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Campbell Soup (CPB) AI Stock Analysis

MX:CPB

Campbell Soup

(BMV:CPB)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Cash GenerationCampbell continues to generate substantial operating and free cash flow, providing internal funding for operations, investment, debt service, and shareholder commitments. Although cash conversion weakened, the absolute level of generation remains an important source of resilience during a period of softer earnings.
Negative Factors
Declining Sales and MarginsThe simultaneous deterioration in revenue and profitability signals pressure on pricing, product mix, volumes, or costs rather than an isolated earnings fluctuation. Continued margin compression would reduce reinvestment capacity and make it harder for Campbell to convert its broad portfolio into sustainable growth.

Campbell Soup (CPB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MX:CPB-29.78%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 6.39B
Dividend Yield
7.41%
Average Volume (3M)
128
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.10
Revenue Growth
-14.09%
EPS Growth
-38.90%
Country
Mexico
Employees
13,500
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Campbell Soup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is a leading international producer and marketer of a wide variety of food and beverage products. The enterprise conducts its business through two main operational divisions: Meals & Beverages and Snacks. The Meals & Bever...

Campbell Soup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 02, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-2.75%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 08, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call was balanced. Management outlined substantial cost savings, pricing, innovation, commercial capability, and turnaround initiatives, with encouraging trends in cooking soups, Goldfish, pretzels, cookies, and Pacific. However, the near-term outlook includes a roughly 3% organic sales decline, a high-single-digit Q1 Snacks decline, significant Q1 margin pressure, higher interest expense, a dividend reduction, and continued negative Snacks consumption. The combination of credible improvement plans and significant current-year challenges supports a Neutral overall assessment.

Positive Updates

Four-Year Cost Savings Program
Campbell's announced a $500 million cost savings program over the next 4 years, beginning in fiscal year 2027 and running through fiscal year 2030. Of the prior $375 million program, $225 million had been delivered through the fiscal year just ended, with $150 million of savings plans rolling into the new program and $350 million of incremental savings identified. The program includes headcount reductions, procurement savings across direct and indirect spending, and supply chain network optimization.

Negative Updates

Organic Sales Outlook Down Approximately 3%
At the midpoint of the organic net sales range, management expects organic net sales to be down about 3%. MMB is expected to be down slightly and relatively consistent throughout the year.

Company Guidance

Management said the midpoint of the organic net sales range is down about 3%, with MMB down slightly and Snacks expected to have Q1 as the low point followed by a modest improvement throughout the year; Snacks are expected to be high single digit down in the first Q2uarter, with consumption not reaching positive but making continued modest progress throughout the year. Inflation is expected to be about +5% to 6% throughout the year, logistics around double digits, gross margin down 50 to 100 basis points for the total year and positive in the second half, and EPS to show a fairly sharp decline in Q1 before becoming positive EPS by the fourth Q2uarter, within a guide of dollars 1.65 to 1.8. The company took a price increase on about 60% of its portfolio, averaging 4-5%, with assumed elasticities of 1.5x; interest expense is projected to be approximately $25 million higher year over year. The $500 million program is over the next 4 years, with $350 million of incremental savings through fiscal year 2030, while the $500 million bond maturing in March is being considered for refinancing, including a hybrid that would receive 50% eQ2uity credit.

Campbell Soup Risk Analysis

Campbell Soup disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Campbell Soup reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Campbell Soup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

MX:CPB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
HRLHRL58Neutral$11.71B33.774.33%5.50%0.73%-54.64%
KHCKHC53Neutral$28.86B-8.51-8.44%6.57%-1.62%36.06%
GISGIS48Neutral$18.33B-20.78-10.69%7.12%-4.49%-131.46%
CAGCAG46Neutral$6.96B-3.66-26.28%8.41%-1.80%-323.82%
BGSBGS37Underperform$188.56M-2.61-16.45%24.57%-4.91%68.74%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%MX:CPBBGSCAGGISHRLKHCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:CPB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:CPBCampbell Soup Company365.00-154.80-29.78%
BGSB&G Foods2.32-1.17-33.54%
CAGConagra Brands14.57-1.78-10.89%
GISGeneral Mills Inc34.29-9.14-21.05%
HRLHormel Foods Corp21.280.934.56%
KHCKraft Heinz Co24.341.576.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.