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Expand Energy (MX:EXE)
:EXE
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

Expand Energy (EXE) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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MX:EXE Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$22.80
Consensus EPS$19.35
Beat/MissBeat by +$3.45
One Year Ago EPS$18.86

MX:EXE Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$43.04B
Expected Revenue$52.25B
Beat/MissMissed by -$9.20B
YoY Revenue Growth-10.61%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date07/28/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallTuesday, July 28, 2026
MX:EXE Upcoming Earnings
Expand Energy's next earnings date is estimated for November 3, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:EXE Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call conveyed a constructive and strategic tone: management executed disciplined capital allocation (debt paydown and $850M buybacks), secured a transformational Twin Eagle acquisition that materially strengthens marketing, storage and coast-to-coast origination capabilities, and raised M&C free cash flow targets to $750M. Operational execution and efficiency gains support improved returns and modestly lower breakevens. Near-term challenges include softer natural gas prices, elevated Q2/Q3 CapEx partly due to leasing and fuel costs, pushed TILs from larger completions and exploratory risk in Western Haynesville. Overall, the positive strategic progress, strong liquidity and expected synergy-driven EBITDA uplift appear to outweigh the near-term headwinds.
Company Guidance
The company raised its incremental marketing & commercial free cash flow target to $750 million (up from the prior $500M plan) after announcing the Twin Eagle deal, which management expects to contribute >$200 million of EBITDA in year one and to grow to ~$350 million/year within two years (with 1.5–2.0x upside in high-volatility periods); other key metrics discussed included a board authorization of an additional $1 billion buyback after repurchasing $850 million (≈4% of shares) and a Q1 paydown of $1.3 billion gross debt, a mid‑cycle gas price view of $3.50–$4.00, a current breakeven (ex‑dividend) of roughly $2.70 that the acquisition and synergies are expected to lower by ~$0.05–$0.10 and ~$0.10–$0.15 respectively (≈$0.30 total if the full $750M M&C target is achieved), pro forma storage rising to ~49 Bcf (including ~44 Bcf from Twin Eagle), ~9 Bcf/day of gas currently marketed, production run‑rate targeted around 7.5 Bcf/day (with >7.6 Bcf/day expected in 4Q), roughly 200 wells drilled per year, maintenance CapEx near $2.8 billion, and large inventory metrics (e.g., ~2,000 Louisiana locations, >20 years of inventory, 75% of Tier‑1 inventory), plus >100 NFZ locations acquired at under $0.5 million each.
Transformational Twin Eagle Acquisition
Acquired Twin Eagle to create an integrated upstream + marketing platform; expected to contribute >$200 million of EBITDA in year 1 and grow to $350 million/year within ~2 years as synergies are captured. Twin Eagle brings ~1,000–1,300 customers (90% average retention) and ~44 Bcf of storage (pro forma ~49 Bcf). Management raised incremental marketing/commercial free cash flow target to $750 million (up from prior ~$500 million).
Strong Capital-Allocation Actions and Liquidity
Captured Q1 free cash flow from elevated natural gas prices to pay down $1.3 billion of gross debt and repurchased $850 million of shares, equal to ~4% of outstanding shares. Board authorized an additional $1.0 billion for future buybacks. Management states ample liquidity to fund Twin Eagle and other opportunities.
Breakeven and Margin Improvements
Pro forma breakeven (excluding dividend) cited at ~$2.70/Mcf. The Twin Eagle acquisition is expected to reduce breakeven by ~$0.05–$0.10; synergies could add another ~$0.10–$0.15 benefit. Full $750 million M&C delivery is estimated to yield ~ $0.30 of breakeven improvement overall.
Operational Execution and Safety
Management highlighted continued operational excellence, particularly in Southwest Appalachia and the Southwest App team, with safety-first emphasis. Company expects improved drilling/completion performance and ongoing efficiency gains.
Inventory and Leasing Adds — Accretive Organic Growth
Active organic leasing across basins: acquired ~33,000 acres in the Natchitoches Fault Zone and over 100 locations at < $0.5M per location; also noted ~3,000 acres in Bradford County. Management emphasized organic leasing as a high-return use of capital and added high-quality locations that provide near-term drilling options and long-term growth optionality.
Improved Well Performance & Capital Efficiency
Enhanced completion designs in Haynesville are delivering ~5–10% higher per-well initial production and flattening year 2–3 decline, improving returns and lowering reinvestment rates. Company runs roughly ~200 wells/year and expects modest maintenance CapEx improvement heading into next year (maintenance CapEx cited around ~$2.8 billion ex-growth).
Marketing & Commercial Capabilities Expand Market Reach
Twin Eagle brings coast-to-coast origination, transportation and storage optimization capabilities enabling access to premium markets (power, industrial, LNG) and opportunities to monetize regional volatility rather than solely directional commodity exposure.
Flexibility on Production Cadence and Active Production Management
Management emphasizes ability to actively manage production to align with price and demand; Q4 production expected >7.6 Bcf/d (company run rate ~7.5 Bcf/d) with the ability to ramp or curtail volumes depending on market signals.

MX:EXE Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Nov 03, 2026
2026 (Q3)
24.98 / -
16.627
2026 (Q2)
19.35 / 22.80
18.85620.91% (+3.94)
2026 (Q1)
62.02 / 65.65
34.62689.60% (+31.03)
2025 (Q4)
32.14 / 34.28
9.428263.64% (+24.86)
2025 (Q3)
15.39 / 16.63
2.743506.25% (+13.88)
2025 (Q2)
19.49 / 18.86
0.17110900.00% (+18.68)
2025 (Q1)
32.81 / 34.63
9.599260.71% (+25.03)
2024 (Q4)
8.91 / 9.43
22.455-58.02% (-13.03)
2024 (Q3)
-0.87 / 2.74
18.684-85.32% (-15.94)
2024 (Q2)
-0.19 / 0.17
10.971-98.44% (-10.80)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed