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Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC) AI Stock Analysis

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LSCC

Lattice Semiconductor

(NASDAQ:LSCC)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:$103.00▲(5.07% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

LSCC scores as a balanced setup: strong cash flow and upbeat, raised guidance from the latest earnings call are key positives, but they are meaningfully offset by pressured profitability and a sharp rise in leverage. The stock’s downtrend signals and an extremely high P/E further constrain the overall score despite strong growth expectations.

Positive Factors
Exceptional growth and backlog visibilityThe combination of rapid current growth, raised multi-year expectations, and backlog visibility into 2028 indicates that demand is supported by customer programs rather than only a short-lived quarterly surge. This provides a durable foundation for revenue expansion over the next several periods.
Negative Factors
Material increase in leverageThe sharp increase in leverage reduces financial flexibility compared with Lattice’s prior balance-sheet position and raises the importance of sustained operating performance. Debt obligations could constrain capital allocation if growth or margins weaken, even though management expects leverage to decline.

Lattice Semiconductor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.

$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00M$200.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Asia has reasserted itself as Lattice’s primary growth engine, climbing from 2024 weakness into a strong 2025–early‑2026 ramp driven by compute/communications and AI demand; Americas and Europe remain smaller and more volatile, meaning near‑term upside hinges on continued Asian server momentum. Management’s upbeat guidance and the accretive AMI acquisition amplify upside but also concentrate exposure to data‑center cycles and create near‑term cash and integration risk amid backend supply constraints. Monitor Asia bookings/backlog and channel inventory fall as the best confirmatory signals for sustainable multi‑quarter growth.

Data provided by:The Fly

Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%LSCC+46.18%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$13.92B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.94M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
302.5
Beta (1Y)
2.37
Revenue Growth
63.43%
EPS Growth
63.92%
Country
US
Employees
1,174
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

Lattice Semiconductor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Hillsboro, Oregon, and established in 1983, Lattice Semiconductor Corporation, through its various entities, specializes in the global design and distribution of semiconductor solutions across Asia, Europe, and the Americas. The comp...

How the Company Makes Money

Lattice makes money primarily by selling semiconductor devices and supporting development tools that enable customers to design Lattice FPGAs into end products. The company’s core revenue stream is product revenue from its low-power FPGA families (an...

Lattice Semiconductor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:2.71%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 14, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record revenue and earnings, broad-based growth across Compute & Communications and Industrial & Embedded, better-than-expected AMI performance, improving supply conditions, strong backlog visibility, and materially raised long-term growth expectations. The main challenges were prior supply constraints, supplier cost increases and expedite fees, higher investment levels, and conservative assumptions for the second half of 2027, but management characterized these issues as manageable and reported that supply metrics were improving.

Positive Updates

Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Strong Earnings Growth
Third-quarter revenue reached a record $291 million, up 45% sequentially and 118% year-over-year. Non-GAAP EPS was $0.72, up more than 155% year-over-year, approximately 160% year-over-year according to the detailed results, and above the high end of guidance.

Negative Updates

Prior-Quarter Supply Pinch Point and Elevated Delinquencies
Management said the prior quarter experienced a supply pinch point that resulted in higher-than-normal delinquencies. The company has since reported that delinquencies are going down significantly and lead times have decreased.

Company Guidance

For Q4 2026, Lattice expects revenue of between $325 million and $345 million, with the midpoint representing approximately 130% year-over-year growth and 15% sequential growth, an annualized revenue run rate above $1.3 billion; non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be 72% ± 1%, non-GAAP operating expense between $95 million and $101 million, income tax rate between 4% and 6%, and non-GAAP EPS in a range of $0.82-$0.86 per share, with a midpoint of $0.84 representing 160% year-over-year growth. Full-year 2026 revenue is expected to be approximately $1 billion, roughly 90% growth over 2025, FPGA revenue to surpass $900 million, representing greater than 70% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share of approximately $2.50, up about 140% year-over-year; net leverage is expected to be under 2x EBITDA by the end of 2026. For 2027, Lattice expects revenue growth of at least 60% year-over-year, or 60% or better growth from its projected 2026 revenue base of approximately $1 billion, and revenue to continue to grow at over 30% CAGR for the next five years; AMI is expected to be around the $200 million± run rate business through the year, with margins expected to expand into the high 70s.

Lattice Semiconductor Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: strong TTM revenue growth (+24.2%) and robust cash generation (TTM FCF $255M, +20.6% growth) support the profile, but net profitability has weakened materially (TTM net margin 5.5% and ~0.6% in the latest annual period) and leverage increased sharply (debt-to-equity ~0.66 in TTM), raising financial risk if margins don’t recover.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue808.80M523.26M509.40M737.15M660.36M515.33M
Gross Profit546.11M356.94M340.40M514.67M452.05M321.68M
EBITDA126.92M55.96M106.94M255.37M226.26M133.94M
Net Income44.74M3.08M61.13M259.06M178.88M95.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.61B883.12M843.90M840.89M798.71M726.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments128.28M133.89M136.29M128.32M145.72M131.57M
Total Debt925.31M78.23M15.25M27.05M148.82M182.88M
Total Liabilities1.19B169.07M132.97M148.87M311.55M314.86M
Stockholders Equity1.42B714.05M710.93M692.02M487.16M411.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow254.82M132.58M119.89M249.49M215.47M157.89M
Operating Cash Flow291.18M175.11M140.88M269.59M238.81M167.72M
Investing Cash Flow-1.06B-62.31M-37.69M-33.25M-34.93M-89.80M
Financing Cash Flow782.92M-115.70M-94.46M-253.72M-188.07M-128.61M

Lattice Semiconductor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price98.03

Price Trends

50DMA114.10Negative
100DMA123.00Negative
200DMA116.10Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.01Negative
RSI40.87Neutral
STOCH64.36Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LSCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 98.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.05, below the 50-day MA of 114.10, and below the 200-day MA of 116.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LSCC.

Lattice Semiconductor Risk Analysis

Lattice Semiconductor disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lattice Semiconductor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Lattice Semiconductor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

LSCC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AMDAMD69Neutral$797.92B86.7811.58%―41.87%129.15%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
LSCCLSCC61Neutral$15.25B302.474.89%―63.43%63.92%
AIPAIP59Neutral$889.65M-17.90-357.77%―33.81%-7.37%
MCHPMCHP58Neutral$40.91B100.596.90%2.81%20.93%―
QUIKQUIK48Neutral$151.30M-9.41-50.90%―-9.42%-61.14%
INTCINTC47Neutral$309.71B-21.95-11.24%―12.08%-17126.43%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%LSCCAMDINTCMCHPQUIKAIPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
LSCC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LSCCLattice Semiconductor Corporation98.0334.5454.40%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.404.40170.8673.16%
INTCIntel52.2514.1237.03%
MCHPMicrochip Technology64.8510.0118.25%
QUIKQuickLogic7.340.192.66%
AIPArteris, Inc.15.931.4510.01%

Lattice Semiconductor Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Lattice Semiconductor Adds Experienced Independent Directors to Board

Positive
Oct 22, 2026

On October 21, 2026, Lattice Semiconductor’s board expanded from eight to ten members and appointed industry veterans John McCool and Raejeanne Skillern as independent directors, with standard cash retainers and prorated RSU awards vesting in M...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026