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Mission Bancorp (MSBC) AI Stock Analysis

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MSBC

Mission Bancorp

(Other OTC:MSBC)

Select Model
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:$144.00â–²(15.20% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

Robust financial performance driven by revenue growth and balance sheet strength is the main contributor, complemented by positive technical indicators and attractive valuation metrics.

Positive Factors
Revenue ExpansionThe substantial multi-year increase in revenue indicates that Mission Bancorp has expanded its banking activity and customer base over time. A larger revenue base can support continued investment in operations and improve the company’s ability to compound earnings across future periods.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionAlthough profitability remains healthy, the significant decline in net margin from prior peaks shows that earnings efficiency has not been fully preserved. If margins remain below historical highs, future revenue growth may translate into slower earnings growth and reduced operating leverage.

Mission Bancorp (MSBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%MSBC+39.57%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$384.90M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
922
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.9
Beta (1Y)
0.08
Revenue Growth
3.95%
EPS Growth
22.97%
Country
US
Employees
20
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Mission Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mission Bancorp acts as the holding company for Mission Bank, providing a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to both individual and business clients throughout California. The bank accepts various deposit types, including...

Mission Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid income statement with revenue growth to $113.3M, robust balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, and strong cash flow generation.

Income Statement

75Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue115.56M113.33M106.38M89.91M64.82M52.74M
Gross Profit83.95M80.37M78.36M74.70M61.59M50.45M
EBITDA45.84M38.86M42.70M42.71M34.34M-242
Net Income32.65M27.08M30.14M30.47M24.25M18.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01B1.90B1.88B1.65B1.50B1.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.62M153.76M292.44M147.27M130.34M356.44M
Total Debt12.00M11.99M21.93M41.86M21.79M21.72M
Total Liabilities1.78B1.68B1.69B1.50B1.37B1.40B
Stockholders Equity237.16M220.30M189.49M156.71M123.78M120.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow027.17M34.22M31.65M26.81M9.04M
Operating Cash Flow027.62M34.50M32.66M27.53M17.28M
Investing Cash Flow0-163.16M-84.24M-131.82M-249.45M-167.68M
Financing Cash Flow0-4.66M193.42M117.88M-3.93M223.27M

Mission Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price125.00

Price Trends

50DMA119.53Positive
100DMA114.02Positive
200DMA105.73Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.21Negative
RSI60.97Neutral
STOCH100.00Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 125.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.48, above the 50-day MA of 119.53, and above the 200-day MA of 105.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSBC.

Mission Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

MSBC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MSBCMSBC80Outperform$366.58M10.8914.28%―3.95%22.97%
JMSBJMSB78Outperform$323.73M12.149.80%1.22%6.77%33.32%
COSOCOSO72Outperform$327.15M11.2911.22%0.54%8.14%12.46%
FVCBFVCB72Outperform$304.24M11.2510.27%1.60%4.48%27.37%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FCCOFCCO65Neutral$310.00M11.3712.61%1.97%18.81%19.11%
BCMLBCML57Neutral$336.01M36.632.73%3.90%-4.80%-59.69%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%MSBCFCCOBCMLFVCBCOSOJMSBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MSBC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MSBCMission Bancorp125.0034.5238.16%
FCCOFirst Community32.986.8226.08%
BCMLBaycom30.774.6117.64%
FVCBFvcbankcorp16.874.9641.63%
COSOCoastalSouth Bancshares 27.886.4730.25%
JMSBJohn Marshall Bancorp 22.944.1822.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026