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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV)
NYSE:NRGV
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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) AI Stock Analysis

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NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings

(NYSE:NRGV)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-35.69% Downside)
Energy Vault Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic investments and revenue growth are promising, but profitability and cash flow issues remain critical risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic Equity Investment
The $300 million investment will enable significant capital expenditure for projects, enhancing long-term growth and stability through predictable EBITDA cash streams.
Revenue Backlog Increase
A growing revenue backlog indicates strong demand for Energy Vault's solutions, supporting future revenue growth and market position.
Project Acquisition
The acquisition enhances Energy Vault's presence in high-growth markets, leveraging long-term agreements to ensure stable revenue and profitability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could hinder long-term sustainability, as negative margins indicate challenges in covering operational costs.
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative cash flow limits the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations, impacting long-term viability.
Continued Losses
Continued losses reflect ongoing financial challenges, potentially affecting investor confidence and the ability to secure future funding.

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Vault Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and sells energy storage solutions. The company offers gravity-based storage systems, including EVx Platform, a scalable, modular product line starting from 40-megawatt hour to multi-gigawatt hours to address grid resiliency needs in shorter durations; Energy Vault Resiliency Center, a scalable, gigawatt hour scale product line designed to address grid resiliency needs to manage energy disruptive climate events; and Energy Vault solutions. Its solutions allow utilities, independent power producers, and large energy users to manage their power portfolios and efficiently dispatch power. Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. is based in Westlake Village, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Vault Holdings makes money by designing, manufacturing, and selling its gravity-based energy storage systems to utility companies and renewable energy providers. The company's primary revenue streams come from the sales and installation of its Energy Vault Resiliency Centers, which help clients optimize their renewable energy usage and improve grid resiliency. Additionally, Energy Vault may engage in strategic partnerships with governments, corporations, and energy providers to expand its market reach and deploy its technology at a larger scale, contributing to its earnings through licensing agreements and long-term service contracts.

Energy Vault Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment, driven by significant equity investment, increased revenue backlog, improved financial metrics, and successful project completions. While challenges such as market shocks and continued losses were acknowledged, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Equity Investment
Energy Vault announced a $300 million preferred equity investment to fund the development, construction, and operation of energy storage projects, enabling over $1 billion in CapEx for 1.5 gigawatts of projects. This investment is nondilutive to common shareholders.
Increased Revenue Backlog
The company's revenue backlog increased 47% quarter-over-quarter to $954 million and 120% year-to-date, driven by new third-party projects and service agreements in the U.S. and Australia.
Improved Financial Metrics
GAAP gross profit increased 140% year-over-year to $2.5 million, with a gross margin of 29.6%. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 11% year-over-year, narrowing the loss to $13.7 million.
Completion of Project Financings
Energy Vault completed the project financings for its first two owned projects in Texas and California, putting cash back on the balance sheet.
Stoney Creek Project Acquisition
Energy Vault achieved final close of the acquisition of the 125-megawatt Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System in Australia, supported by a 14-year offtake agreement.
Strong Focus on Execution
The company emphasized its strong reputation for execution, managing supply chains, and reliably and safely executing projects.
Negative Updates
Market Shocks and Tariff Disputes
Energy Vault faced market shocks and a pause from a tariff dispute with China, affecting the timing of larger battery deliveries, now expected in Q4.
Continued Losses
Despite improvements, the company still reported a loss of $13.7 million for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During Energy Vault's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, several key metrics and strategic developments were discussed. The company announced a $300 million preferred equity investment aimed at funding the development, construction, and operation of their new storage IPP Own and Operate projects, known as Asset Vault. This equity will enable over $1 billion in capital expenditure and project financing, targeting an initial 1.5 gigawatts of projects, with a total development pipeline of 3 gigawatts across the U.S., Australia, and Europe. This strategic move aims to create annual EBITDA cash streams of over $100 million from these projects, which are expected to be predictable and recurring. The investment is non-dilutive to common shareholders, with mechanisms for milestone-based equity participation. Additionally, Energy Vault reported a significant increase in their revenue backlog, which rose by 47% quarter-over-quarter to $954 million and 120% year-to-date, driven by new third-party project and service agreements. They also achieved a GAAP gross profit increase of 140% compared to the prior year, reaching $2.5 million, with a gross margin of 29.6%. The adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $13.7 million from a loss of $15.4 million in Q2 2024, aided by improved gross margins and cost-saving initiatives. The company ended the quarter with $58.1 million in cash, a 23% increase from the previous quarter.

Energy Vault Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Vault Holdings is facing significant financial challenges. Despite a 10.1% revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability, showing negative net profit and EBIT margins. Cash flow generation is also a concern, with negative operating cash flow and declining free cash flow growth. The balance sheet shows low leverage, but the negative return on equity highlights the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Energy Vault Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced a revenue growth rate of 10.1% in the TTM, indicating some positive momentum. However, profitability remains a significant challenge, with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 20.2% in the TTM, but the company is still operating at a loss, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.39, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is reasonable, showing that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed by equity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow growth rate is declining. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash relative to its net losses, but overall cash flow remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.72M46.20M341.54M145.88M0.000.00
Gross Profit10.46M6.19M17.53M59.30M-2.44M0.00
EBITDA-138.35M-134.56M-97.86M-69.38M-28.89M-14.45M
Net Income-144.49M-135.75M-98.44M-78.30M-31.34M-24.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets248.83M183.89M340.75M416.71M125.29M30.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.42M30.02M109.92M203.04M105.13M10.05M
Total Debt35.59M1.36M1.86M1.55M1.36M2.16M
Total Liabilities158.53M57.63M116.96M129.00M193.96M70.01M
Stockholders Equity90.30M126.32M223.79M287.71M114.04M-39.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-84.38M-114.71M-123.09M-25.66M-22.24M-18.45M
Operating Cash Flow-31.39M-55.86M-92.66M-23.35M-22.07M-16.70M
Investing Cash Flow-55.24M-58.74M-42.54M-13.32M-1.17M-1.75M
Financing Cash Flow31.53M-252.00K-5.48M217.77M116.38M15.64M

Energy Vault Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.11
Price Trends
50DMA
1.55
Positive
100DMA
1.20
Positive
200DMA
1.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
82.56
Negative
STOCH
91.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, above the 50-day MA of 1.55, and above the 200-day MA of 1.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.56 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRGV.

Energy Vault Holdings Risk Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Energy Vault Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Energy Vault Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
2.76B25.283.39%33.19%486.74%
55
Neutral
1.71B-35.23-4.52%14.26%20.99%
54
Neutral
$381.98M-101.08%-82.87%-59.38%
54
Neutral
49.77M-16.50-24.56%-46.17%-54.38%
43
Neutral
209.70M-0.39-751.03%92.43%31.00%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
3.11
2.10
207.92%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.61
1.03
15.65%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
8.52
5.00
142.05%
NXXT
NextNRG
1.67
-1.74
-51.03%
FLNC
Fluence Energy
9.36
-12.52
-57.22%

Energy Vault Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Holdings Enters New Financing Arrangements
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

Between August 29, 2025, and September 5, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. entered into Financing Arrangements with Cedar Advance LLC, Reliance Financial FL LLC, and UFS West LLC, selling future receivables ranging from $7.63 million to $9.45 million for a purchase price of $7.50 million. The company received $6.75 million after fees, with repayment terms affecting the total future receivables amount. This strategic financial move could impact Energy Vault’s cash flow management and operational flexibility, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Energy Vault Regains NYSE Compliance with Share Price Surge
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. announced on September 3, 2025, that it has regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange’s continued listing criteria, following a notice of non-compliance received on April 16, 2025. The company achieved this by maintaining an average share price above $1.00 over a consecutive 30-day trading period, reflecting a 114% increase, which positively impacts its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures $300M for Global Expansion
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced an exclusive agreement for a $300 million preferred equity investment to launch ‘Asset Vault,’ a subsidiary dedicated to developing, building, owning, and operating energy storage assets globally. This investment, from a leading infrastructure fund, is expected to enable over $1 billion in capital expenditure for 1.5 GW of projects across the U.S., Australia, and Europe, accelerating Energy Vault’s IPP strategy. The initiative aims to generate $100 million+ in annual EBITDA within 3-4 years, leveraging long-term contracts and Energy Vault’s operational expertise to enhance project returns and shareholder alignment.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Completes Stoney Creek BESS Acquisition
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the completion of its acquisition of the 125 MW/1,000 MWh Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in Northern New South Wales, Australia. This acquisition marks Energy Vault’s first project in Australia under its ‘Own & Operate’ portfolio, reinforcing its commitment to supporting Australia’s energy transition. The Stoney Creek BESS, supported by a 14-year offtake agreement, is expected to enhance grid reliability and flexibility, contributing approximately $30 million in annual EBITDA for over 15 years. This strategic move underscores Energy Vault’s focus on expanding in high-growth markets with favorable regulatory environments, leveraging its proprietary VaultOS™ platform and B-VAULT™ technology to optimize performance and profitability.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures Major Battery Storage Contract
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced a contract with Consumers Energy to supply two battery energy storage systems (BESS) totaling 75 MW/300 MWh in Michigan’s Iosco and Bay Counties. This agreement marks Energy Vault’s expansion into the Eastern U.S. utility market and is expected to enhance grid reliability and support Michigan’s energy demand with renewable energy. The project is set to begin construction in Q1 2026 and commence commercial operations by Q4 2026, showcasing Energy Vault’s commitment to sustainable energy and grid resilience.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures $18 Million for Texas BESS
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the successful close of $18 million in project financing for its Cross Trails battery energy storage system (BESS), which serves the Texas ERCOT market. The financing supports the company’s ‘Own & Operate’ strategy and is expected to generate a levered IRR of approximately 15%. The Cross Trails BESS, which began commercial operations in June 2025, is backed by a 10-year offtake agreement with Gridmatic and is the first deployment of Energy Vault’s second-generation B-VAULT™ AC product. This project financing follows the company’s earlier $28 million financing for the Calistoga Resiliency Center in California and the acquisition of the Stoney Creek BESS in Australia, further demonstrating Energy Vault’s ability to attract premium financing partners and build a diversified portfolio of energy storage assets.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Launches Cross Trails Battery System
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the successful completion and commercial operation of the 57 MW two-hour Cross Trails battery energy storage system (BESS) in Scurry County, Texas. This project, completed ahead of schedule, marks the first asset under Energy Vault’s ‘Own & Operate’ growth strategy, supported by a 10-year offtake agreement with Gridmatic. The Cross Trails BESS provides energy and ancillary services to enhance renewable energy production and grid resiliency in the ERCOT region. The project leverages Energy Vault’s second-generation B-VAULT™ AC system and VaultOS™ Energy Management System, demonstrating the company’s ability to execute complex energy storage deployments efficiently. This milestone reflects Energy Vault’s strategic vision and expertise in designing, building, and operating energy storage assets, further strengthening its position in the energy storage asset infrastructure market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025