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Lam Research (LRCX)
NASDAQ:LRCX

Lam Research (LRCX) AI Stock Analysis

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LR

Lam Research

(NASDAQ:LRCX)

78Outperform
Lam Research demonstrates strong financial health and positive earnings call results, indicating resilience and potential for future growth in the semiconductor industry. While technical indicators suggest some caution due to overbought conditions, the overall strong financial performance and positive guidance outweigh these concerns, leading to a favorable stock score.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Lam Research is considered a top semiconductor equipment pick due to its ability to navigate tariff risks and outperform in the wafer fab equipment market.
Operational Improvements
Operational improvements and investments during the NAND downturn have led to a structural improvement in Lam Research's gross margins, bringing them closer to a long-term target.
Technological Advancements
LRCX stands well-positioned to benefit from a range of technological transitions across both memory and logic.
Negative Factors
China Revenue Impact
A $700 million sales headwind from restrictions on China customers may impact Lam Research's second-half revenue.
Export Restrictions
China revenue mix is expected to trend lower due to export restrictions, impacting revenue in the second half of CY25.
Macro Uncertainty
Expectations for 2H revenue decline as uncertain macro backdrop dampens the outlook.

Lam Research (LRCX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lam Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLam Research Corporation (LRCX) is a leading supplier of wafer fabrication equipment and services to the global semiconductor industry. The company operates in the technology sector, focusing on the design, manufacture, and servicing of equipment used in the production of integrated circuits. Lam Research’s core products include etch, deposition, strip, and clean equipment, which are critical for the fabrication of semiconductors used in a wide range of electronic devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyLam Research generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor manufacturing equipment and related services. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of new equipment, spare parts, and comprehensive service agreements that offer maintenance and support for installed systems. Lam's financial performance is significantly influenced by its relationships with major semiconductor manufacturers, as well as its ability to innovate and provide cutting-edge solutions that meet the evolving demands of chipmakers. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading technology firms and research institutions contribute to its earnings by fostering advancements in semiconductor production technology.

Lam Research Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating how well the company adapts to market demands and technological advancements.
Chart InsightsLam Research's Systems revenue rebounded in early 2024 after a challenging 2023, driven by technological advances and strategic investments. The Customer Support segment showed consistent growth, reflecting strong demand for services. The earnings call highlighted a 20% year-over-year increase in CSBG revenue for the December quarter, underscoring its importance amid challenges like decreased China revenue and customer concentration risks. Lam's focus on advanced packaging and R&D investments, such as Cryo 3.0, positions it well for future growth, despite potential headwinds.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lam Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lam Research exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability, a solid balance sheet, and effective cash flow management. While revenue growth is moderate, the company's strong profitability metrics and efficient capital management provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lam Research shows robust profitability with a strong gross profit margin of 48.1% and net profit margin of 27.2% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth has been moderate at 15% compared to the previous annual period. The EBIT margin is solid at 30.9%, indicating efficient operational management. Despite the decline in revenue from the previous annual period, the company's profitability metrics remain strong, highlighting resilience in the semiconductor market.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, reflecting a balanced leverage position. Return on equity is impressive at 48.98%, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 47.6% ensures a strong capital structure. The high ROE and manageable debt levels position Lam Research well within the industry, although the equity growth could be more aggressive.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Lam Research demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 in TTM. The free cash flow growth rate is 2.94%, indicating consistent cash generation. Operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.96, showcasing efficient conversion of earnings to cash. Despite a decrease in operating cash flow from the previous period, the company maintains a healthy cash flow position, supporting its operational and strategic investments.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.91B17.43B17.23B14.63B10.04B
Gross Profit
7.05B7.78B7.87B6.81B4.61B
EBIT
4.26B5.17B5.38B4.48B2.67B
EBITDA
4.91B5.64B5.72B4.79B2.94B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.83B4.51B4.61B3.91B2.25B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.85B5.37B3.66B5.73B6.71B
Total Assets
18.74B18.78B17.20B15.89B14.56B
Total Debt
4.98B5.01B5.01B5.00B5.81B
Net Debt
-864.52M-325.51M1.48B583.42M895.55M
Total Liabilities
10.21B10.57B10.92B9.86B9.38B
Stockholders Equity
8.54B8.21B6.28B6.03B5.18B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.26B4.68B2.55B3.24B1.92B
Operating Cash Flow
4.65B5.18B3.10B3.59B2.13B
Investing Cash Flow
-370.61M-534.56M612.27M73.27M-244.08M
Financing Cash Flow
-4.00B-2.83B-4.58B-4.17B-623.93M

Lam Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price75.36
Price Trends
50DMA
72.21
Positive
100DMA
75.33
Positive
200DMA
76.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.13
Negative
RSI
59.17
Neutral
STOCH
87.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LRCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.02, above the 50-day MA of 72.21, and below the 200-day MA of 76.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LRCX.

Lam Research Risk Analysis

Lam Research disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lam Research reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lam Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$124.33B20.2335.19%1.02%4.45%-10.01%
78
Outperform
$93.58B20.5953.14%1.19%20.33%31.89%
78
Outperform
$264.48B28.7855.21%0.84%16.46%21.29%
AMAMD
76
Outperform
$159.47B98.313.90%21.71%99.00%
74
Outperform
$89.85B25.20104.10%0.90%20.44%44.14%
60
Neutral
$10.83B10.47-6.71%2.99%7.73%-12.97%
48
Neutral
$86.98B-18.66%2.46%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LRCX
Lam Research
75.36
-15.18
-16.77%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
102.84
-49.08
-32.31%
AMAT
Applied Materials
155.61
-52.37
-25.18%
ASML
ASML Holding
706.21
-216.90
-23.50%
INTC
Intel
21.42
-8.24
-27.78%
KLAC
KLA
701.20
-10.71
-1.50%

Lam Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong performance in revenue and gross margins, with record-breaking results in foundry revenues and strategic wins in product development. However, challenges in the memory systems segment, particularly in China, and the potential impacts of tariffs create a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Foundry Revenue
Lam Research achieved a record quarter for foundry revenues, demonstrating solid product momentum and leading-edge technology inflections. Foundry represented 48% of systems revenue, up from 35% in the previous quarter.
Gross Margin and Operating Margin Excellence
The highest quarterly gross margin percentage since Lam merged with Novelis in 2012 was achieved at 49%, and the operating margin reached 32.8%, both exceeding previous records.
Strong Performance in Data Center and Logic Segments
Significant gains in deposition and etch intensity due to semiconductor device complexity were noted. The ACARA system solidified its market-leading position in conductor etch.
Innovative Product Developments and Customer Wins
Lam's atomic layer deposition (ALD) products and the Altus Halo system have secured multiple key wins for spacer applications and increased adoption across leading 3D NAND customers.
Customer Support Business Group Achievements
The Customer Support Business Group generated approximately $1.7 billion in revenue for the March quarter, a 21% increase from the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased Memory Systems Revenue
Memory systems revenue was 43% of total systems revenue, a decrease from 50% in the prior quarter, with non-volatile memory accounting for 20%, down from 24%.
China Revenue Challenges
China region accounted for 31% of revenue, flat from the prior quarter, with restrictions affecting shipments to a domestic China customer classified as a non-volatile memory producer.
Deferred Revenue and Advanced Payments
The deferred revenue balance remained flat at $2 billion, with advanced payments trending lower.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
The ongoing tariff and global economic environment presents dynamic challenges, with potential impacts on customer demand and supply chain operations.
Company Guidance
During the Lam Research March 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial results, with revenues reaching $4.72 billion, an 8% increase from the prior quarter. Gross margin was 49%, representing a record for the company since the Novelis merger, and operating margin was 32.8%. The guidance for the June quarter includes expected revenues of $5 billion, gross margin of 49.5%, and operating margin of 33.5%. Lam's strategic focus is on expanding its served market and gaining market share through key technology inflections such as Gate All Around and advanced packaging. The company is also seeing growth in its Customer Support Business Group (CSBG), particularly in upgrades, despite headwinds in the Reliant segment. The overall industry forecast for calendar year 2025 WFE spending remains in the $100 billion range, with Lam confident in its ability to outperform semiconductor industry growth.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.