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Vale SA (VALEN) Stock Price & Analysis

VALEN Stock Chart & Stats

MX$215.05MX$4.05(1.92%)
At close:
Mex$220Mex$240Mex$26017 Aug2 Sep14 Sep29 Sep13 Oct26 Oct
Day’s Range
MXN 214.00 - MXN 218.00
52-Week Range
MXN 170.79 - MXN 345.00
Previous Close
MXN 211.00
Volume
0
Average Volume (3M)
3,078
Market Cap
MXN 854.27B
Enterprise Value
MXN 71.35B
Total Cash (Recent Filing)
MXN 5.04B
Total Debt (Recent Filing)
MXN 18.16B
Price to Earnings (P/E)
22.8
Beta
0.78
Next Earnings
Feb 25, 2027 (Est.)
EPS Estimate
7.72
Next Dividend Ex-Date
N/A
Dividend Yield
8.42%

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say

Integrated Logistics And Freight Protection

Vale’s owned logistics network and substantial freight coverage provide a durable advantage in moving exports to global customers. Fixed-rate contracts reduce exposure to shipping-cost volatility, protect realized margins, and improve planning visibility across future iron ore and base-metals shipments.

Base Metals Growth Platform

Stronger nickel and copper execution is helping diversify Vale beyond iron ore, while Salobo CPF and related projects create a multi-year copper growth pipeline. This can improve portfolio quality and position the company for structural demand from industrial and energy-transition applications.

Positive Cash Generation And Manageable Leverage

Vale continues to generate substantial cash even during a weaker earnings period, supporting capital spending, debt reduction and shareholder distributions. Net debt remains within management’s stated target range, preserving financial flexibility to fund projects and absorb commodity-cycle volatility.

Bears Say

Material Profitability Compression

The sharp decline in earnings despite broadly stable or higher revenue shows that Vale’s profitability is vulnerable to weaker realized prices, higher operating costs and currency effects. Sustained margin pressure would reduce internal funding capacity and make earnings less predictable over coming quarters.

Serra Norte Depletion And Operational Constraints

Serra Norte is a durable production risk because depletion, restricted mining areas and ore-quality issues can constrain Vale’s largest business over several periods. Lower volumes or higher processing costs would pressure iron-ore margins and increase reliance on recovery projects and other assets.

Weaker Cash Conversion

Although cash generation remains positive, the deterioration in free-cash-flow momentum and conversion indicates greater sensitivity to capital spending, working capital and commodity conditions. Weaker conversion can limit the resources available for debt reduction, expansion projects and shareholder returns.

Vale SA News

VALEN FAQ

What was Vale SA’s price range in the past 12 months?
Vale SA lowest stock price was Mex$170.79 and its highest was Mex$345.00 in the past 12 months.
What is Vale SA’s market cap?
Vale SA’s market cap is Mex$854.27B.
When is Vale SA’s upcoming earnings report date?
Vale SA’s next earnings report is estimated for Feb 25, 2027 (not yet confirmed), which is in 115 days.
How were Vale SA’s earnings last quarter?
Vale SA released its earnings results on Oct 29, 2026. The company reported Mex$5.45 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of Mex$7.216 by -Mex$1.766.
Is Vale SA overvalued?
According to Wall Street analysts Vale SA’s price is currently Undervalued.
Does Vale SA pay dividends?
Vale SA does not currently pay dividends.
What is Vale SA’s EPS estimate?
Vale SA’s EPS estimate is 7.72.
How many shares outstanding does Vale SA have?
Vale SA has 4,255,762,700 shares outstanding.
What happened to Vale SA’s price movement after its last earnings report?
Vale SA reported an EPS of Mex$5.45 in its last earnings report, missing expectations of Mex$7.216. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 1.919%.
Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Vale SA?
Hedge funds hold Vale SA shares: hedge funds increased their holdings by 2.2M shares last quarter.
What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology