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NetApp (NTAP)
NASDAQ:NTAP

NetApp (NTAP) AI Stock Analysis

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NetApp

(NASDAQ:NTAP)

70Outperform
NetApp's overall stock score reflects a strong financial performance with notable profitability and revenue growth. However, risks associated with high leverage and declining free cash flow growth warrant caution. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, though valuation metrics suggest a fair price with an attractive dividend yield. Corporate events and earnings call insights show strategic alignment and potential growth in key areas, balancing out some of the operational challenges.
Positive Factors
AI Traction
NetApp reported consistent AI traction with more than 100 deals in the quarter and multiple service provider wins, expecting a second half 2025 and beyond inflection with increasing enterprise AI deployments.
Product Line Refresh
NTAP has refreshed its entire product lines and the company appears confident regarding the medium-term outlook, particularly on the GM front.
Public Cloud Growth
Public cloud sales were again a bright spot, up 21% year-over-year excluding Spot.
Negative Factors
Divestiture Impact
NetApp's lowered FY25 guide reflects a $30M FX headwind, the divestiture of Spot ($15M), and global public sector caution.
Gross Margin Decline
Product GM% declined by 356 basis points quarter over quarter to 56.7%, confidence in a F4Q25 bottom at ~56% will be a focus as NetApp utilizes the remainder of strategic SSD purchases.
Revenue and Guidance Miss
NetApp’s fiscal third-quarter results and fourth-quarter guidance came in below consensus across most major key metrics.

NetApp (NTAP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NetApp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetApp, Inc., with the ticker symbol NTAP, is a leading provider of cloud data services and data management solutions. The company serves a wide range of industries by offering solutions that simplify and enhance the efficiency of data storage and management. Founded in 1992 and headquartered in San Jose, California, NetApp operates primarily in the information technology sector. Its core products and services include data storage systems, software, and cloud services that help businesses manage and protect their data across hybrid cloud environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetApp generates revenue through the sale of hardware and software products, as well as cloud and support services. The company's revenue model includes product sales, which comprise the majority of its earnings, driven by its storage systems and data management software. Additionally, NetApp derives income from providing support services and maintenance contracts that offer technical assistance and updates to its customers. The company also earns from its cloud offerings, which include hybrid cloud solutions that enable customers to manage data across on-premises and cloud environments. Key partnerships with major cloud providers such as Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, as well as strategic alliances with technology firms, enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing significantly to its revenue.

NetApp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Margin by Segment
Gross Margin by Segment
Reveals the profitability of each segment by comparing gross profit to revenue, helping assess operational efficiency and pricing strategy.
Chart InsightsNetApp's gross margin for the Public Cloud segment has shown remarkable improvement, reaching 76%, driven by strong growth in cloud services. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on AI and cloud solutions, despite challenges like sales execution and currency impacts. The Product segment's margin has stabilized after a volatile period, while Support remains consistently high. The earnings call highlights a balanced outlook, with strategic positioning offsetting some execution challenges, suggesting potential for sustained growth in high-margin areas.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

NetApp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NetApp demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, evidenced by high profit margins and revenue growth. However, the company relies significantly on debt, which poses financial risks. Cash flow generation remains healthy, but declining free cash flow growth suggests potential caution. Overall, NetApp exhibits a robust financial position with areas for improvement in leverage management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
NetApp's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) income statement demonstrates strong profitability. The gross profit margin is 70.5%, indicating effective cost management in production. The net profit margin is 17.5%, showcasing a healthy bottom line. Revenue growth is impressive at 3.8% from the previous year, signaling robust demand for its offerings. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 20.8% and 26.2% respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet presents a mixed financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.00, suggesting a high reliance on debt, which could pose risks in adverse market conditions. However, the return on equity is a strong 114.3%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. With an equity ratio of 11.1%, there is a relatively low proportion of equity financing, which may limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a solid performance with a stable free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.11, indicating that the company generates adequate free cash flow relative to its net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.27, reflecting efficient cash generation from core operations. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 17.3%, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining free cash flow levels.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.51B6.27B6.36B6.32B5.74B5.41B
Gross Profit
4.59B4.43B4.21B4.22B3.81B3.62B
EBIT
1.35B1.21B1.02B1.16B1.03B945.00M
EBITDA
1.71B1.58B1.43B1.36B1.29B1.24B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.14B986.00M1.27B937.00M730.00M819.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.26B3.26B3.07B4.13B4.60B2.88B
Total Assets
8.99B9.89B9.82B10.03B9.36B7.52B
Total Debt
2.25B2.65B2.39B2.64B2.63B1.67B
Net Debt
739.00M749.00M73.00M-1.50B-1.96B-1.21B
Total Liabilities
7.99B8.74B8.66B9.19B8.68B7.28B
Stockholders Equity
995.00M1.15B1.16B838.00M685.00M242.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.26B1.53B868.00M985.00M1.17B936.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.44B1.69B1.11B1.21B1.33B1.06B
Investing Cash Flow
163.00M-735.00M-1.39B-561.00M21.00M1.27B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.90B-1.34B-1.51B-1.02B444.00M-1.96B

NetApp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price98.43
Price Trends
50DMA
88.69
Positive
100DMA
103.90
Negative
200DMA
112.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.83
Negative
RSI
68.06
Neutral
STOCH
88.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 98.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.37, above the 50-day MA of 88.69, and below the 200-day MA of 112.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NTAP.

NetApp Risk Analysis

NetApp disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NetApp reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NetApp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$15.93B159.208.29%11.92%74.08%
70
Outperform
$20.31B18.21114.33%2.23%5.46%23.49%
67
Neutral
$20.00B18.5521.02%82.10%6.35%
STSTX
66
Neutral
$21.64B14.73-109.27%2.97%36.29%
WDWDC
66
Neutral
$15.39B8.3828.45%21.22%
HPHPQ
63
Neutral
$24.94B9.5184.33%4.27%1.03%-18.56%
60
Neutral
$11.39B10.50-6.42%2.97%7.77%-11.17%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTAP
NetApp
98.43
-8.54
-7.98%
HPQ
HP
28.26
-1.46
-4.91%
STX
Seagate Tech
101.95
8.47
9.06%
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
33.52
-48.72
-59.24%
WDC
Western Digital
46.57
-9.00
-16.20%
PSTG
Pure Storage
53.34
-3.07
-5.44%

NetApp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.21%|
Next Earnings Date:May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented both positive achievements and challenges. While there was strong growth in specific segments like all-flash arrays and public cloud, and improvements in operating and public cloud gross margins, there were notable execution challenges and unfavorable currency impacts. The company's guidance adjustments and sector-specific weaknesses also added caution. However, the company's strategic positioning and product strength provide a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operating Margin Success
Achieved an operating margin of 30%, above expectations, indicating disciplined management of the business.
Strong Growth in All-Flash Array Business
All-flash array business grew 10% year-over-year, reaching an annualized revenue run rate of $3.8 billion.
Keystone Revenue Growth
Keystone, the Storage as a Service offering, saw revenue growth of nearly 60% year-over-year.
Public Cloud Segment Growth
Public Cloud segment revenue grew 15% year-over-year, with first-party and marketplace cloud storage services growing by over 40%.
Improvements in Public Cloud Gross Margins
Public cloud gross margins improved to 76%, up from 66% in the prior year, marking a 1,000 basis point improvement.
Recognition for Primary Storage
Named a customer's choice for primary storage in Gartner's 2025 Voice of the Customer report.
Negative Updates
Sales Execution Challenges
Inconsistent execution resulted in some deals slipping out of Q3, impacting top-line performance.
Impact of Strong U.S. Dollar
The stronger U.S. dollar negatively impacted revenue and EPS, with an expected impact of approximately $30 million less in reported revenue.
Slight Decrease in FY 2025 Guidance
Guidance for FY 2025 was slightly decreased due to the divestiture of Spot by NetApp and FX headwinds.
Decline in Support Revenue
Support revenue declined 2% year-over-year, though it was roughly flat in constant currency.
Global Public Sector Weakness
Expected global public sector weakness, particularly in the U.S., has tempered growth expectations.
Company Guidance
During the NetApp third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance adjusting its outlook for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, citing the recent divestiture of Spot by NetApp, the impact of a stronger U.S. dollar, and underperformance in Q3 revenue. The company now expects fiscal year 2025 revenue to range between $6.49 and $6.64 billion, representing approximately 5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, with consolidated gross margin around 71% and operating margin between 28% and 28.5%. The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for the year is between $7.17 and $7.27, reflecting 12% growth at the midpoint. For the fourth quarter, revenue is projected to be between $1.65 and $1.80 billion, with an EPS range of $1.84 to $1.94. Despite Q3 challenges, the company remains focused on enhancing sales execution and controlling expenses, while maintaining a strong market position in AI and cloud solutions, with the anticipation of continued growth in these areas.

NetApp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NetApp Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

On March 21, 2025, NetApp’s Board of Directors expanded its board from nine to ten members and appointed Frank Pelzer as a new director. Pelzer, who will serve on the Audit Committee, is recognized as a financial expert and brings extensive experience in modern financial operations within cloud and as-a-service companies. His appointment is expected to drive NetApp’s strategic initiatives and enhance shareholder value as the company continues to innovate in data and intelligence.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NetApp Appoints Elizabeth O’Callahan as Chief Administrative Officer
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, NetApp announced the appointment of Elizabeth O’Callahan as the Chief Administrative Officer, effective March 3, 2025. In her expanded role, O’Callahan will oversee Legal, Compliance, Government Relations, Sustainability, Human Resources, Workplace Experience, and Corporate Communications. This strategic leadership change aims to enhance operational excellence and align with NetApp’s corporate strategy, reinforcing its commitment to talent development and long-term growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.