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Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) AI Stock Analysis
Lucky Strike Entertainment
(NYSE:LUCK)
LUCK scores mid-range primarily due to elevated financial risk (negative equity, high leverage) and weakening free cash flow despite solid revenue growth and positive operating margins. Technicals further weigh on the score with a clear downtrend, even though momentum is oversold. Offsetting factors include constructive FY27 guidance with lower CapEx and a deleveraging focus, plus a relatively high dividend yield, but these are not enough to fully counterbalance balance-sheet stress and near-term demand/margin volatility.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by SegmentBreaks down where Lucky Strike earns its money across different business lines (for example, food & beverage, entertainment/events, franchising/licensing). Highlights which segments drive growth and margins, exposes seasonality or concentration risk, and shows where management is investing or facing competitive pressure.
Bowling and Food & Beverage are the steady, seasonal cash engines—consistent March peaks and modest year‑over‑year improvement—while Amusement & Other is the volatile, higher‑growth bucket driven by new assets and traffic. Management’s AI labor savings, headcount cuts and Lucky Strike conversions should compress capex and lift margins, improving free‑cash‑flow per share over the next 12 months; however, West Coast/gasoline shocks, severe weather and elevated marketing/acquisition drag mean quarter-to-quarter results will remain lumpy, with biggest upside concentrated in the summer/September season.
The FlyLucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $602.57M
- Dividend Yield
- 5.43%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 77.46K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -13.3
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.29
- Revenue Growth
- 3.66%
- EPS Growth
- -131.10%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 12,565
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Leisure
Lucky Strike Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp. engages in operating bowling centers. It offers entertainment concepts with lounge seating, arcades, food and beverage offerings, and hosting and overseeing professional and non-professional bowling tournaments and re...
Lucky Strike Entertainment Earnings Call Summary
The call conveyed cautious optimism: the company delivered modest revenue growth (+4%) and healthy adjusted EBITDA ($333M) while showing multiple operational improvements (analytics, labor efficiency, water park and Boomers EBITDA expansion) and a materially lower CapEx trajectory. Significant near-term headwinds — a pronounced June demand disruption tied to major sporting events, weather-driven volatility at water parks, ongoing California weakness, and a multi-year decline in events revenue — weighed on comps and margin in the period. Management emphasized conservative guidance for fiscal 2027 ($340M–$360M adjusted EBITDA), targeted marketing ROI discipline, continued portfolio rationalization, and a focus on deleveraging. Overall, positives (revenue/EBITDA growth, strong water-park and Boomers momentum, cost and CapEx discipline, and operational improvements) meaningfully offset the temporary external shocks and integration risks, with the tone centered on execution to capture recovery.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management guided fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA of $340–$360 million and same‑store sales comps of roughly +1% to +3%, with a $90 million CapEx budget (down from $114M last year and $194M two years ago) and an expected free cash flow run‑rate of about $50 million before asset sales, with the goal of paying down the revolver by June; the water‑park platform on a trailing‑12‑month basis through July produced $56 million of revenue and $22 million of EBITDA (up from $23M revenue/$11M EBITDA in FY25) and is expected to contribute roughly $28–$33 million of EBITDA in FY27 (with TTM water‑park EBITDA potentially rising to $26–28M after August), Boomers delivered $11M of EBITDA this year and is forecast at $10–$15M next 12 months, and management reiterated a long‑term 30%–32% margin target while noting near‑term margin pressure from higher marketing (spend rose from $17M to $30M, moving marketing from ~1% to ~2.5–3% of revenue) and that the FY27 guide is deliberately conservative.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Top-line momentum is strong (TTM revenue +22%) and operating profitability remains positive (TTM EBIT margin ~14.7%, EBITDA margin ~25.7%), but overall fundamentals are constrained by a highly stressed balance sheet (negative equity, large debt burden) and weaker cash generation versus last year (TTM OCF still positive at ~$104M, but FCF is modest at ~$14M and down sharply). Net margin is negative (~-6.8%), underscoring volatility in bottom-line performance.
Income Statement
54NeutralBalance Sheet
23NegativeCash Flow
46Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.25B | 1.25B | 1.20B | 1.15B | 1.06B | 911.71M |
| Gross Profit | 436.62M | 436.62M | 447.08M | 314.18M | 342.41M | 301.73M |
| EBITDA | 295.16M | 295.16M | 394.71M | 211.42M | 218.06M | 170.79M |
| Net Income | -35.78M | -35.78M | -10.02M | -83.58M | 82.05M | -29.93M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.23B | 3.23B | 3.16B | 3.11B | 2.84B | 1.85B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 39.36M | 39.36M | 59.69M | 66.97M | 195.63M | 132.24M |
| Total Debt | 3.27B | 3.27B | 2.63B | 2.41B | 2.26B | 1.27B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.49B | 3.49B | 3.33B | 3.16B | 2.54B | 1.66B |
| Stockholders Equity | -263.80M | -263.80M | -171.35M | -49.85M | 299.55M | 192.32M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -256.74M | -9.78M | 36.16M | -39.75M | 68.25M | 12.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 103.90M | 103.90M | 177.22M | 154.83M | 217.79M | 177.67M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -453.26M | -453.26M | -220.31M | -385.66M | -253.22M | -220.34M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 328.45M | 328.45M | 35.86M | 102.16M | 98.96M | -12.14M |
Lucky Strike Entertainment Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.63, below the 50-day MA of 5.26, and below the 200-day MA of 7.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUCK.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
OSW82Outperform
LTH70Outperform- LUCK51Neutral
PRKS50Neutral
PLAY46Neutral
XPOF40Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSW | 82Outperform | $3.01B | 37.25 | 15.03% | 0.64% | 9.77% | 16.96% |
| LTH | 70Outperform | $10.01B | 25.07 | 12.79% | ― | 13.04% | 41.42% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
| LUCK | 51Neutral | $571.21M | -13.33 | 17.63% | 5.43% | 3.66% | -131.10% |
| PRKS | 50Neutral | $1.48B | 13.25 | -27.85% | ― | -3.54% | -31.58% |
| PLAY | 46Neutral | $286.31M | -3.43 | -86.54% | ― | -1.49% | -795.27% |
| XPOF | 40Underperform | $224.08M | -3.09 | 15.21% | ― | -8.94% | 16.41% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUCK | Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation | 4.42 | -3.41 | -43.53% | |
| PRKS | United Parks & Resorts Inc. | 34.19 | -0.95 | -2.70% | |
| PLAY | Dave & Busters Entertainment Inc | 8.78 | -4.45 | -33.64% | |
| OSW | Onespaworld Holdings | 31.29 | 9.46 | 43.31% | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness, Inc. Class A | 4.53 | -1.77 | -28.10% | |
| LTH | Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. | 47.39 | 22.32 | 89.03% |
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporate Events
Lucky Strike Entertainment Posts Mixed Q4 2026 Results
NeutralLucky Strike Entertainment reported its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on August 27, 2026, showing modest top-line growth but mixed profitability. Quarterly revenue rose 0.9% to $303.9 million while same-store revenue fell 2.5%, and...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026