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Novonesis (NVZMY) AI Stock Analysis

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NVZMY

Novonesis

(Other OTC:NVZMY)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:$67.00â–¼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/21/26

The score is driven primarily by solid operating performance and strong cash generation, supported by constructive technical momentum and a generally positive earnings update with raised guidance and capital returns. These positives are tempered by earnings volatility (including a TTM net loss), balance-sheet inconsistency in leverage readings, and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E and low yield).

Positive Factors
Organic growth and upgraded guidanceBroad-based organic growth and upgraded full-year guidance indicate sustained customer demand across Novonesis’s biosolutions portfolio. Volume-led expansion, pricing, and sales synergies should support revenue progression while the diversified end-market exposure reduces reliance on a single application area.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent bottom-line profitabilityA TTM net loss alongside healthy operating margins indicates that reported earnings are less consistent than the underlying operating performance. Profit volatility can reduce confidence in repeatable earnings conversion and make future returns more sensitive to non-operating or one-time effects.

Novonesis (NVZMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%NVZMY+18.57%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$32.19B
Dividend Yield
0.23%
Average Volume (3M)
25.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
44.2
Beta (1Y)
0.07
Revenue Growth
12.46%
EPS Growth
19.92%
Country
US
Employees
11,641
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Novonesis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Novozymes A/S is a global biotechnology firm that specializes in the creation and distribution of industrial enzymes, microorganisms, and probiotics. Its operational footprint spans across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America...

How the Company Makes Money

Novonesis makes money primarily by selling bio-based ingredients and solutions—most notably enzymes and microbial cultures/biocultures—to business customers (B2B) worldwide. Revenue is generated through commercial supply agreements where customers pu...

Novonesis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:7.55%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented strong, broad-based organic growth, margin expansion, robust cash generation and clear capital allocation actions (EUR 1bn buyback, bolt‑on M&A, capacity investments). These positives were balanced by notable headwinds — currency effects, country exits, a softer Human Health outlook, one-off inventory timing and a temporary elevation in CapEx and operating costs. On balance the company appears to be executing well and is confident in sustainable demand and returns, but investors should monitor H2 effects from tariff reimbursements, the normalization of the Q1 inventory benefit and the near-term impact of elevated CapEx.

Positive Updates

Strong top-line growth
Organic sales grew 8% in H1 2026 (9% in Q2). Reported euro sales rose 7% in H1 and 10% in Q2. Pricing contributed ~2 percentage points and sales synergies ~1 percentage point to growth.

Negative Updates

Currency headwinds
Currency movements were a material drag: currencies provided a ~4 percentage-point headwind to organic growth in H1 (and ~1 percentage point in Q2), partially offsetting margin gains.

Company Guidance

Novonesis raised its 2026 organic sales guidance to 7–8%, expecting growth to be mainly volume-driven and supported by roughly 1 percentage point each from pricing and sales synergies while including close to a 1 pp drag from exiting certain countries; the outlook also factors a minor H2 headwind from U.S. tariff reimbursements (up to ~40 bps), a softer Human Health H2 and high Q3 comparables. Management now expects adjusted EBITDA margin at the higher end of the 37–38% range (~38%) and net debt/EBITDA of ~1.8x at year‑end, with 2026 CapEx stepped up to 12–14% of sales (normalizing to high single‑digits by 2030). They announced a EUR 1bn buyback through 2029, an interim dividend of DKK 2.35, and reiterated the target to double adjusted ROIC (ex‑goodwill) to 16% by 2030; H1 metrics included operating cash flow EUR 523.3m, free cash flow before acquisitions EUR 307.6m and adjusted EPS (ex PPA) EUR 1.09 (+9% y/y).

Novonesis Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong operating profile and cash generation (TTM revenue growth ~30%, healthy gross/EBIT margins, and sharply higher free cash flow), but the TTM net loss and volatility in profitability plus a notable leverage swing (2025 debt-to-equity ~2.07 vs. more conservative TTM) reduce confidence in earnings quality and balance-sheet consistency.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.31B4.16B513.65M17.90B17.55B14.95B
Gross Profit2.37B2.24B242.45M9.72B9.58B8.62B
EBITDA1.53B1.39B1.21B5.47B6.12B5.39B
Net Income-253.80M583.60M40.97M3.02B3.68B3.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.63B16.35B15.20B28.39B27.98B24.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.47M295.60M284.00M1.16B1.11B1.04B
Total Debt3.07B22.45B1.80B7.73B6.95B482.00M
Total Liabilities5.48B5.49B4.02B14.04B13.76B12.56B
Stockholders Equity11.15B10.86B11.18B13.98B13.84B11.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.20B750.70M660.10M2.10B1.12B2.82B
Operating Cash Flow4.32B1.22B1.02B4.15B4.01B4.06B
Investing Cash Flow-2.09B-1.97B-199.70M-2.13B-2.67B-2.75B
Financing Cash Flow-2.55B753.30M-703.20M-1.89B-1.25B-1.59B

Novonesis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price69.01

Price Trends

50DMA67.62Positive
100DMA65.51Positive
200DMA62.29Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.07Negative
RSI54.78Neutral
STOCH10.15Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVZMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.94, above the 50-day MA of 67.62, and above the 200-day MA of 62.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NVZMY.

Novonesis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

NVZMY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SHWSHW69Neutral$80.35B30.2963.49%0.96%7.03%5.95%
EMNEMN65Neutral$7.61B11.7310.63%5.05%0.40%-6.58%
ESIESI62Neutral$8.31B40.557.39%0.93%39.62%-14.83%
PPGPPG62Neutral$26.40B16.9819.05%2.40%6.39%27.29%
NVZMYNVZMY62Neutral$32.16B44.165.79%0.23%12.46%19.92%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
SCLSCL61Neutral$1.58B366.370.36%2.27%10.02%-90.50%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%NVZMYEMNPPGSHWSCLESIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
NVZMY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NVZMYNovonesis A/S - Adr69.019.8016.56%
EMNEastman Chemical Company66.5311.4020.67%
PPGPpg Industries, Inc.119.5226.9829.16%
SHWSherwin-Williams332.61-9.78-2.86%
SCLStepan Company69.6128.3568.72%
ESIElement Solutions34.277.4127.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026