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Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis

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MX:VTS

Vitesse Energy, Inc.

(BMV:VTS)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Strong Cash GenerationStrong operating and free cash flow provides internally generated funding for development, acquisitions, debt service, and shareholder distributions. The ability to convert operations into cash despite reported losses supports financial resilience, although future cash generation will remain linked to production and commodity conditions.
Negative Factors
Weak and Volatile ProfitabilityThe recent reversal to a net loss and declining gross margin show that reported earnings remain less durable than cash flow. Weaker unit economics can reduce retained capital, constrain shareholder distributions, and make results more sensitive to production performance, costs, commodity prices, and derivative accounting.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%MX:VTS+14.62%SPY+8.76%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
MXN 624.81M
Dividend Yield
8.90%
Average Volume (3M)
100
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-13.0
Beta (1Y)
0.08
Revenue Growth
-1.04%
EPS Growth
-300.43%
Country
Mexico
Employees
37
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vitesse Energy, Inc. is an energy company primarily engaged in all aspects of oil and gas property management, from initial acquisition and ownership through exploration, development, operation, production, and eventual divestiture of assets. The fir...

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 15, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Management highlighted the accretive DJ Basin acquisition, uninterrupted dividend history, increased production guidance, strong oil weighting, positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, expanded liquidity, disciplined hedging, and expected operating leverage. The main negatives were the GAAP loss caused by noncash derivative marks, quarter-end leverage above the 1x target, and temporary production and LOE pressure from mechanical failures. Overall, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Consistent Quarterly Dividend
The Board declared a fourth quarter cash dividend of $0.4375 per share, or $1.75 annualized. This marked the 16th consecutive quarterly dividend since the January 2023 spin-off without interruption.

Negative Updates

GAAP Net Loss From Derivative Valuation
Vitesse reported a GAAP net loss of $36.4 million for the third quarter, entirely attributable to a $46.6 million noncash unrealized loss on commodity derivative instruments. Management said the loss had no impact on operating cash flow or free cash flow.

Company Guidance

For 2026, Vitesse revised annual production guidance to 16,600 to 17,200 BOE per day and drilling completion CapEx guidance to $80 million to $90 million, with oil as a percentage of annual production at 60% to 62%; the company expects an acceleration of wells turned to production in the fourth quarter. For 2027, Vitesse is looking at a flat to modest increase in production relative to the annual guide to the pro forma production today, with CapEx expected to be similar to what this year is turning out to be, assuming commodity prices and the strip holding true to what it is today. Maintenance CapEx is expected to decline 10% or so over the next 3 or 4 years, LOE dollars per BOE are anticipated to come back down to where they were previously, and G&A would probably see some decrease as the company goes from year-to-year next year. Incorporating a full quarter of DJ Basin cash flows and acceleration of wells being turned to production in Q4, leverage is right at 1x target and declining at current strip prices; approximately 64% of the remaining 2026 oil production and approximately 57% of the remaining 2026 natural gas production were hedged, with the oil hedge book extending into 2030 at a weighted average price of approximately $68 per barrel.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Risk Analysis

Vitesse Energy, Inc. disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vitesse Energy, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

  • Legal & Regulatory1
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

MX:VTS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SDSD81Outperform$463.47M4.6218.17%5.60%30.83%47.54%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
GRNTGRNT59Neutral$698.01M-14.18-9.26%8.32%24.18%-240.61%
HPKHPK56Neutral$902.87M-6.26-5.69%2.24%-12.57%-188.23%
WTIWTI55Neutral$478.63M-9.0325.13%1.29%20.26%65.62%
EGYEGY52Neutral$565.93M-3.72-39.83%4.65%11.75%-628.49%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%MX:VTSSDEGYWTIHPKGRNTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MX:VTS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.336.0042.8714.62%
SDSandridge Energy12.49-0.63-4.77%
EGYVaalco Energy5.381.7749.03%
WTIW&t Offshore3.091.2264.89%
HPKHighpeak Energy Inc7.141.1919.92%
GRNTGranite Ridge Resources, Inc.5.290.6213.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.