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NexGel Inc (NXGL)
NASDAQ:NXGL
US Market
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NexGel Inc (NXGL) AI Stock Analysis

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NXGL

NexGel Inc

(NASDAQ:NXGL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.31
▼(-12.29% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/25/26
The score is constrained primarily by weak financial quality (persistent losses, negative cash flow, and higher leverage) and a clear technical downtrend (price below major moving averages). Earnings-call guidance around the BioNX acquisition and pro forma revenue/profitability accretion provides upside potential, but near-term liquidity and execution risks remain prominent, with corporate leadership change adding uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion alongside a major gross-margin improvement indicates better product economics and growing commercial scale. If maintained, these gains can support reinvestment, strengthen the hydrogel platform’s competitiveness, and improve the company’s path toward sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Cash Burn
NexGel remains dependent on external funding because operating and free cash flow are consistently negative, while losses continue despite revenue and gross-margin growth. Persistent cash consumption can restrict investment, increase financing needs, and make the BioNX growth plan more execution-sensitive.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Growth
Strong multi-year revenue expansion alongside a major gross-margin improvement indicates better product economics and growing commercial scale. If maintained, these gains can support reinvestment, strengthen the hydrogel platform’s competitiveness, and improve the company’s path toward sustainable profitability.
Read all positive factors

NexGel Inc (NXGL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NexGel Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NEXGEL, Inc. is a company that develops and produces advanced hydrogels and gels. These materials are characterized by their significant water content, aqueous polymer composition, and electron beam cross-linking technology. NEXGEL's diverse produ...
How the Company Makes Money
NexGel primarily makes money by selling hydrogel-based products and by providing manufacturing services centered on its hydrogel technology and production capabilities. Key revenue streams include: (1) Contract manufacturing / private-label produc...

NexGel Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized a transformational acquisition (BioNX), strategic financing and partnership with Sequence LifeScience, strengthened leadership, a commercial product portfolio in ~500 hospitals, and pro forma projections to triple revenue to ~$35M and be accretive — all significant positives. Offsetting these are near‑term operational and liquidity pressures: Q1 revenue declined ~5.7% YoY, cash on hand fell to $1.8M, SG&A is elevated, and some legacy consumer products and key customer relationships have underperformed. Management reported early signs of recovery and initial BioNX sales beginning in Q2, but timing and execution risk remain notable.
Positive Updates
Strategic Acquisition of BioNX Closed
Acquisition of BioNX closed in mid‑April; BioNX adds 6 commercial regenerative biomaterial products, positioning the company in a fast‑growing healthcare segment and providing an expanded commercial footprint.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Q1 revenue was $2.65 million versus $2.81 million in the prior year period — a year‑over‑year decline of approximately 5.7%, described by management as 'relatively flat' but down overall.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strategic Acquisition of BioNX Closed
Acquisition of BioNX closed in mid‑April; BioNX adds 6 commercial regenerative biomaterial products, positioning the company in a fast‑growing healthcare segment and providing an expanded commercial footprint.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that the BioNX acquisition is expected to be transformative: on a pro forma basis it should approximately triple annual revenue to roughly $35 million and be “immediately accretive to profitability” upon closing; BioNX revenue will begin to be recognized for about half of Q2. Key near‑term financials and capital metrics cited were Q1 revenue of $2.65M (vs. $2.81M year‑ago), cash and restricted cash of ~$2.1M as of 3/31/2026 with $1.8M on hand today, and $13.8M total capital raised (comprised of $8.8M cash and a $5.0M convertible note to Cellularity), while Sequence LifeScience led financing with a $5.5M investment. Operational and pipeline metrics included a BioNX portfolio of 6 commercial regenerative products already approved in ~500 U.S. hospitals, three 510(k) devices in development representing about $4.6M of invested paid‑in capital targeted for commercialization in 2027, 2026 and (as stated) 2020, and an incremental operating run‑rate of roughly $500K per month (salaries, marketing, commissions) for the expanded commercial/R&D footprint.

NexGel Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and major gross margin improvement (~39% TTM vs. ~0.5% in 2021) are meaningful positives, but the company remains unprofitable (TTM net margin -28.5%) with a larger net loss in TTM than 2025. Ongoing operating/free cash flow burn (FCF -$3.3M TTM) and higher leverage (debt ~$7.4M, debt/equity ~1.07x) elevate funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
27
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.07M11.42M8.69M4.09M2.05M1.55M
Gross Profit4.23M4.51M2.75M374.00K256.00K8.00K
EBITDA-2.11M-2.12M-2.90M-2.73M-3.11M-2.17M
Net Income-6.18M-3.00M-3.28M-3.16M-4.75M-4.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.45M10.46M10.98M9.96M10.36M16.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments492.00K317.00K1.81M2.70M6.61M13.35M
Total Debt7.46M3.09M2.83M2.80M2.08M4.26M
Total Liabilities20.98M5.57M4.90M4.79M2.72M4.90M
Stockholders Equity4.95M4.46M5.75M4.70M7.64M12.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.27M-1.38M-4.31M-3.93M-3.09M-3.02M
Operating Cash Flow-3.21M-1.31M-3.87M-3.24M-2.99M-2.75M
Investing Cash Flow-6.63M-68.00K-775.00K4.46M-5.59M-269.00K
Financing Cash Flow10.82M630.00K3.75M379.00K-3.66M16.34M

NexGel Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.35
Price Trends
50DMA
0.43
Negative
100DMA
0.51
Negative
200DMA
0.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
39.17
Neutral
STOCH
37.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXGL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.38, below the 50-day MA of 0.43, and below the 200-day MA of 0.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NXGL.

NexGel Inc Risk Analysis

NexGel Inc disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NexGel Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We have incurred substantial indebtedness under convertible notes issued in second quarter of 2026, which could adversely affect our liquidity and result in significant dilution to our stockholders. Q2, 2026
2.
Our license and acquisition of assets from Celularity may not achieve the anticipated benefits, and we may be required to make significant additional contingent payments. Q2, 2026

NexGel Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$47.61M-6.55-37.47%64.18%28.90%
59
Neutral
$319.10M-9.34-473.55%0.00%12.93%-219.19%
55
Neutral
$41.64M-9.84-149.08%3.72%43.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$21.28M-5.90-4.59%-11.16%59.85%
45
Neutral
$24.96M-0.65-225.98%21.86%73.27%
44
Neutral
$3.90M-0.45-133.10%3.38%-78.48%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXGL
NexGel Inc
0.32
-1.90
-85.77%
RVP
Retractable Technologies
0.71
-0.09
-10.80%
MLSS
Milestone Scientific
0.47
-0.14
-22.61%
POCI
Precision Optics Corporation
4.35
-0.12
-2.68%
SMTI
Sanara MedTech
34.73
-1.02
-2.85%
FEMY
Femasys
2.98
-4.72
-61.29%

NexGel Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NEXGEL Names Interim CEO and Launches Strategic Review
Negative
Aug 21, 2026
On August 21, 2026, NEXGEL, Inc. terminated Adam R. Levy’s employment as chief executive officer without cause, with Levy simultaneously resigning from the board and all other roles while agreeing to provide 90 days of transition assistance ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
NexGel shareholders constrain structural changes at annual meeting
Neutral
Aug 5, 2026
At NexGel Inc.’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders held on July 31, 2026, shareholders elected six directors—Adam Levy, Steven Glassman, Steven A. Ciardiello, Dr. Jerome B. Zeldis, Brian J. Kieser and Kevin M. Harris—to serve u...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NexGel Updates CEO Employment Terms and Incentive Plan
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
On July 23, 2026, NexGel Inc. entered into a new Executive Employment Agreement with President and Chief Executive Officer Adam Levy, replacing his prior contract that expired on December 31, 2025. The agreement sets a $375,000 annual base salary ...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
NexGel Postpones 2026 Annual Stockholder Meeting for Votes
Neutral
Jul 9, 2026
On July 9, 2026, NexGel, Inc. postponed its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders from July 10 to July 31, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time to provide additional time to solicit proxies and secure the necessary shareholder support for certain propos...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NexGel announces audit committee chair board resignation
Neutral
Jul 2, 2026
On June 29, 2026, NexGel, Inc. disclosed that director Scott Henry had notified the company of his intent to resign from its Board of Directors, effective July 1, 2026, to lighten his schedule and focus on other business ventures and personal matt...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NexGel Updates Investor Presentation Under Regulation FD Disclosure
Neutral
Jun 17, 2026
On June 17, 2026, NexGel, Inc. began using a new investor presentation, signaling an updated package of materials for communicating with current and prospective shareholders. The company characterized the presentation and related disclosure as bei...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026