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McEwen Mining
(NYSE:MUX)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▼(-3.05% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
MUX scores as a moderate-risk, mixed-quality setup: improving profitability and a manageable balance sheet are the key supports, but the biggest constraint is weak and volatile free-cash-flow conversion alongside a recent revenue decline. Technicals and valuation are broadly neutral-to-slightly positive, while earnings-call and event updates show progress on long-term projects but highlight ongoing near-term operational and cost execution risks.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability
The shift from losses in earlier years to positive 2025 and TTM earnings indicates meaningful improvement in profitability. A solid TTM net margin and positive operating profit provide a stronger base for funding projects, absorbing operating volatility, and building earnings power over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak revenue and cash-flow conversion
The recent top-line decline and only slightly positive TTM free cash flow show that improved accounting profitability is not yet translating consistently into durable cash generation. This can constrain internally funded growth and leave results more exposed to metal prices, capital intensity, and working-capital swings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved profitability
The shift from losses in earlier years to positive 2025 and TTM earnings indicates meaningful improvement in profitability. A solid TTM net margin and positive operating profit provide a stronger base for funding projects, absorbing operating volatility, and building earnings power over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
McEwen Mining (MUX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.17B
Dividend Yield0.61%
Average Volume (3M)1.12M
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.5
Beta (1Y)1.46
Revenue Growth47.73%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees1,981
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryOther Precious Metals
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.41
Shares Outstanding61,358,566
10 Day Avg. Volume1,125,723
30 Day Avg. Volume1,118,317
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.17
Price to Book (P/B)1.83
Price to Sales (P/S)5.06
P/FCF Ratio-26.48
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$29.00Price Target Upside33.89% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.96
Revenue Forecast (FY)$249.01M
McEwen Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
McEwen Mining Inc. (MUX) is primarily engaged in the discovery, development, extraction, and sale of gold and silver deposits across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. The company also conducts exploration for copper reserves. Its p...
How the Company Makes Money
McEwen Mining makes money primarily by producing and selling mined metals—mainly gold and silver—from its operating assets. Revenue is recognized from the sale of metal (typically as refined doré or saleable concentrate/product, depending on the m...
McEwen Mining Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced acknowledgment of a disappointing operational quarter (Gold Bar production shortfall, higher AISC, metallurgical challenges and diesel-driven cost pressure) with substantive progress on longer‑term value drivers: Los Azules engineering and financing advancement, promising exploration results and concrete remedial actions for operational issues. Management framed setbacks as addressable and emphasized disciplined capital allocation and exploration upside.Positive Updates
Los Azules progressing toward FID and advanced engineering
FID work program ~27% complete as of June with target completion in Q4; major process packages (SX-EW, sulfuric acid plant, crushing) awarded to Metso and vendor engineering advancing, reducing technical risk and strengthening permitting and financing momentum.
Negative Updates
Operational shortfall at Gold Bar impacting production
Quarterly production was lower than planned due primarily to encountering more carbonaceous (preg-robbing) material than expected in portions of the ore body, leading to reduced recoveries and missed internal production targets; multi-year Gold Bar target remains 90,000–100,000 ounces/year but near-term performance fell short.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Los Azules progressing toward FID and advanced engineering
FID work program ~27% complete as of June with target completion in Q4; major process packages (SX-EW, sulfuric acid plant, crushing) awarded to Metso and vendor engineering advancing, reducing technical risk and strengthening permitting and financing momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guidance and milestones from the call included a Gold Bar multi‑year production target of 90,000–100,000 oz/year with permitting for surrounding “spokes” about two years away; operational fixes underway (expanded metallurgical testing, improved geological modelling, modified sequencing/blending) and higher production to move more waste after a Q2 recovery shortfall. San José JV cash was roughly $130M US at Q2 with no further dividend expected this year and dividends likely resuming next year. Los Azules FID work was ~27% complete at June with target completion in Q4; total project financing need ~ $4.0B (feasibility CapEx ≈ $3.2B), targeting ~60% debt / 40% equity, with ECAs expected to cover ~80–85% of debt (typical ECA packages $200M–$500M+ each and 10–15 year tenors); equity need ~ $1.6B (examples: ~$600M from one partner, ~$600M from another, plus an IPO later this year and specialist funds). Vendor packages (SX‑EW, sulfuric acid, crushing) are with Metso, final mine design consolidation reduced pit sectors from eight to four and shrank flatter‑angle zone by ~22%, and an 8,800 m exploration drill program targeting Franca, Lonita and Austral is planned to start in Sept 2026. Finally, AISC rose mainly due to lower ounces at Gold Bar and higher diesel (US diesel ≈ $3.75/gal in 2025 to ~$4.75/gal YTD; roughly $1/gal ≈ $100/oz impact on AISC).McEwen Mining Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 248.44M | 197.55M | 174.48M | 166.23M | 110.42M | 136.54M |
| Gross Profit | 62.73M | 21.73M | 30.93M | 17.78M | -544.00K | -6.48M |
| EBITDA | 103.45M | 45.03M | 18.25M | -73.94M | -78.68M | -32.66M |
| Net Income | 80.65M | 34.43M | -43.69M | 55.30M | -81.08M | -56.71M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 992.11M | 820.22M | 664.62M | 659.55M | 528.72M | 534.68M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 91.71M | 72.13M | 14.90M | 24.76M | 40.91M | 58.64M |
| Total Debt | 128.40M | 128.18M | 42.11M | 42.25M | 66.39M | 55.99M |
| Total Liabilities | 285.47M | 273.98M | 169.65M | 157.13M | 172.44M | 144.74M |
| Stockholders Equity | 706.64M | 546.24M | 494.98M | 502.42M | 322.81M | 375.16M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 3.89M | -37.77M | -13.64M | -65.74M | -80.77M | -55.11M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 78.75M | 6.87M | 29.45M | -39.64M | -56.58M | -20.22M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -85.90M | -48.03M | -58.05M | -99.64M | -23.90M | -24.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 37.52M | 78.73M | 19.20M | 172.18M | 65.45M | 80.98M |
McEwen Mining Technical Analysis
Negative
21.66
Price Trends
18.86
Positive
19.65
Negative
21.20
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.18
Positive
46.00
Neutral
34.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.85, above the 50-day MA of 18.86, and above the 200-day MA of 21.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MUX.
McEwen Mining Risk Analysis
McEwen Mining disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McEwen Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
McEwen Mining Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | $8.90B | 7.58 | 27.66% | 3.38% | 67.75% | 122.36% | |
76 Outperform | $12.71B | 36.70 | 12.98% | 0.10% | 51.13% | 399.24% | |
63 Neutral | $1.72B | 6.15 | 25.68% | 1.02% | 23.37% | ― | |
62 Neutral | $1.06B | 8.30 | 15.54% | 3.34% | -21.51% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
60 Neutral | $1.17B | 13.51 | 13.47% | 0.61% | 47.73% | ― | |
58 Neutral | $2.91B | -12.46 | -31.72% | ― | ― | -506.49% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
MUX
McEwen Mining
20.09
5.27
35.56%
BVN
Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA
34.70
13.38
62.73%
GPRE
Green Plains
15.07
5.81
62.74%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
19.03
7.87
70.52%
PPTA
Perpetua Resources
24.76
5.81
30.66%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
13.29
8.36
169.68%
McEwen Mining Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
McEwen Mining Secures $240 Million Loan for Los Azules
Positive
Sep 1, 2026
On August 27, 2026, McEwen Inc. reported that its 46.3%-owned McEwen Copper closed a US$240 million four‑year senior secured term loan, led by Sprott Natural Resource Investment Partners and Chairman Rob McEwen, to fund engineering, early wo...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
McEwen Mining Announces Leadership Changes and Executive Retirement
Positive
Aug 26, 2026
On August 24, 2026, McEwen Inc. announced the immediate retirement of long‑serving Chief Operating Officer and director William Shaver after more than 55 years in the mining sector and four years at the company, noting his departure was not ...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
McEwen Mining Joins Russell 2000, Boosting Investor Visibility
Positive
Jun 30, 2026
On June 29, 2026, McEwen Inc. reported that its common stock had been added to the Russell 2000 Index as part of the June 2026 Russell Reconstitution, effective at the opening of U.S. equity markets that day. Management expects the small-cap bench...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
McEwen Mining Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Stock Issuance
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
On June 4, 2026, McEwen Inc. shareholders convened for the annual meeting, where a quorum was achieved with 57.3% of outstanding shares represented. Investors elected all eleven nominated directors, reaffirming the existing board composition and g...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.