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Lam Research Corp (LRCX)
:LRCX
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Lam Research (LRCX) AI Stock Analysis

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LRCX

Lam Research

(NASDAQ:LRCX)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$172.00
▲(6.83% Upside)
Lam Research's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook, though valuation concerns slightly temper the overall score. The company's strategic focus on AI and advanced technologies positions it well for future growth, despite regulatory challenges in China.
Positive Factors
Market Leadership
Lam Research's innovative product offerings and market leadership position it strongly in the semiconductor industry, ensuring sustained demand and competitive advantage.
Revenue Growth
Record revenue growth reflects strong demand for Lam's products and services, supporting long-term business expansion and financial stability.
AI and Advanced Technologies
The focus on AI and advanced technologies positions Lam Research to capitalize on structural industry trends, driving future growth and innovation.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges in China
Regulatory changes in China pose significant risks to Lam's revenue, potentially affecting its market presence and financial performance in a key region.
China Revenue Concentration
High revenue concentration in China exposes Lam Research to geopolitical and regulatory risks, which could impact its long-term revenue stability.
Margin Pressure
Decreasing gross margins due to tariffs and customer mix could pressure profitability, affecting Lam's ability to maintain its financial health over time.

Lam Research (LRCX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lam Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLam Research Corporation (LRCX) is a leading provider of innovative semiconductor manufacturing equipment and services, primarily serving the global semiconductor industry. The company specializes in developing advanced technologies for wafer fabrication, including etch, deposition, and clean technologies. Lam Research's products are critical for the production of integrated circuits used in a wide range of electronic devices, including smartphones, computers, and other digital products. With a focus on enabling the advancement of semiconductor manufacturing processes, Lam Research operates in a sector characterized by rapid innovation and increasing demand for smaller, more powerful chips.
How the Company Makes MoneyLam Research generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor manufacturing equipment, which includes systems for etching, deposition, and cleaning wafers, as well as related services and parts. The company earns significant income from both new equipment sales and the ongoing service and support of its installed systems, which are essential for maintaining the performance and efficiency of semiconductor production lines. Key revenue streams include system sales, service revenue from maintenance contracts, and aftermarket sales of consumables and spare parts. Strategic partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers further enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations enable Lam Research to tailor its solutions to meet the evolving needs of its customers in a competitive landscape.

Lam Research Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating where the company might focus future investments or face challenges.
Chart InsightsLam Research's Systems segment is rebounding strongly after a dip in 2023, with recent quarters showing a significant upward trend. This aligns with the company’s earnings call, highlighting record foundry revenues and strategic wins in advanced technology areas. However, the Customer Support segment faces challenges, with a mixed outlook due to declining Reliant Systems revenue. Despite potential tariff headwinds and DRAM revenue declines, Lam's strategic focus on advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory positions it well for future growth, particularly in China, which now accounts for 35% of total revenue.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lam Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 28, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted record revenue and strong demand driven by AI and advanced packaging, alongside significant investments in NAND and DRAM. However, regulatory impacts in China and tariff pressures pose challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of market leadership and demand growth outweigh the regulatory and margin pressures.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenues and Margins
Lam Research reported record revenues of $5.3 billion for the September quarter with a gross margin of 50.6% and a record operating margin of 35%.
Strong Demand in AI and Advanced Packaging
Lam is seeing robust demand driven by AI data centers and advanced packaging, estimating $8 billion of WFE spending for every $100 billion in data center investment.
NAND and DRAM Investments
The company anticipates continued strength in NAND upgrades, projecting $40 billion in WFE spending over several years, and strong DRAM investments driven by AI demand.
Product Differentiation and Market Leadership
Lam's products, like the Ether Dry Resist EUV patterning solution and ALD tools, are securing significant wins across multiple nodes and applications, reinforcing their market leadership.
Shareholder Returns and Financial Health
Lam returned approximately $990 million to shareholders through share buybacks and paid $292 million in dividends in the quarter, maintaining a strong cash position of $6.7 billion.
Negative Updates
Impact of China Regulations
The newly announced 50% affiliate rule in China is expected to impact Lam's December quarter revenue by $200 million and reduce 2026 revenues by approximately $600 million.
China Revenue Concentration and Risks
China accounted for 43% of Lam's revenue in the September quarter, with a significant portion coming from domestic Chinese customers, posing risks due to regulatory changes.
Tariffs and Mix Impact on Margins
The gross margin for the December quarter is guided lower at 48.5%, impacted by customer mix and increasing tariffs.
Company Guidance
During the September 2025 earnings call for Lam Research Corporation, the company provided guidance for the December quarter and discussed several key metrics and trends impacting their business. Lam reported record revenue of $5.3 billion for the September quarter, alongside a gross margin of 50.6% and a record operating margin of 35%. Looking ahead, for the December quarter, Lam expects revenue of $5.2 billion, plus or minus $300 million, and a gross margin of 48.5%, plus or minus one percentage point. The company anticipates a $200 million revenue impact in the December quarter from new restrictions on shipments to certain Chinese customers, with a total expected impact of $600 million in calendar year 2026. Despite these challenges, Lam projects strong growth in worldwide fabrication equipment (WFE) spending and expects the China region to account for less than 30% of overall revenues in 2026. The company also highlighted the burgeoning influence of AI on semiconductor demands, projecting $8 billion in WFE spending for every $100 billion in incremental AI data center investment. Moreover, Lam emphasized its strategic investments in advanced technologies, including NAND upgrades, AI-related demand in DRAM and foundry logic, and advanced packaging solutions, which position the company for continued growth and outperformance relative to the overall WFE market.

Lam Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lam Research demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and solid cash flow metrics. The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with manageable leverage and high returns on equity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lam Research shows strong income statement performance with a consistent increase in revenue and profit margins. The TTM data indicates a Gross Profit Margin of 49.31% and a Net Profit Margin of 29.66%, both of which are robust for the semiconductor industry. Revenue growth is positive at 6.27% TTM, reflecting a healthy upward trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.44 TTM, showing improved leverage compared to previous years. Return on Equity is impressive at 60.57% TTM, highlighting strong profitability. The Equity Ratio stands at 46.55%, indicating a stable financial structure. However, the company should continue to monitor debt levels to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow metrics are positive, with Free Cash Flow Growth at 2.38% TTM, showing improvement. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.95, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.92, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. The company has shown consistent growth in free cash flow, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2020Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.59B18.44B14.91B10.04B9.65B11.08B
Gross Profit9.66B8.98B7.05B4.61B4.36B5.17B
EBITDA7.01B6.34B4.91B3.02B2.87B3.54B
Net Income5.81B5.36B3.83B2.25B2.19B2.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.90B21.35B18.74B14.56B12.00B12.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.69B6.39B5.85B6.71B5.43B4.95B
Total Debt4.48B4.76B4.98B5.81B4.49B2.42B
Total Liabilities11.71B11.48B10.21B9.38B7.28B5.90B
Stockholders Equity10.19B9.86B8.54B5.18B4.72B6.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.85B5.41B4.26B1.92B2.87B2.38B
Operating Cash Flow6.38B6.17B4.65B2.13B3.18B2.66B
Investing Cash Flow-783.59M-708.09M-370.61M-244.08M-1.64B2.75B
Financing Cash Flow-4.96B-4.94B-4.00B-623.93M-2.39B-3.27B

Lam Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price161.01
Price Trends
50DMA
127.84
Positive
100DMA
112.76
Positive
200DMA
94.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.10
Negative
RSI
71.77
Negative
STOCH
87.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LRCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 161.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 145.94, above the 50-day MA of 127.84, and above the 200-day MA of 94.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LRCX.

Lam Research Risk Analysis

Lam Research disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lam Research reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lam Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$414.17B40.0751.72%0.63%24.91%39.95%
$159.92B38.7899.17%0.59%22.27%45.32%
$201.81B34.2962.26%0.59%25.66%46.68%
$413.57B146.694.70%27.17%108.67%
$185.26B28.1135.64%0.74%6.70%-5.95%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$187.56B2,889.210.19%-1.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LRCX
Lam Research
161.01
87.44
118.85%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
254.84
110.77
76.89%
AMAT
Applied Materials
232.55
52.84
29.40%
ASML
ASML Holding
1,070.84
403.70
60.51%
INTC
Intel
40.16
18.64
86.62%
KLAC
KLA
1,214.41
554.55
84.04%

Lam Research Corporate Events

Lam Research Corp’s Earnings Call: Record Revenues Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Lam Research Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial performance and strategic positioning, despite facing some regulatory headwinds. The company reported record revenues and strong demand driven by AI and advanced packaging, which are bolstered by significant investments in NAND and DRAM. While challenges such as regulatory impacts in China and tariff pressures exist, the overall sentiment remained positive, emphasizing market leadership and demand growth.

Lam Research Corp: Navigating the Financial Risks of Global Health Crises
Aug 13, 2025

Lam Research Corp faces significant risks from epidemics, pandemics, or disease outbreaks, which can severely impact its business operations and financial performance. Governmental measures to control disease spread, such as quarantines and travel bans, can restrict business activities, leading to facility closures, production delays, and supply chain disruptions. These challenges may result in increased costs, reduced revenues, and decreased profitability, potentially causing material adverse effects on the company’s financial results. Additionally, global health crises can disrupt financial markets and economic stability, affecting customer demand and the company’s access to financing.

Lam Research Corp Shines in Earnings Call
Aug 1, 2025

Lam Research Corp’s recent earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, driven by strong financial performance and technological advancements. The company reported significant growth in the China market and positive trends in advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory (HBM). However, challenges such as a decline in DRAM revenue, potential tariff headwinds, and uncertainty in long-term wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending were also highlighted.

Lam Research Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Jul 31, 2025

Lam Research Corporation is a global leader in the semiconductor industry, providing innovative wafer fabrication equipment and services that enable the production of advanced chips. The company is headquartered in Fremont, California, and is recognized for its superior systems engineering and technology leadership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025