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Ecopetrol SA (MX:ECN)
:ECN
Mexico Market
EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

Ecopetrol SA (ECN) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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MX:ECN Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$16.22
Consensus EPS$14.23
Beat/MissBeat by +$1.99
One Year Ago EPS$4.81

MX:ECN Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$165.78B
Expected Revenue$197.93B
Beat/MissMissed by -$32.15B
YoY Revenue Growth+37.75%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date08/03/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallMonday, August 3, 2026
MX:ECN Upcoming Earnings
Ecopetrol SA's next earnings date is estimated for November 10, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

MX:ECN Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial picture driven by exceptional commodity and refining market conditions: record refining throughput and margins, substantial YoY increases in revenue, EBITDA and net income, solid cash generation and disciplined capital deployment. These positives were tempered by operational disruptions (notably the Meta blockade and power issues) that depressed production, material tax and FEPC-related receivable uncertainty, and some cost pressures in transportation and contingency preparedness (El Niño). On balance the favorable results, cash generation, discoveries, and execution of strategic projects outweigh the challenges.
Company Guidance
Ecopetrol reiterated a 2026 operating outlook focused on recovering volumes and sustaining refining and midstream momentum: H1 production averaged ~715,000 boe/d with management maintaining a full‑year target of 730,000–740,000 boe/d and actions to recover ~23,000 bpd deferred production (including a 7‑well Permian campaign expected to add ~4,000–5,000 bpd from late‑2026), record refining throughput of 439,000 bpd in Q2 (+6% YoY) with a Q2 refining gross margin of USD 29.8/bbl (Cartagena USD 31.6/bbl) and midstream transport >1.1 million bpd (+3.8% YoY), while exploration activity totaled 8 wells H1 with two discoveries (Copa Sul, Sandia‑1) and Copa Sul testing at up to 35 MMcf/d. On the financial side the company emphasized disciplined execution — USD 2.9 billion of investments executed YTD (71% Colombia, 22% Brazil, 7% U.S.; 63% hydrocarbons/29% transmission/8% energy transition), Q2 revenue COP 4.2 trillion, Q2 EBITDA COP 17.7 trillion (margin 44%) and Q2 net income COP 6.1 trillion (H1 net income COP 9 trillion), H1 operating cash flow COP 14.1 trillion, free cash flow COP 6 trillion, consolidated cash COP 11.3 trillion, CapEx outflow COP 8.4 trillion, dividend payments COP 6 trillion, gross debt/EBITDA ~2x (1.3x ex‑ISA), efficiency gains COP 2.6 trillion YTD, and a Fuel Price Stabilization Fund receivable of COP 8 trillion as of June (management expects year‑end FEPC between COP 8–12 trillion using a 2026 Brent scenario of ~USD 84–90/bbl and TRM ~3,200–3,500, and projects a 2027 FEPC accrual of COP 1–3 trillion under Brent ≈USD 72 and TRM 3,200–3,600).
Strong Quarterly Financial Performance
Q2 2026 revenue COP 4.2 trillion (+35% YoY), EBITDA COP 17.7 trillion (+59% YoY) and net income COP 6.1 trillion (+235% YoY). Group EBITDA margin of 44% (≈+6 percentage points YoY). Highest quarterly net income since Q4 2022.
Robust First-Half Results and Cash Generation
As of H1 2026 net income COP 9 trillion (matching full-year 2025). Operating cash flow COP 14.1 trillion (H1), consolidated cash position COP 11.3 trillion, free cash flow COP 6 trillion. Executed investments of USD 2.9 billion through June.
Record Refining Throughput and Margins
Record integrated refinery throughput of 439,000 barrels per day (highest quarterly throughput; +6% vs Q2 2025). Refining gross margin USD 29.8/ barrel (vs USD 12.5/ barrel in same period last year); Cartagena margin reached USD 31.6/ barrel. Refining cited as a main value driver in the quarter.
Hydrocarbons Segment Profitability Improvement
Hydrocarbons segment H1 EBITDA COP 25.7 trillion (+23% YoY) with EBITDA margin expansion from 38% to 45% (+7 percentage points). Delivered COP 1.3 trillion (segment) and COP 2.6 trillion (group) in efficiency gains contributing to EBITDA, CapEx and working capital.
Operational Midstream Strength
Transportation volumes increased (transported >1.1 million bpd, +3.8% YoY / company stated +4%), supported by logistics optimization and higher refined product deliveries, offsetting lower domestic production.
Material Exploration and Resource Discoveries
Drilled 3 wells in the quarter (8 wells H1), two notable discoveries: Copa Sul-1 and Sandia-1 (Guajira Offshore) — Sandia-1 reached 5,440 m depth and initial testing up to 35 mmcf/d (testing-constrained). Progress on Sirius project and multiple environmental filings for other discoveries.
Energy Transition and Security Progress
Ecopetrol supplies ~62% of Colombia's natural gas demand and offered 293 GBtud of firm long-term gas YTD. Renewable and self-generation portfolio reached 951 MW; Buenaventura regasification 73% complete (60 GBtud capacity); FSRU chartered at Puerto Bahía (up to 500 mmcf/d). Achieved 1.6 PJ of energy efficiency in the quarter (target 3.14 PJ).
Financial Discipline and Capital Structure
Gross debt-to-EBITDA ratio at group 2.0x (1.3x excluding ISA). Management completed dividend plan (COP 6 trillion paid H1) while preserving liquidity and planning bridge financing + takeout for the Brava Energia acquisition.

MX:ECN Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Nov 10, 2026
2026 (Q3)
8.93 / -
6.142
2026 (Q2)
14.23 / 16.22
4.814237.01% (+11.41)
2026 (Q1)
10.48 / 9.91
8.06722.81% (+1.84)
2025 (Q4)
4.95 / 4.32
9.417-54.10% (-5.09)
2025 (Q3)
6.85 / 6.14
10.136-39.41% (-3.99)
2025 (Q2)
6.41 / 4.81
9.456-49.09% (-4.64)
2025 (Q1)
7.98 / 8.07
10.371-22.21% (-2.30)
2024 (Q4)
7.80 / 9.42
12.408-24.11% (-2.99)
Nov 13, 2024
2024 (Q3)
9.73 / 10.14
13.391-24.31% (-3.26)
2024 (Q2)
10.38 / 9.46
11.621-18.63% (-2.16)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed