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Winton Land Limited (NZ:WIN)
ASX:WIN
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Winton Land Limited (WIN) AI Stock Analysis

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NZ:WIN

Winton Land Limited

(Sydney:WIN)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
Action:N/A
Date:10/05/26
The score is driven primarily by improved 2026 financial performance (rebound in revenue/margins and strong cash generation) and a generally healthy balance sheet. Offsetting this, the technical picture remains weak over the medium-to-long term (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and valuation appears only moderate with no dividend yield data to provide additional support.
Positive Factors
FY26 earnings rebound
The FY26 rebound demonstrates stronger settlement activity and improved operating leverage across Winton’s development and hospitality activities. Higher revenue, EBITDA and profit provide greater internal funding capacity and indicate that the project portfolio can generate materially better earnings when delivery conditions improve.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and volatile earnings base
Winton’s earnings remain sensitive to property-development cycles, with two down years before the latest recovery and margins still below the 2023 peak. This volatility makes future profit conversion less predictable and can complicate project pacing, capital allocation and stakeholder expectations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
FY26 earnings rebound
The FY26 rebound demonstrates stronger settlement activity and improved operating leverage across Winton’s development and hospitality activities. Higher revenue, EBITDA and profit provide greater internal funding capacity and indicate that the project portfolio can generate materially better earnings when delivery conditions improve.
Read all positive factors

Winton Land Limited (WIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Winton Land Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Winton Land Limited engages in the real estate business in New Zealand and Australia. The company operates through Residential Development, Retirement Villages, and Commercial Portfolio segments. The Residential Development segment designs, develo...

Winton Land Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a cyclical developer: 2026 rebounded strongly with improved margins and very strong operating/free cash flow, supported by manageable leverage. However, earnings and cash flow have been volatile versus the 2023 peak, with prior periods showing negative free cash flow and modest ROE outside peak years.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue188.84M155.45M173.60M215.07M159.52M
Gross Profit69.87M57.67M57.10M111.05M71.82M
EBITDA46.13M16.23M33.43M82.76M48.81M
Net Income22.66M10.32M15.75M64.64M31.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets702.64M703.89M654.06M590.61M496.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.79M20.28M41.69M76.31M204.82M
Total Debt85.87M132.75M84.42M11.02M323.00K
Total Liabilities147.23M172.69M134.51M80.20M42.78M
Stockholders Equity555.40M531.21M519.55M510.41M454.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow96.54M22.85M-27.92M-17.23M-16.08M
Operating Cash Flow105.95M42.35M14.21M11.85M-8.93M
Investing Cash Flow-21.68M-91.42M-99.70M-128.91M-65.90M
Financing Cash Flow-65.76M27.66M50.87M-11.45M244.63M

Winton Land Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price―
Price Trends
50DMA
1.18
Negative
100DMA
1.32
Negative
200DMA
1.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.44
Neutral
STOCH
90.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NZ:WIN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.14, equal to the 50-day MA of 1.18, and equal to the 200-day MA of 1.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NZ:WIN.

Winton Land Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$347.04M15.314.17%2.24%21.59%119.54%
65
Neutral
$873.97M6.669.30%6.98%2.62%-0.20%
55
Neutral
$1.74B-217.44-0.37%6.58%4.51%-162.32%
55
Neutral
$1.47B-45.51-1.30%6.93%8.36%42.61%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NZ:WIN
Winton Land Limited
1.17
-1.09
-48.45%
NZ:PCT
Precinct Properties New Zealand
0.95
-0.29
-23.33%
NZ:ARG
Argosy Property Limited
1.01
-0.22
-18.16%
NZ:VHP
Vital Healthcare Property
1.81
-0.40
-18.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026