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Lenovo Group (LNVGY)
OTHER OTC:LNVGY

Lenovo Group (LNVGY) AI Stock Analysis

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Lenovo Group

(OTC:LNVGY)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
Lenovo Group's overall stock score reflects strong financial health, particularly in cash flow and profitability metrics, despite some pressure on operating margins. The earnings call was positive, highlighting record growth and strategic advancements in AI. While technical analysis shows a bearish trend, the valuation remains attractive, suggesting potential upside for value-focused investors. External challenges such as tariffs are noted, but the company's strategic initiatives and robust performance across segments are key strengths.

Lenovo Group (LNVGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lenovo Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLenovo Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, manufactures, and markets technology products and services. It operates through Intelligent Devices Group, Infrastructure Solutions Group, and Solutions and Services Group segments. The company offers commercial and consumer personal computers, as well as servers and workstations; and a family of mobile Internet devices, including tablets and smartphones. It also provides laptops, monitors, accessories, smart home and collaboration solutions, augmented and virtual reality, commercial internet of things, and smart infrastructure data center solutions. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes IT products, computers, computer hardware, and peripheral equipment; and offers IT, business planning, management, supply chain, finance, administration support, procurement agency, data management, intellectual property, and investment management services. Further, it is involved in the retail and service business for consumer electronic products and related digital services; development, ownership, licensing, and sale of communications hardware and software; and develops software and applications. Additionally, the company is involved in motherboard design and system, full-rack assembly across server, storage, and other products; and provides device-, infrastructure-, and software-as-a-service. It operates in China, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. Lenovo Group Limited was founded in 1984 and is based in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyLenovo generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from its PC and Smart Devices (PCSD) segment, which includes sales of desktops, laptops, tablets, and other smart devices. This segment represents the bulk of Lenovo's income, driven by its strong market presence and brand recognition. Additionally, Lenovo's Data Center Group (DCG) contributes to its revenue by providing servers, storage, and networking products. The Mobile Business Group (MBG) adds to earnings through the sale of smartphones. Significant partnerships, such as those with Intel and Microsoft, enhance product offerings and market reach, further supporting Lenovo's revenue model.

Lenovo Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong overall performance with significant growth in revenue and profits across all business segments. The company navigated well through geopolitical challenges and tariff impacts, showcasing resilience and strategic foresight. However, the sudden tariff imposition and increased expenses due to financial derivatives posed challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Profit Growth
Group revenue grew more than 21% year-on-year to USD 69 billion, the second highest ever. Non-HKFRS net profit surged by 36% year-on-year to USD 1.4 billion.
Strong Performance in Intelligent Devices Group (IDG)
IDG achieved 13% year-on-year revenue growth with an operating margin of 7.2%. PC market leadership was expanded, and smartphone revenue saw a hyper growth of 27% year-on-year.
Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) Achievements
ISG concluded a year of hyper growth with record revenue of USD 15 billion, representing a 63% year-on-year increase, and achieved profitability for two consecutive quarters.
Solutions & Services Group (SSG) Performance
SSG achieved record revenues and profits for a fourth consecutive year with revenue increasing by 13% year-on-year to USD 8.5 billion and a record operating margin of 22.7%.
AI Innovations and Strategic Positioning
Significant progress in personal AI and enterprise AI, with the launch of Lenovo's first personal and enterprise AI super agents.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Sudden implementation of a 25% tariff in March had a significant impact on performance, costing approximately USD 50 million to USD 60 million in the last quarter.
Increased Operating Expenses Due to Warrants
Operating expenses included a fair value loss on derivative financial liabilities relating to the warrants, amounting to approximately USD 118 million for the quarter.
Company Guidance
In the recent Lenovo earnings call, significant financial and operational achievements were highlighted, showcasing robust growth across the company's business units. The group reported a 21% year-on-year increase in revenue, reaching USD 69 billion, with a notable 36% increase in non-HKFRS net income to USD 1.4 billion. The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) saw a 13% revenue growth and maintained a 7.2% operating margin, while the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) achieved a record USD 15 billion in revenue, marking a 63% year-on-year growth, with profitability in the last two quarters. The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) recorded a 13% revenue increase, with a 21% operating margin. Lenovo's strategic focus on hybrid AI, the expansion of its global footprint, and significant investments in R&D, totaling USD 2.3 billion, underpin its ability to leverage AI-driven demand and enhance market competitiveness. The company also highlighted its adaptive manufacturing capabilities, which mitigate geopolitical risks like tariffs, and its initiatives in the Middle East, strengthened by strategic partnerships.

Lenovo Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lenovo's financial performance is solid, with strong cash flow and profitability metrics. The income statement shows consistent growth and efficiency, though there is pressure on operating margins. The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and high return on equity, suggesting effective use of equity. However, the low equity ratio indicates a need for monitoring. Cash flow metrics are robust, with significant free cash flow growth and efficient conversion of income into cash.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Lenovo's income statement reveals strong gross profit margins of 16.3% TTM, with a net profit margin of 2.3%. The company has shown resilience with a revenue growth rate of 15.9% from the previous annual report, despite a 7.1% decline compared to two years ago. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 3.4% and 5.0% respectively, indicating stable earnings potential. However, the EBIT margin has decreased from 4.3% two years ago, suggesting some pressure on operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity stands at 30.7% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low at 11.2%, suggesting limited equity buffer. The company's total assets have grown, but stockholders' equity has decreased compared to two years ago, posing a potential concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Lenovo's cash flow metrics are strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 170.7% TTM, reflecting robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.75, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.27 supports the company's healthy cash position. Despite these strengths, there is a need to monitor capital expenditure trends affecting free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
65.93B56.86B61.95B71.62B60.74B50.72B
Gross Profit
10.74B9.80B10.50B12.05B9.77B8.36B
EBIT
2.22B2.01B2.67B3.08B2.18B1.44B
EBITDA
3.28B3.56B4.15B4.38B3.25B2.43B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.54B1.01B1.61B2.03B1.21B718.85M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.12B3.57B4.32B3.96B3.13B3.62B
Total Assets
44.72B38.75B38.92B44.51B37.99B32.13B
Total Debt
3.98B3.96B4.36B5.93B4.42B6.44B
Net Debt
46.87M401.86M109.27M2.00B1.35B2.89B
Total Liabilities
38.58B32.67B32.87B39.12B34.38B28.07B
Stockholders Equity
5.03B5.58B5.59B4.99B3.56B4.19B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.96B725.09M1.22B2.79B2.81B1.26B
Operating Cash Flow
2.70B2.01B2.80B4.08B3.65B2.21B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.17B-1.28B-1.92B-1.50B-975.90M-956.95M
Financing Cash Flow
-923.43M-1.34B-413.78M-1.76B-3.23B-238.49M

Lenovo Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.77
Price Trends
50DMA
24.06
Negative
100DMA
26.30
Negative
200DMA
25.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
40.30
Neutral
STOCH
10.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNVGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.44, below the 50-day MA of 24.06, and below the 200-day MA of 25.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNVGY.

Lenovo Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$20.46B17.49108.51%2.10%5.00%22.19%
77
Outperform
$14.12B10.0823.76%4.14%18.43%71.68%
72
Outperform
$73.87B17.25-179.12%1.67%7.67%
STSTX
68
Neutral
$25.29B17.22-109.27%2.41%36.29%
WDWDC
66
Neutral
$17.98B9.8028.45%21.22%
HPHPQ
64
Neutral
$23.39B9.6084.33%4.54%2.08%-12.41%
61
Neutral
$11.56B10.44-6.88%2.93%7.49%-8.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNVGY
Lenovo Group
22.77
-5.37
-19.08%
HPQ
HP
24.91
-9.25
-27.08%
NTAP
NetApp
98.77
-17.97
-15.39%
STX
Seagate Tech
119.15
29.92
33.53%
WDC
Western Digital
52.19
-3.68
-6.59%
DELL
Dell Technologies
108.08
-25.34
-18.99%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.