HAIN | The Hain Celestial | 0.13 | -1.26 | -90.43% | |
| MAMA | Mama's Creations, Inc. | 13.72 | 3.44 | 33.46% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.