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Lucky Strike Entertainment
(NYSE:LUCK)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-10.45% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
The score is held back primarily by financial risk: negative equity, heavy debt, and weakened free cash flow despite solid revenue growth and positive operating margins. Technicals add further pressure given the clear downtrend (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Offsetting factors include constructive FY27 guidance with lower CapEx and an expected improvement in free-cash-flow run-rate, plus a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and operating profitability
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and positive operating margins show that the venue model is scaling and generating meaningful operating earnings, even though recent cost pressure and weaker conversion have reduced bottom-line profitability.
Negative Factors
Highly leveraged balance sheet
Negative equity and substantial debt materially limit financial flexibility and increase refinancing and interest-burden risk. This capital structure could constrain investment, amplify downturn effects, and make deleveraging essential to long-term resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth and operating profitability
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and positive operating margins show that the venue model is scaling and generating meaningful operating earnings, even though recent cost pressure and weaker conversion have reduced bottom-line profitability.
Read all positive factors
Lucky Strike Entertainment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down where Lucky Strike earns its money across different business lines (for example, food & beverage, entertainment/events, franchising/licensing). Highlights which segments drive growth and margins, exposes seasonality or concentration risk, and shows where management is investing or facing competitive pressure.
Breaks down where Lucky Strike earns its money across different business lines (for example, food & beverage, entertainment/events, franchising/licensing). Highlights which segments drive growth and margins, exposes seasonality or concentration risk, and shows where management is investing or facing competitive pressure.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyLucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$857.50M
Dividend Yield3.74%
Average Volume (3M)78.77K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.20
Revenue Growth3.66%
EPS Growth-131.10%
CountryUS
Employees12,565
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLeisure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.33
Shares Outstanding80,808,586
10 Day Avg. Volume119,999
30 Day Avg. Volume78,766
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.15
Price to Book (P/B)-4.02
Price to Sales (P/S)0.85
P/FCF Ratio-108.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$8.80Price Target Upside31.34% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.29B
Lucky Strike Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp. engages in operating bowling centers. It offers entertainment concepts with lounge seating, arcades, food and beverage offerings, and hosting and overseeing professional and non-professional bowling tournaments and...
How the Company Makes Money
Lucky Strike Entertainment primarily makes money by operating its entertainment venues and monetizing guest spending across multiple in-venue categories. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) bowling and lane-related fees (e.g., hourly lane r...
Lucky Strike Entertainment Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed cautious optimism: the company delivered modest revenue growth (+4%) and healthy adjusted EBITDA ($333M) while showing multiple operational improvements (analytics, labor efficiency, water park and Boomers EBITDA expansion) and a materially lower CapEx trajectory. Significant near-term headwinds — a pronounced June demand disruption tied to major sporting events, weather-driven volatility at water parks, ongoing California weakness, and a multi-year decline in events revenue — weighed on comps and margin in the period. Management emphasized conservative guidance for fiscal 2027 ($340M–$360M adjusted EBITDA), targeted marketing ROI discipline, continued portfolio rationalization, and a focus on deleveraging. Overall, positives (revenue/EBITDA growth, strong water-park and Boomers momentum, cost and CapEx discipline, and operational improvements) meaningfully offset the temporary external shocks and integration risks, with the tone centered on execution to capture recovery.Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenue grew 4% year-over-year to $1.245 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $333 million for fiscal 2026, reflecting profitability despite a tougher consumer environment and deliberate investments.
Negative Updates
June and World Cup Disruption to Demand
June comped -7% driven by unprecedented at-home sports viewership (World Cup and highly watched NBA Finals), which management estimates cost at least $7M and possibly $10M–$12M of revenue/EBITDA impact across the June/July stretch and pulled the quarter and full-year comps into slight negative territory.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenue grew 4% year-over-year to $1.245 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $333 million for fiscal 2026, reflecting profitability despite a tougher consumer environment and deliberate investments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA of $340–$360 million and same‑store sales comps of roughly +1% to +3%, with a $90 million CapEx budget (down from $114M last year and $194M two years ago) and an expected free cash flow run‑rate of about $50 million before asset sales, with the goal of paying down the revolver by June; the water‑park platform on a trailing‑12‑month basis through July produced $56 million of revenue and $22 million of EBITDA (up from $23M revenue/$11M EBITDA in FY25) and is expected to contribute roughly $28–$33 million of EBITDA in FY27 (with TTM water‑park EBITDA potentially rising to $26–28M after August), Boomers delivered $11M of EBITDA this year and is forecast at $10–$15M next 12 months, and management reiterated a long‑term 30%–32% margin target while noting near‑term margin pressure from higher marketing (spend rose from $17M to $30M, moving marketing from ~1% to ~2.5–3% of revenue) and that the FY27 guide is deliberately conservative.Lucky Strike Entertainment Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
23
Negative
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.25B | 1.20B | 1.15B | 1.06B | 911.71M |
| Gross Profit | 436.62M | 447.08M | 314.18M | 342.41M | 301.73M |
| EBITDA | 295.16M | 394.71M | 211.42M | 218.06M | 170.79M |
| Net Income | -35.78M | -10.02M | -83.58M | 82.05M | -29.93M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 3.23B | 3.16B | 3.11B | 2.84B | 1.85B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 39.36M | 59.69M | 66.97M | 195.63M | 132.24M |
| Total Debt | 3.27B | 2.63B | 2.41B | 2.26B | 1.27B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.49B | 3.33B | 3.16B | 2.54B | 1.66B |
| Stockholders Equity | -263.80M | -171.35M | -49.85M | 299.55M | 192.32M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -9.78M | 36.16M | -39.75M | 68.25M | 12.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 103.90M | 177.22M | 154.83M | 217.79M | 177.67M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -453.26M | -220.31M | -385.66M | -253.22M | -220.34M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 328.45M | 35.86M | 102.16M | 98.96M | -12.14M |
Lucky Strike Entertainment Technical Analysis
Negative
6.70
Price Trends
6.93
Negative
7.52
Negative
7.87
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.20
Positive
40.28
Neutral
54.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.56, below the 50-day MA of 6.93, and below the 200-day MA of 7.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUCK.
Lucky Strike Entertainment Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $2.27B | 28.00 | 14.46% | 0.89% | 9.82% | 15.96% | |
72 Outperform | $9.66B | 22.99 | 13.14% | ― | 12.69% | 75.05% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | $1.83B | 16.05 | -27.85% | 5.32% | -3.54% | -31.58% | |
47 Neutral | $857.50M | -18.97 | 17.63% | 3.74% | 3.66% | -131.10% | |
47 Neutral | $303.36M | -4.66 | -53.05% | 1.51% | -0.85% | -277.42% | |
45 Neutral | $241.81M | -3.34 | 15.21% | ― | -8.94% | 16.41% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment
6.29
-3.54
-36.01%
PRKS
United Parks & Resorts
40.45
-12.23
-23.22%
PLAY
Dave & Busters Entertainment
8.72
-14.56
-62.54%
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings
22.40
0.50
2.27%
XPOF
Xponential Fitness
4.91
-3.78
-43.50%
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings
43.23
14.06
48.20%
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Lucky Strike Entertainment Posts Mixed Q4 2026 Results
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026
Lucky Strike Entertainment reported its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on August 27, 2026, showing modest top-line growth but mixed profitability. Quarterly revenue rose 0.9% to $303.9 million while same-store revenue fell 2.5%, ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Lucky Strike Elevates Bobby Lavan to President-CFO Role
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Lucky Strike Entertainment promoted 44-year-old Bobby Lavan to President while he continues as Chief Financial Officer, expanding his remit over strategic execution and operational excellence across the portfolio. Lavan, who joine...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.