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MasterBrand Inc (MBC) AI Stock Analysis
MasterBrand Inc
(NYSE:MBC)
MasterBrand's score is heavily weighed down by severe profitability challenges, a negative valuation profile, and strong bearish technical trends. While the recent American Woodmark merger offers long-term synergy potential and positive cash generation, near-term headwinds from legacy market softness, margin compression, and executive turnover warrant notable caution.
MasterBrand Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks revenue into regional buckets to show where the company is strongest and where it is most exposed to local market cycles. Geographic trends highlight dependence on particular housing markets or economies, currency and supply-chain risks, and opportunities for expansion if certain regions grow faster than others.
The U.S. remains the dominant revenue driver and its steady multi-quarter decline is the core reason MasterBrand is struggling; small gains in Canada and Mexico haven’t meaningfully offset that pressure. The abrupt disappearance of “Other” after 2023 suggests reclassification or divestiture, which concentrates geographic risk in the U.S. With housing and R&R weakness plus meaningful tariff exposure, near-term recovery depends on U.S. demand stabilizing—management’s cost and tariff-mitigation plans should help margins, but country concentration keeps downside risk elevated.
The FlyMasterBrand Inc (MBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $1.48B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 2.53M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -10.5
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.25
- Revenue Growth
- -0.01%
- EPS Growth
- -192.77%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 12,633
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
MasterBrand Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Based in Jasper, Indiana, MasterBrand, Inc. is a North American provider of residential cabinetry. The company produces and markets cabinets specifically designed for kitchens, bathrooms, and other areas throughout the home.
How the Company Makes Money
MasterBrand primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling residential cabinetry and related products to customers in the U.S. Its core revenue model is product sales (recognized when control of the cabinetry products transfers to the customer),...
MasterBrand Inc Earnings Call Summary
The call balanced meaningful strategic and financial positives from the completed merger — including strong early cash generation, initial synergy capture (~$30M annualized), a clear integration plan, tariff-mitigation progress and solid liquidity — against material near-term operating and profitability challenges: legacy revenue and margin deterioration, a substantial YoY drop in adjusted EBITDA and net loss, American Woodmark underperformance and elevated near-term leverage. Management presented actionable steps (plant consolidations, cost discipline, quantified synergy uplift and an H2 outlook) that support a credible path to structural margin improvement, but the near-term results and market softness remain significant headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
MasterBrand's second‑half 2026 guidance calls for net sales of $2.05–$2.11 billion (American Woodmark ~ $730 million, ~35% at the midpoint), adjusted EBITDA of $129–$149 million (6.3%–7.1% margin) and adjusted diluted EPS of −$0.05 to $0.03; the outlook embeds roughly $20 million of legacy American Woodmark contribution, about $15 million of synergy capture already flowing, and approximately $11 million of IEEPA tariff refunds (≈$9 million received in July). They expect H2 capex of $71 million (~3% of net sales) including ~$4 million of CapEx synergies, H2 interest expense of ≈$50 million, ~ $30 million of one‑time integration costs in H2, full‑year tariff exposure of ~5%–6% of net sales to be offset dollar‑for‑dollar by year‑end, free cash flow for 2026 to exceed net income, a >$100 million annual run‑rate synergy target by year‑3, and a net‑leverage target below 2.0x by end‑2028 (quarter‑end net debt $1.15 billion; trailing 12‑month leverage 3.9x; covenant leverage 3.4x).
MasterBrand Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Profitability has severely deteriorated, transitioning to net losses and dragging ROE negative. Despite rising debt levels, the company maintains positive free cash flow and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, providing a necessary operational cushion.
Income Statement
35NegativeBalance Sheet
52NeutralCash Flow
58Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.78B | 2.73B | 2.70B | 2.73B | 3.28B | 2.86B |
| Gross Profit | 720.00M | 827.60M | 859.70M | 875.90M | 918.80M | 763.20M |
| EBITDA | 73.80M | 213.90M | 319.60M | 368.20M | 277.90M | 300.50M |
| Net Income | -96.90M | 26.70M | 125.90M | 182.00M | 155.40M | 182.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.48B | 3.10B | 2.93B | 2.38B | 2.53B | 3.00B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 241.60M | 183.30M | 120.60M | 148.70M | 101.10M | 141.40M |
| Total Debt | 1.69B | 1.35B | 1.08B | 770.20M | 1.03B | 113.20M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.51B | 1.76B | 1.64B | 1.19B | 1.52B | 551.10M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.97B | 1.34B | 1.29B | 1.19B | 1.01B | 2.45B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 74.40M | 117.50M | 211.10M | 348.30M | 179.70M | 96.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 148.10M | 195.70M | 292.00M | 405.60M | 235.60M | 148.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -403.50M | -74.40M | -580.80M | -56.90M | -55.90M | -51.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 372.90M | -65.70M | 269.60M | -299.90M | -215.30M | -109.70M |
MasterBrand Inc Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.86, above the 50-day MA of 7.34, and below the 200-day MA of 8.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MBC.
MasterBrand Inc Risk Analysis
MasterBrand Inc disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasterBrand Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksMasterBrand Inc Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
HNI70Outperform
ETD68Neutral
LZB65Neutral
MLKN60Neutral
BSET53Neutral- MBC46Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNI | 70Outperform | $3.54B | 445.64 | 0.28% | 2.82% | 70.13% | -95.94% |
| ETD | 68Neutral | $513.16M | 12.97 | 8.40% | 23.62% | -5.72% | -22.50% |
| LZB | 65Neutral | $1.22B | 15.28 | 7.86% | 3.18% | 0.20% | -10.08% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
| MLKN | 60Neutral | $1.48B | 15.24 | 7.34% | 3.49% | 1.20% | ― |
| BSET | 53Neutral | $194.66M | 28.85 | 4.12% | 3.56% | 1.40% | -11.99% |
| MBC | 46Neutral | $1.48B | -10.52 | -6.44% | ― | -0.01% | -192.77% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBC | MasterBrand Inc | 7.26 | -5.19 | -41.69% | |
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated | 22.50 | 8.47 | 60.42% | |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors | 20.36 | 0.98 | 5.06% | |
| MLKN | MillerKnoll, Inc. | 21.49 | 6.84 | 46.73% | |
| HNI | Hni Corp | 49.02 | 10.16 | 26.15% | |
| LZB | La-Z-Boy Incorporated | 30.44 | -0.17 | -0.56% |
MasterBrand Inc Corporate Events
MasterBrand Announces Executive Digital and Technology Leadership Transition
NegativeOn September 22, 2026, MasterBrand, Inc. disclosed that Navi Grewal, its Executive Vice President and Chief Digital and Technology Officer, had notified the company of her decision to resign, effective October 15, 2026, to pursue another opportunity....
MasterBrand Updates Outlook Following American Woodmark Merger
NeutralMasterBrand reported its second-quarter 2026 results on August 4, highlighting the completion of a transformative all-stock merger with American Woodmark on May 28 that created what it calls the most comprehensive cabinetry brand portfolio in North A...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026