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Luxfer (LXFR)
NYSE:LXFR
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Luxfer (LXFR) AI Stock Analysis

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LXFR

Luxfer

(NYSE:LXFR)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(7.87% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
The score is driven primarily by stable (but not robust) financial performance: moderate leverage and positive free cash flow are offset by declining revenue and thin margins. Technicals are broadly neutral with mild longer-term support. Valuation is a key headwind due to the high P/E, while the pending all-cash take-private agreement is a meaningful supportive corporate event.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Moderate leverage and relatively stable equity provide financial resilience. This reduces balance-sheet strain and preserves flexibility to fund operations, manage cyclical demand, and pursue investments without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Sustained top-line contraction indicates weakening demand or reduced activity across served markets. Without renewed volume growth, fixed manufacturing costs may be spread over fewer sales, limiting operating leverage and constraining long-term earnings expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Moderate leverage and relatively stable equity provide financial resilience. This reduces balance-sheet strain and preserves flexibility to fund operations, manage cyclical demand, and pursue investments without relying heavily on additional borrowing.
Read all positive factors

Luxfer (LXFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Luxfer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Luxfer Holdings PLC is a company that develops, produces, and distributes advanced materials, specialized components, and high-pressure gas containment solutions. These offerings cater to critical sectors such as defense and emergency services, he...
How the Company Makes Money
Luxfer primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling (1) specialty materials and (2) gas containment products, generating revenue from product sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors, and end users across multiple indus...

Luxfer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and earnings story: strong margin expansion, EPS up 17%, EBITDA growth, and a raised full‑year guidance despite a 7.3% revenue decline. Segment results were mixed—Elektron saw meaningful margin improvement despite a 14.8% sales decline, while Gas Cylinders delivered modest revenue growth and margin expansion. Near-term headwinds include timing-driven volume softness, elevated inventory and working capital (cash outflow of $4.1M), and relocation-related delays; however, management articulated credible operational initiatives and market drivers (aerospace/defense strength, SCBA replacement cycle, space and specialty gas demand) that support a confident outlook for a step‑up in 2027 earnings.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings per share of $0.27, up 17% year-over-year, reflecting improved profitability despite lower sales.
Negative Updates
Top-Line Decline
Adjusted sales of $83.9 million were down 7.3% year-over-year, with Elektron particularly impacted (sales down 14.8%) due to timing dynamics and customer overstocking in zirconium/industrial applications and off-cycle high-end automotive demand.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings per share of $0.27, up 17% year-over-year, reflecting improved profitability despite lower sales.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 guidance to revenue of $355–$370M, adjusted EBITDA of $52–$56M and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.12–$1.22 (midpoint $1.17) after a Q1 that produced adjusted sales of $83.9M (‑7.3% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $12.3M (+8.8% YoY) with a 14.7% margin (+220 bps) and adjusted EPS of $0.27 (+17% YoY); segment Q1s were Elektron sales $42.1M (‑14.8%) with $14.7M gross profit and a 34.9% gross margin (>500 bps) and adjusted EBITDA $8.5M (>20% margin), and Gas Cylinders sales $41.8M (+1.7%) with $7.2M gross profit, 17.2% gross margin (+360 bps) and adjusted EBITDA $3.8M (9.1% margin, +280 bps); cash from operations was an outflow of $4.1M, inventories were about $100M (up ~$8M), net debt $42.9M (leverage ~0.8x), free cash flow guidance remains $20–$25M, and management expects optimization initiatives largely complete by end‑2026 with a path to robust double‑digit earnings growth in 2027.

Luxfer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials appear stable but not strong. Income statement profitability is modest with weakening revenue (TTM revenue down ~2.2%) and thin net margin (~2.2%). The balance sheet is a strength with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.26), while cash flow is positive (TTM FCF ~$16.5M) but not consistently strong and shows weaker cash conversion (FCF to net income ~0.65).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue363.20M384.60M391.90M405.00M423.40M374.10M
Gross Profit90.20M89.20M85.70M76.60M95.00M96.00M
EBITDA31.80M38.10M45.10M12.60M62.90M54.10M
Net Income8.00M7.70M18.40M-1.90M26.90M29.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets389.00M369.70M382.40M372.10M407.10M368.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.50M8.30M4.10M2.30M12.60M6.20M
Total Debt58.30M39.40M59.80M91.90M104.10M72.40M
Total Liabilities166.30M143.30M162.90M159.50M199.80M159.70M
Stockholders Equity222.70M226.40M219.50M212.60M207.30M209.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.46M26.20M40.80M16.90M7.60M17.00M
Operating Cash Flow25.81M34.00M51.10M26.30M15.90M26.10M
Investing Cash Flow-6.53M-5.10M-3.40M-9.50M-5.70M-5.10M
Financing Cash Flow-12.39M-25.00M-44.00M-27.50M-2.00M-16.10M

Luxfer Risk Analysis

Luxfer disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Luxfer reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Luxfer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$343.98M12.4014.44%0.71%11.90%
70
Outperform
$271.64M22.6114.23%6.32%-4.08%-30.35%
65
Neutral
$1.03B82.817.99%3.29%21.22%-16.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$464.55M57.373.54%3.02%-10.05%-67.01%
56
Neutral
$673.50M23.597.15%1.08%2.68%-20.08%
48
Neutral
$1.06B-8.1677.75%40.37%55.59%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LXFR
Luxfer
17.21
4.08
31.08%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Company
7.10
4.94
228.70%
GHM
Graham
87.78
39.99
83.68%
OFLX
Omega Flex
26.91
-6.38
-19.17%
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings
46.48
25.65
123.18%
TWIN
Twin Disc
23.85
10.58
79.76%

Luxfer Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Luxfer agrees to be acquired and taken private
Positive
Jul 27, 2026
On July 26, 2026, Luxfer Holdings PLC agreed to be acquired by Double Eagle Acquisition Buyer Inc., a Wynnchurch Capital‑backed vehicle, in an all‑cash deal valuing the company at $17.37 per ordinary share via a court‑sanctioned ...
Financial Disclosures
Luxfer schedules upcoming Q2 2026 earnings conference call
Neutral
Jul 23, 2026
Luxfer announced on July 22, 2026, that it will hold its second quarter 2026 earnings conference call on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, featuring Chief Executive Officer Andy Butcher, Chief Financial Officer Steve Webster, an...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Luxfer shareholders endorse all resolutions at 2026 AGM
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
Luxfer held its 2026 Annual General Meeting on June 11, 2026, in Manchester, England, with 90% of its 27 million ordinary shares represented, and shareholders approved all 14 resolutions presented. Investors re-elected seven directors for one-year...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026