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Mount Logan Capital Inc
(NASDAQ:MLCI)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(6.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—TTM losses, negative operating/free cash flow, and elevated leverage. Technicals also lean bearish with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Offsetting these, the earnings call outlined credible near-term catalysts (Yieldstreet closing and expected FRE inflection) and valuation is modestly supported by a ~2.9% dividend yield, but profitability remains the key risk.
Positive Factors
Yieldstreet transaction catalyst
The planned Yieldstreet transaction could materially expand SOFIX and add recurring fee-related earnings, with management expecting roughly 30% growth versus 2025 run-rate FRE. If completed as anticipated, the enlarged platform may improve scale, recurring revenue, and earnings power through 2027.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses and cash burn
Large trailing losses and deeply negative operating and free cash flow show that the current business is not yet self-funding. Continued cash burn can reduce flexibility to invest in growth, absorb portfolio volatility, or support obligations while management works toward the expected earnings inflection.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Yieldstreet transaction catalyst
The planned Yieldstreet transaction could materially expand SOFIX and add recurring fee-related earnings, with management expecting roughly 30% growth versus 2025 run-rate FRE. If completed as anticipated, the enlarged platform may improve scale, recurring revenue, and earnings power through 2027.
Read all positive factors
Mount Logan Capital Inc (MLCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$37.82M
Dividend Yield3.52%
Average Volume (3M)18.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.69
Revenue Growth44.90%
EPS Growth-447.95%
CountryUS
Employees3
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryAsset Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding11,188,768
10 Day Avg. Volume22,107
30 Day Avg. Volume18,545
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.78
Price to Sales (P/S)-5.71
P/FCF Ratio-3.20
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Mount Logan Capital Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions. The company focuses on private credit across senior ...
How the Company Makes Money
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Mount Logan Capital Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | -106.92M | -12.42M | 195.66M | 214.72M | 50.41M | 22.07M |
| Gross Profit | -92.63M | -59.68M | 61.02M | 45.17M | 28.99M | 26.05M |
| EBITDA | -49.02M | -34.13M | 18.05M | -8.84M | 52.87M | 34.53M |
| Net Income | -54.30M | -60.85M | 5.59M | -16.46M | 48.32M | 28.73M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.55B | 1.60B | 1.69B | 1.69B | 1.54B | 1.68B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.77M | 133.75M | 203.74M | 199.57M | 171.39M | 44.17M |
| Total Debt | 110.06M | 93.91M | 92.68M | 76.28M | 108.59M | 87.67M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.49B | 1.51B | 1.63B | 1.64B | 1.48B | 1.66B |
| Stockholders Equity | 60.76M | 90.96M | 57.22M | 51.95M | 62.27M | 15.32M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -90.10M | -22.18M | 27.80M | 101.29M | 118.80M | -67.07M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -90.10M | -22.18M | 27.80M | 101.29M | 118.80M | -56.47M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 52.89M | 50.86M | -28.73M | -93.33M | -106.10M | 88.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.48M | 13.34M | 12.41M | 16.34M | 8.74M | -11.95M |
Mount Logan Capital Inc Technical Analysis
Neutral
3.29
Price Trends
3.17
Positive
3.21
Positive
4.55
Negative
Market Momentum
0.07
Negative
56.58
Neutral
82.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLCI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.27, above the 50-day MA of 3.17, and below the 200-day MA of 4.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MLCI.
Mount Logan Capital Inc Risk Analysis
Mount Logan Capital Inc disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mount Logan Capital Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Mount Logan Capital Inc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 Neutral | $19.53M | 6.35 | 26.91% | ― | 8.29% | ― | |
57 Neutral | $38.08M | -40.59 | -6.51% | 0.40% | 133.51% | -250.89% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
47 Neutral | $37.82M | -0.46 | -61.99% | 3.52% | 44.90% | -447.95% | |
47 Neutral | $6.53M | -0.13 | -1431.61% | ― | -49.72% | 78.89% | |
45 Neutral | $21.79M | -0.03 | 22.15% | ― | -38.32% | 94.03% |
* General Sector Average
MLCI
Mount Logan Capital Inc
3.41
-4.14
-54.85%
BCG
Binah Capital Group
1.12
-0.60
-34.88%
RMCO
Royalty Management Holding
2.48
0.31
14.23%
BENF
Beneficient
1.36
-5.54
-80.29%
CWD
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A
0.61
-4.17
-87.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.