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ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN)
NYSE:MAN
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ManpowerGroup (MAN) AI Stock Analysis

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MAN

ManpowerGroup

(NYSE:MAN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$53.00
▲(70.25% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/17/26
The score is held back primarily by weak recent financial performance (sharp TTM revenue contraction and thin margins), partially offset by manageable leverage and improved TTM cash generation. Technicals add support due to strong trend strength, though overbought signals temper the technical score. Valuation is mixed (solid dividend yield but negative earnings via negative P/E). The latest earnings call adds a positive tilt due to improving operational momentum and constructive guidance, despite ongoing restructuring costs and margin/tax headwinds.
Positive Factors
Strong core staffing brand
A dominant Manpower brand that generates the majority of gross profit and is still growing provides durable scale and client relationships in contingent staffing. This concentration supports stable fee capture, pricing leverage in core markets, and recurring revenue that underpins long-term cash generation and resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM revenue decline & thin margins
A steep TTM revenue decline with only single-digit operating margins indicates weakened scale economics and stressed operating leverage. Restoring sustainable profitability will require durable revenue recovery and margin-friendly mix shifts, which may take multiple quarters and constrain return on capital until achieved.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong core staffing brand
A dominant Manpower brand that generates the majority of gross profit and is still growing provides durable scale and client relationships in contingent staffing. This concentration supports stable fee capture, pricing leverage in core markets, and recurring revenue that underpins long-term cash generation and resilience across cycles.
Read all positive factors

ManpowerGroup (MAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ManpowerGroup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ManpowerGroup Inc., established in 1948 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a prominent global provider of human resources and workforce management solutions. The company delivers an extensive array of staffing and talent services across...
How the Company Makes Money
ManpowerGroup primarily generates revenue by providing workforce solutions to client employers and charging fees tied to the placement and management of workers. 1) Temporary and contract staffing (staffing services): A core revenue stream comes ...

ManpowerGroup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a constructive and improving picture: revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeded expectations, Manpower delivered robust and broad-based growth, Experis and Talent Solutions showed sequential improvement, AI initiatives demonstrated measurable productivity and new commercial opportunities, and management has a clear multi-year cost-savings plan. Near-term challenges include continued margin pressure from mix and dispositions, ongoing restructuring costs, pockets of underperformance (Experis, Right Management), a modest negative cash flow for the quarter, and a high near-term tax rate. Overall, the positive operational momentum, tangible AI traction, and a credible transformation roadmap outweigh the listed challenges.
Positive Updates
Revenue Above Expectations
Reported revenues of $4.9B (system-wide $5.3B) with constant currency revenue growth of 6%, and organic days adjusted constant currency revenue growth of 6% (well above prior midpoint guidance of 3%).
Negative Updates
Experis and Talent Solutions Still Lagging
Experis revenue declined 2% in the quarter (improved from -9% in Q1) and Experis gross profit decreased 6% organic CC; Talent Solutions gross profit declined 4% organic CC and Right Management faced declines due to lower outplacement activity.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Above Expectations
Reported revenues of $4.9B (system-wide $5.3B) with constant currency revenue growth of 6%, and organic days adjusted constant currency revenue growth of 6% (well above prior midpoint guidance of 3%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
ManpowerGroup guided third‑quarter 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.96–$1.06 (midpoint ≈ $1.01) including an unfavorable FX impact of ~$0.02; organic days‑adjusted constant‑currency revenue is expected to continue Q2 momentum with a 6% increase at the midpoint (company constant‑currency range +3% to +7%, midpoint +5%, and after business‑days/dispositions adjustment +6% at midpoint). Management expects gross profit margin around 16% at the midpoint (reflecting a full‑quarter impact of the higher‑margin U.S. disposition and current mix), adjusted EBITDA margin up ~10 basis points year‑over‑year at the midpoint, an effective tax rate of 44%, restructuring/strategic transformation costs to be carved out of underlying guidance (with restructuring/STP charges ~ $10–$15M per quarter through year‑end), and weighted‑average shares of ~47.9 million.

ManpowerGroup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are under pressure: TTM revenue fell sharply (-49.1%) and profitability is thin (EBIT ~1.0%, EBITDA ~1.5%) with a recent small loss and slightly negative ROE. Positives include manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.75) and a rebound to positive TTM operating cash flow (~$239M) and free cash flow (~$198M), though cash flow volatility remains a key risk after a weak 2025.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.72B17.96B17.85B18.91B19.83B20.72B
Gross Profit3.05B3.00B3.09B3.36B3.57B3.41B
EBITDA431.40M274.80M433.40M374.20M688.60M680.30M
Net Income104.20M-13.30M145.10M88.80M373.80M382.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.37B9.16B8.20B8.83B9.13B9.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments180.60M871.00M509.40M581.30M639.00M847.80M
Total Debt1.42B2.39B1.23B1.43B1.36B1.39B
Total Liabilities6.27B7.10B6.07B6.60B6.67B7.30B
Stockholders Equity2.11B2.06B2.13B2.22B2.45B2.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow58.80M-161.40M258.10M270.00M347.70M580.60M
Operating Cash Flow99.60M-104.10M309.20M348.20M423.30M644.80M
Investing Cash Flow48.20M-59.20M-68.20M-74.10M-85.30M-987.00M
Financing Cash Flow-275.00M485.50M-282.40M-349.50M-482.10M-283.70M

ManpowerGroup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.13
Price Trends
50DMA
33.72
Positive
100DMA
30.88
Positive
200DMA
30.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.36
Negative
RSI
80.75
Negative
STOCH
86.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.98, below the 50-day MA of 33.72, and above the 200-day MA of 30.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.75 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MAN.

ManpowerGroup Risk Analysis

ManpowerGroup disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ManpowerGroup reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ManpowerGroup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.00B14.5813.94%2.89%6.43%13.64%
69
Neutral
$984.35M25.3517.82%0.88%7.12%-21.18%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$4.28B32.1810.14%8.65%-6.08%-35.51%
60
Neutral
$555.03M-2.03-24.58%3.53%-7.30%-1239.34%
55
Neutral
$2.43B-151.74-0.81%4.96%6.72%
52
Neutral
$1.89B-77.16-32.05%6.37%3.04%-140.22%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAN
ManpowerGroup
53.11
12.98
32.34%
BBSI
Barrett Business Services
40.05
-3.23
-7.47%
NSP
Insperity
51.70
-1.49
-2.79%
KELYA
Kelly Services
15.38
3.05
24.71%
KFY
Korn Ferry
78.02
7.06
9.94%
RHI
Robert Half
41.83
3.43
8.93%

ManpowerGroup Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsShareholder Meetings
ManpowerGroup Declares Semi-Annual Dividend, Signals Ongoing Confidence
Positive
May 8, 2026
At the 2026 Annual Meeting, ManpowerGroup shareholders approved all board-backed proposals, including the election of ten directors to one-year terms and the ratification of Deloitte Touche LLP as independent auditor for the fiscal year ending De...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2026