MasterBrand Inc AI Stock Analysis
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MasterBrand Inc (MBC) AI Stock Analysis
MasterBrand Inc
(NYSE:MBC)
The overall score of 39 reflects a company under severe financial duress. The most significant factor is the extremely poor financial performance, driven by a collapse in profitability and cash flow, which signals fundamental operational challenges. This is compounded by a bearish technical trend and a negative valuation profile. While the earnings call highlighted some strategic progress with the integration, the near-term financial outlook remains bleak with downgraded guidance, leaving the stock with a high-risk profile.
MasterBrand Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks revenue into regional buckets to show where the company is strongest and where it is most exposed to local market cycles. Geographic trends highlight dependence on particular housing markets or economies, currency and supply-chain risks, and opportunities for expansion if certain regions grow faster than others.
The U.S. remains the dominant revenue driver and its steady multi-quarter decline is the core reason MasterBrand is struggling; small gains in Canada and Mexico haven’t meaningfully offset that pressure. The abrupt disappearance of “Other” after 2023 suggests reclassification or divestiture, which concentrates geographic risk in the U.S. With housing and R&R weakness plus meaningful tariff exposure, near-term recovery depends on U.S. demand stabilizing—management’s cost and tariff-mitigation plans should help margins, but country concentration keeps downside risk elevated.
The FlyMasterBrand Inc (MBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $1.26B
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 2.69M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -7.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.36
- Revenue Growth
- 12.94%
- EPS Growth
- -233.90%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 12,633
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
MasterBrand Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Based in Jasper, Indiana, MasterBrand, Inc. is a North American provider of residential cabinetry. The company produces and markets cabinets specifically designed for kitchens, bathrooms, and other areas throughout the home.
MasterBrand Inc Earnings Call Summary
The call presented meaningful operational progress, including market outperformance by legacy businesses, faster-than-planned synergy realization, footprint actions, and disciplined liquidity management. However, these positives were offset by worsening end-market demand, substantial margin and earnings declines, ongoing inflation and tariff pressure, elevated leverage, and a weaker fourth-quarter outlook. Overall sentiment was balanced, with confidence in the integration plan but significant near-term operating and financial challenges.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management expects end markets to be down high single digits for 2026, compared with the mid single digit decline anticipated last quarter, including a high single digit decline in the fourth quarter with no improvement in demand assumed through year end; fourth quarter net sales are expected to be $958 million to $988 million, adjusted EBITDA $38 million to $48 million, adjusted EBITDA margin 4.0% to 4.9%, interest expense approximately $24 million, adjusted diluted loss per share negative $0.12 to negative $0.08 based on 203.6 million diluted shares outstanding at year end, and free cash flow for 2026 approximately breakeven. The company expects a full year effective tax rate of 12% to 15%, second half capital expenditures of approximately $56 million, approximately $10 million of annualized savings from additional organizational cost actions, more than $100 million in annual run rate cost synergies by the end of year 3 post close, and net leverage below 2x by the end of 29; the Section 32 increase on kitchen cabinets and vanities to 50% remains scheduled for 01/01/2027, and management expects the market to remain soft.
MasterBrand Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is critically weak. The Income Statement (Score: 35) shows a swing to a net loss due to severe margin compression. The Cash Flow Statement (Score: 20) reveals a collapse in cash generation, with negative free cash flow signaling potential liquidity stress. The Balance Sheet (Score: 55) is mixed, with high and rising absolute debt offsetting equity growth. The overall financial profile is under significant stress, with the company consuming rather than creating capital.
Income Statement
35NegativeBalance Sheet
55NeutralCash Flow
20Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.11B | 2.73B | 2.70B | 2.73B | 3.28B | 2.86B |
| Gross Profit | 765.30M | 827.60M | 859.70M | 875.90M | 918.80M | 763.20M |
| EBITDA | 66.20M | 213.90M | 319.60M | 368.20M | 277.90M | 300.50M |
| Net Income | -124.20M | 26.70M | 125.90M | 182.00M | 155.40M | 182.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.33B | 3.10B | 2.93B | 2.38B | 2.53B | 3.00B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 139.70M | 183.30M | 120.60M | 148.70M | 101.10M | 141.40M |
| Total Debt | 1.52B | 1.35B | 1.08B | 770.20M | 1.03B | 113.20M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.37B | 1.76B | 1.64B | 1.19B | 1.52B | 551.10M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.96B | 1.34B | 1.29B | 1.19B | 1.01B | 2.45B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 96.10M | 117.50M | 211.10M | 348.30M | 179.70M | 96.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 167.10M | 195.70M | 292.00M | 405.60M | 235.60M | 148.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -400.90M | -74.40M | -580.80M | -56.90M | -55.90M | -51.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 256.70M | -65.70M | 269.60M | -299.90M | -215.30M | -109.70M |
MasterBrand Inc Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.92, below the 50-day MA of 7.03, and below the 200-day MA of 8.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBC.
MasterBrand Inc Risk Analysis
MasterBrand Inc disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasterBrand Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksMasterBrand Inc Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
LZB65Neutral
MLKN62Neutral
BSET54Neutral
ETD54Neutral
HNI53Neutral- MBC39Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZB | 65Neutral | $1.32B | 16.27 | 7.86% | 2.98% | 0.20% | -10.08% |
| MLKN | 62Neutral | $1.50B | 15.10 | 7.34% | 3.52% | 1.20% | ― |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
| BSET | 54Neutral | $189.38M | 27.51 | 4.12% | 3.73% | 1.40% | -11.99% |
| ETD | 54Neutral | $462.75M | 14.36 | 6.90% | 27.16% | -7.44% | -33.97% |
| HNI | 53Neutral | $3.54B | 109.66 | 2.92% | 2.86% | 104.43% | -84.48% |
| MBC | 39Underperform | $1.35B | -7.12 | -7.53% | ― | 12.94% | -233.90% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBC | MasterBrand Inc | 6.19 | -3.96 | -39.01% | |
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated | 21.59 | 7.38 | 51.95% | |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors | 17.71 | -0.83 | -4.50% | |
| MLKN | MillerKnoll, Inc. | 21.33 | 7.15 | 50.47% | |
| HNI | Hni Corp | 48.20 | 10.33 | 27.27% | |
| LZB | La-Z-Boy Incorporated | 32.53 | 2.98 | 10.08% |
MasterBrand Inc Corporate Events
MasterBrand Reports Third-Quarter Sales Amid Integration Challenges
NegativeOn November 5, 2026, MasterBrand reported third-quarter net sales of $1,036.8 million, including $355.7 million from American Woodmark, while posting a $9.2 million net loss and $86.0 million in adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 8.3...
MasterBrand Names Interim CFO Amid Leadership Transition
NeutralOn October 26, 2026, MasterBrand announced that Chief Financial Officer Andrea Simon ceased serving as CFO effective October 23, 2026, and would remain in a non‑executive advisory role through March 31, 2027 to ensure an orderly handover of responsib...
MasterBrand Announces Executive Digital and Technology Leadership Transition
NegativeOn September 22, 2026, MasterBrand, Inc. disclosed that Navi Grewal, its Executive Vice President and Chief Digital and Technology Officer, had notified the company of her decision to resign, effective October 15, 2026, to pursue another opportunity....
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026