Frontline (FRO1N) AI Stock Analysis

Frontline

(BMV:FRO1N)

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Positive Factors

Strong earnings growth and marginsThe sharp TTM revenue increase and exceptionally high margins demonstrate strong current earning power and operating leverage. Although shipping earnings are cyclical, this profitability provides substantial capacity to fund fleet investment, reduce leverage, and return cash while market conditions remain supportive.

Negative Factors

Cyclical earnings and cash-flow volatilityFrontline’s strong current results do not establish a stable earnings floor because tanker rates, capital spending and working capital can change materially. Historical negative free cash flow and weaker cash conversion than net income could constrain distributions and investment if freight conditions normalize.

Frontline (FRO1N) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: MXN 12.67B
Dividend Yield: 12.02%
Average Volume (3M): 255
Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.5
Beta (1Y): -0.22
Revenue Growth: 34.78%
EPS Growth: 460.11%
Country: Mexico
Employees: 85
Sector: Energy
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Marine Shipping

Frontline Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers...

Frontline Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:28.84%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 29, 2026

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a predominantly positive near-term financial and operational picture: record quarterly earnings, very high TCEs with substantial booking coverage, improved liquidity, lower financing costs, and significant cash generation potential. These positives are tempered by meaningful medium-to-long-term risks — elevated geopolitical insecurity, pronounced market inefficiencies, data blind spots, an elevated orderbook relative to the active fleet and slow scrapping — which introduce uncertainty about sustainability. On balance, the strong earnings, fleet quality, and balance sheet improvements outweigh the risks discussed.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Profit

Reported profit of $659 million ($2.96 per share) and adjusted profit of $580 million ($2.61 per share) in Q2 2026 — the company's best quarter ever; adjusted profit increased by $235 million versus the prior quarter.

Negative Updates

Geopolitical and Security Risks

Management highlighted elevated risk in Gulf of Oman, Red Sea, Black Sea and renewed Houthi activity — contributing to volatility, higher risk premiums and route inefficiencies that could be sustained.

Company Guidance

Frontline’s guidance emphasized very strong near‑term cash generation and a solid balance sheet: Q2 TCEs were $153k/day (VLCC), $111k/day (Suezmax) and $92.4k/day (LR2/Aframax), with forward coverage of 86% of VLCC days at $157k/day, 79% of Suezmax days at $117k/day and 70% of LR2 days at $81k/day; reported profit was $659M ($2.96/share) and adjusted profit $580M ($2.61/share), up $235M QoQ. Liquidity is robust (SEK 1.2bn cash and equivalents, $91M undrawn revolver), no meaningful debt maturities until 2030, remaining newbuilding commitments ~$601M with up to $737M newbuilding financing secured, and a ~52 bps reduction in weighted average margin (from 178 to 126 bps: amendments 24 bps, refinancings 21 bps, newbuilding/asset sales 7 bps). Pro‑forma fleet post deliveries/sales: 40 VLCCs, 19 Suezmax, 18 Aframax/LR2 (avg age 6.6 yrs; 100% eco; 69% scrubber‑fitted). Estimated 12‑month cash breakevens: VLCC ~$23.8k/day, Suezmax ~$25.7k/day, LR2 ~$22.2k/day (fleet avg ~$23.9k/day; excl. drydock ~$22.3k/day); Q2 OpEx incl. drydock: VLCC $9.2k/day, Suezmax $9.0k/day, LR2 $13.3k/day (fleet OpEx ex‑drydock $8.7k/day). Based on ~27.8k earning days, cash‑generation potential at current TCE/spot rates is ~$2.3bn (~$10.35/share; ~24% cash‑flow yield), rising to ~$3.1bn ($30.91/share) with a 30% rate upside or falling to ~$1.5bn ($6.88/share) with a 30% downside.

Frontline Risk Analysis

Frontline disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Frontline reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Finance & Corporate13
Tech & Innovation2
Legal & Regulatory9
Production14
Ability to Sell4
Macro & Political7

Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.We may not be able to obtain financing on terms acceptable to us or at all, which may negatively impact our business.Q4, 2021

Frontline Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

MX:FRO1N against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TNK	90Outperform	$3.50B	5.92	27.73%	1.98%	19.33%	110.30%
DHT	82Outperform	$4.03B	8.51	39.55%	9.79%	39.42%	148.77%
ECO	81Outperform	$3.89B	9.34	―	9.42%	105.24%	413.89%
INSW	77Outperform	$5.73B	7.10	37.04%	11.26%	57.66%	225.95%
NAT	77Outperform	$1.67B	13.59	26.85%	9.99%	29.11%	814.26%
Sector *	65Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

MX:FRO1N and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
MX:FRO1N	Frontline	884.00	597.39	208.44%
DHT	Dht Holdings	25.02	13.67	120.40%
NAT	Nordic American Tanker Shipping	7.91	4.77	152.23%
TNK	Teekay Tankers	100.80	41.80	70.84%
INSW	International Seaways	111.95	68.70	158.87%
ECO	Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.	76.15	47.30	163.93%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Frontline AI Stock Analysis