Moelis (MC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.65B
• Dividend Yield: 3.59%
• Average Volume (3M): 838.63K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 27.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.49
• Revenue Growth: 42.85%
• EPS Growth: 1398.33%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,308
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 71
• Industry: Financial - Capital Markets
• EPS (TTM): 0.53
• Shares Outstanding: 74,178,030
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 858,264
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 838,632
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.88
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.60
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.20
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 19.59
• 1Y Price Target: $72.00
• Price Target Upside: 1.28% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: $81.00 ▲(13.94% Upside)

Moelis & Company exhibits strong financial performance and positive market momentum. The earnings call and recent corporate events also support a favorable outlook. However, the relatively high valuation and potential market disruptions temper the overall score.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

Moelis exceeded consensus earnings per share forecasts due to better-than-expected revenues, other income, and tax rate.

Leadership Transition

A smooth and well-planned CEO transition is expected with Navid Mahmoodzadegan succeeding Ken Moelis, aligning with investor expectations.

Market Environment

A more positive tone on the capital markets environment is anticipated compared to previous communications.

Negative Factors

M&A Pipeline

Moelis acknowledged that some deals are being shelved, with a decrease in backlog, although most are just delayed.

Uncertainty

Moelis did not commit to a compensation ratio framework due to uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and their impact.

Moelis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moelis & Company operates as an investment banking advisory firm. It offers advisory services in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and other corporate finance matters. The company offers its services to public multinational corporations, middle market private companies, financial sponsors, entrepreneurs, governments, and sovereign wealth funds. The company serves its clients in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. It has strategic alliances in Mexico with Alfaro, Dávila y Scherer, S.C.; and in Australia with MA Moelis Australia. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Moelis generates revenue primarily through advisory fees earned from its investment banking services. The company charges clients for its expertise in mergers and acquisitions, restructuring advisory, and other financial consulting services. Key revenue streams include success fees that are contingent on the completion of transactions, retainer fees for ongoing advisory services, and fees for capital raising activities. Additionally, Moelis may benefit from strategic partnerships with other financial institutions, which can enhance its service offerings and client reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Moelis Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Moelis demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profitability improvements. Despite potential volatility in revenue and reduced liquidity, the company exhibits robust operational efficiency and effective cash flow management.

Income Statement

Moelis has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase from $854.7 million in 2023 to $1.28 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, representing a growth rate of approximately 50.2%. The gross profit margin for TTM 2025 is approximately 31.7%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 13.2% in TTM 2025 from negative in 2023, showcasing a turnaround in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved markedly, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. However, the company experienced a drop in revenue in 2022, indicating potential volatility.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable at approximately 0.45 in TTM 2025, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM 2025 is approximately 35.0%, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 40.2%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. While the company has maintained a healthy balance sheet, the reduction in cash and short-term investments in TTM 2025 compared to 2021 could indicate a potential liquidity concern.

Cash Flow

Moelis exhibits robust cash flow management, with a consistent operating cash flow to net income ratio exceeding 2.5 in TTM 2025, signifying strong cash conversion. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM 2025 is minimal, indicating stability. The operating cash flow remains strong over the years, supporting ongoing operations and strategic investments. However, the reduction in cash and short-term investments could constrain future liquidity.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.19B	854.75M	985.30M	1.54B	943.28M
Gross Profit	364.39M	140.00M	367.10M	626.70M	382.47M
EBITDA	183.39M	-32.03M	224.07M	503.16M	270.42M
Net Income	136.02M	-24.70M	150.34M	365.21M	178.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.38B	1.18B	1.22B	1.56B	1.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	412.47M	186.42M	206.79M	520.21M	202.48M
Total Debt	223.24M	215.68M	192.76M	191.89M	196.61M
Total Liabilities	899.55M	817.30M	757.93M	1.08B	751.97M
Stockholders Equity	441.61M	352.14M	444.50M	489.07M	479.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	415.39M	141.78M	27.04M	920.55M	388.56M
Operating Cash Flow	427.49M	158.47M	32.99M	936.98M	429.21M
Investing Cash Flow	17.11M	48.57M	-11.18M	-17.01M	-39.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-215.10M	-229.17M	-326.90M	-602.54M	-351.79M

Moelis Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 71.09
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.89, above the 50-day MA of 64.35, and above the 200-day MA of 65.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MC.

Moelis Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MC	79 Outperform	$5.65B	27.59	45.36%	3.59%	42.85%	1398.33%
EVR	76 Outperform	$11.43B	26.90	29.16%	1.10%	23.24%	55.76%
PIPR	76 Outperform	$5.75B	27.44	17.91%	1.72%	10.46%	50.47%
PJT	76 Outperform	$6.18B	30.50	106.47%	0.56%	18.40%	54.77%
LAZ	74 Outperform	$4.88B	17.88	50.41%	3.88%	10.40%	91.75%
Sector *	67 Neutral	$17.22B	11.28	10.45%	3.94%	10.30%	1.07%
PWP	64 Neutral	$1.94B	27.43	46.63%	1.28%	20.01%	―

Moelis Corporate Events

Moelis Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth

On July 24, 2025, Moelis & Company reported significant financial growth for the second quarter and first half of 2025, with revenues increasing by 38% and 39% respectively compared to the previous year. The company also declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.65 per share, reflecting its strong financial position and strategic growth initiatives, including the addition of new managing directors to enhance its advisory capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (MC) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moelis stock, see the MC Stock Forecast page.

Moelis Appoints Thorold Barker to Board of Directors

On July 1, 2025, Moelis & Company announced the appointment of Thorold Barker as an independent member of its Board of Directors. Mr. Barker, who brings over 30 years of experience in journalism, finance, and geopolitics, will serve alongside other board members, contributing his unique perspective shaped by his global experience. His past roles include serving as The Wall Street Journal’s Editor for Europe, Middle East, and Africa, and as a Senior Adviser at AlixPartners. This appointment is expected to enhance Moelis’s strategic direction and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MC) stock is a Hold with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moelis stock, see the MC Stock Forecast page.

Moelis Announces Leadership Changes Effective October 2025

On June 9, 2025, Moelis & Company announced significant leadership changes effective October 1, 2025, as part of its long-term transition planning. Ken Moelis, the founder and CEO since 2007, will become Executive Chairman, while Navid Mahmoodzadegan, Co-Founder and Co-President, will succeed him as CEO and join the Board of Directors. Jeff Raich, also a Co-Founder and Co-President, will take on the role of Executive Vice Chairman. These changes are aimed at fostering internal growth and maintaining the firm’s strong client service and innovation focus. In conjunction with these appointments, the Compensation Committee granted Navid Mahmoodzadegan 450,000 long-term performance units to align his interests with shareholders and promote long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (MC) stock is a Hold with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moelis stock, see the MC Stock Forecast page.

Moelis Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors

On June 6, 2024, Moelis & Company held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were voted on. Stockholders elected five directors to the board, approved the compensation of named executive officers, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reinforce the company’s governance structure and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (MC) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moelis stock, see the MC Stock Forecast page.