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Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU)
OTHER OTC:MHGU
US Market
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Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU) AI Stock Analysis

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MHGU

Meritage Hospitality Group

(OTC:MHGU)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(5.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance—profitability has turned to sizable losses, leverage is very high and rising, and free cash flow remains negative. Technicals add further pressure with price trading below all key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation cannot offset these risks due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Multi-Concept Restaurant Platform
The combination of a scaled Wendy’s franchise base and a proprietary concept gives MHGU multiple operating platforms, supporting customer reach and providing some diversification within restaurant operations.
Negative Factors
Elevated and Worsening Leverage
Very high leverage and declining equity reduce financial flexibility and increase sensitivity to refinancing costs and operating setbacks. This can constrain investment in restaurants and make an earnings recovery more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-Concept Restaurant Platform
The combination of a scaled Wendy’s franchise base and a proprietary concept gives MHGU multiple operating platforms, supporting customer reach and providing some diversification within restaurant operations.
Read all positive factors

Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Meritage Hospitality Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Meritage Hospitality Group Inc. oversees and manages various quick-service and casual dining establishments. The company operates restaurants under the widely recognized Wendy's banner, as well as its own distinct brands: Morning Belle, Stan's Tac...
How the Company Makes Money
MHGU generates revenue primarily from restaurant sales at its company-operated locations. The main revenue stream is the sale of menu items (food and beverages) to retail customers at its Wendy’s and Stan’s Tacos restaurants, with transactions occ...

Meritage Hospitality Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear deterioration: profitability shifted from positive (2021–2024) to sizable losses in 2025 and TTM, with net margin deeply negative in TTM (~-8.9%). Leverage is very high and worsening (TTM debt-to-equity ~7.5x with declining equity), while cash generation has weakened sharply (TTM operating cash flow ~1.8M) and free cash flow remains consistently negative (TTM about -10.5M).
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue573.21M617.70M668.80M672.49M626.04M577.13M
Gross Profit180.32M241.10M277.53M80.89M252.19M242.96M
EBITDA2.59M10.09M37.55M41.16M39.04M47.35M
Net Income-50.84M-31.75M7.80M6.14M8.48M17.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets725.89M754.76M810.16M816.90M791.32M758.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.14M11.47M20.85M19.43M35.37M49.95M
Total Debt552.42M572.17M598.53M615.94M586.15M567.88M
Total Liabilities651.25M656.30M681.35M694.87M674.12M649.95M
Stockholders Equity73.54M97.21M127.67M121.14M116.15M105.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.48M-19.98M-16.98M-33.90M-41.02M-45.53M
Operating Cash Flow1.75M4.94M23.12M11.46M25.75M38.58M
Investing Cash Flow-9.11M-19.72M-32.24M-74.83M-83.24M-83.27M
Financing Cash Flow7.89M5.40M10.53M47.44M42.91M62.32M

Meritage Hospitality Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.90
Price Trends
50DMA
2.21
Negative
100DMA
2.21
Negative
200DMA
2.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
41.00
Neutral
STOCH
61.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHGU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.08, below the 50-day MA of 2.21, and below the 200-day MA of 2.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MHGU.

Meritage Hospitality Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$41.78M14.0219.21%3.20%9.92%
67
Neutral
$83.71M12.489.84%1.33%6.14%53.60%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$50.07M-0.42-69.17%-4.06%-154.36%
46
Neutral
$83.12M-3.3950.91%0.19%46.85%
41
Neutral
$13.22M-0.24-54.72%1.23%-12.04%-8862.22%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHGU
Meritage Hospitality Group
1.95
-9.17
-82.46%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
45.12
17.90
65.78%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
2.89
-0.68
-19.05%
NDLS
Noodles & Co
13.61
8.32
157.28%
STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality
1.59
-0.88
-35.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026