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LandBridge Company LLC Class A (LB) AI Stock Analysis

LB

LandBridge Company LLC Class A

(NYSE:LB)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$89.00â–²(6.47% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/01/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (notably cash flow strength and improved recent profitability) and a constructive earnings call with reaffirmed guidance and strong margin/FCF metrics. These positives are offset by weak near-term technical momentum and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield).

Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and conversionRobust operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings are converting into cash efficiently, supporting reinvestment, acquisitions, dividends, and buybacks. This cash-generative profile is especially valuable for a capital-light platform because it can fund growth without relying entirely on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Leverage remains at the upper target boundaryLeverage at the top of management’s target range reduces financial flexibility if operating conditions weaken or investment opportunities require additional funding. Although maturities extend to 2030, the existing debt burden can constrain capital allocation and increase the importance of continued cash-flow performance.

LandBridge Company LLC Class A (LB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%LB+42.56%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$6.44B
Dividend Yield
0.55%
Average Volume (3M)
277.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
37.0
Beta (1Y)
1.28
Revenue Growth
44.09%
EPS Growth
62.65%
Country
US
Employees
4
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LandBridge Company LLC focuses on overseeing land and natural assets to bolster and optimize oil and natural gas production across the United States. The company possesses substantial surface acreage, specifically within and adjacent to the Delaware...

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:10.68%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a broadly positive operational and financial performance: record revenue, very high adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow margins, expanding liquidity, strong commercial traction in digital infrastructure (seven counterparties / >10 GW), and disciplined capital allocation including dividends and buybacks. Identified risks are execution and timing on converting LOIs to firm projects, regulatory scrutiny in the Texas data center approval process, and the company sitting at the upper end of its leverage target. Overall, the highlights (strong growth, high margins, cash generation, sizable water and land assets, and meaningful pipeline momentum) materially outweigh the lowlights, which are largely execution and timing risks rather than immediate financial deterioration.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue Growth
Q2 revenue of $66.8M, up 41% year-over-year and 31% sequentially, reported as a record quarter.

Negative Updates

Opportunities Still Largely Non-Binding
The >10GW digital pipeline is largely LOI/option/late-stage diligence and not yet converted to firm contracts or revenue; conversion gating items include power availability, interconnection timing, financing, and diligence.

Company Guidance

LandBridge reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $210 million to $230 million (a raise announced last quarter) after reporting record Q2 revenue of $66.8 million (+41% YoY, +31% sequential) and Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $59.8 million (+41% YoY, +33% sequential) at an 89% margin; operating cash flow was $41.4 million and free cash flow $40.2 million (+11% YoY) with a 60% free cash flow margin, while capital expenditures were $1.1 million and net investing cash use totaled $11.3 million (including $10.2 million of bolt‑on acquisitions). The company ended the quarter with total liquidity of $269.8 million (cash $39.8 million and $230 million revolver), total borrowings of $545.2 million with no maturities until 2030 and net leverage of 2.5x (targeting 2.0–2.5x); subsequent to quarter end the revolver was increased to $375 million (expandable to $475 million) and pricing improved by 25 bps. Management emphasized modest capital needs, a $0.12 per‑share quarterly dividend, a $50 million repurchase program through December 2027, continued commercialization progress (seven digital/power counterparties representing >10 GW), access to ~13.4 million acre‑feet of brackish groundwater, and that oil & gas royalties remain a limited exposure (~5% of Q2 revenue) with prevailing produced‑water royalty rates near $0.15/barrel.

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong cash generation stands out (robust TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow, with FCF exceeding net income and ~28% FCF growth). Profitability has improved into TTM with strong margins, but results have shown volatility across periods and leverage appears elevated/uncertain in the latest snapshots, which tempers the score.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue225.45M199.09M109.95M72.86M51.78M
Gross Profit208.33M181.08M98.97M60.66M41.22M
EBITDA149.06M125.64M-7.39M79.32M3.63M
Net Income46.32M30.13M5.11M63.17M-6.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B1.37B1.00B288.95M276.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.80M30.74M37.03M37.82M25.35M
Total Debt535.72M560.28M381.24M128.68M61.01M
Total Liabilities545.46M572.07M395.41M138.20M66.06M
Stockholders Equity355.53M340.30M436.01M150.75M209.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.05M122.04M66.65M50.26M17.21M
Operating Cash Flow155.52M126.27M67.64M53.04M20.50M
Investing Cash Flow-226.55M-233.07M-724.35M-2.77M-11.67M
Financing Cash Flow90.48M100.51M655.92M-37.80M3.27M

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price83.59

Price Trends

50DMA84.31Negative
100DMA79.25Positive
200DMA73.32Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.66Negative
RSI53.64Neutral
STOCH91.78Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.63, below the 50-day MA of 84.31, and above the 200-day MA of 73.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LB.

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Risk Analysis

LandBridge Company LLC Class A disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LandBridge Company LLC Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

LB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
DMLPDMLP87Outperform$1.46B16.4628.25%10.72%13.91%-1.27%
BSMBSM81Outperform$3.16B12.2925.56%8.22%0.64%2.99%
KRPKRP75Outperform$2.17B20.0312.70%9.48%10.33%―
TPLTPL72Outperform$22.88B42.2535.77%0.70%20.82%17.23%
LBLB69Neutral$6.44B36.9914.12%0.55%44.09%62.65%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%LBDMLPTPLBSMKRPTXODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
LB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LBLandBridge Company LLC Class A83.5923.0238.00%
DMLPDorchester Minerals29.808.2538.26%
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation331.6825.348.27%
BSMBlack Stone Minerals LP14.852.8523.74%
KRPKimbell Royalty Partners16.885.1043.26%
TXOTXO Energy Partners LP14.032.1017.59%

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

LandBridge upsizes senior notes to strengthen financing

Positive
Oct 1, 2026

On October 1, 2026, DBR Land Holdings LLC, a subsidiary of LandBridge Company LLC, completed an upsized private placement of $125 million in additional 6.250% senior notes due 2030, bringing the total outstanding in this series to $625 million. The n...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

LandBridge Upsizes DBR Senior Notes Private Placement

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

On September 22, 2026, LandBridge Company LLC announced that its subsidiary DBR Land Holdings LLC priced an upsized private placement of $125 million in 6.250% senior notes due 2030 at 99.375% of par, increased from a previously planned $100 million...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

LandBridge Announces Private Offering of Additional Senior Notes

Positive
Sep 22, 2026

On September 22, 2026, LandBridge Company LLC announced that its subsidiary DBR Land Holdings LLC intends, subject to market conditions, to launch a private offering of $100 million in additional 6.250% senior notes due 2030 to eligible purchasers in...

Executive/Board Changes

LandBridge Announces Planned Retirement of Key Executive Officer

Neutral
Sep 21, 2026

On September 18, 2026, LandBridge Company LLC announced that Jason Williams, its Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer who also serves as principal accounting officer, has notified the company of his intent to retire in July 2027....

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing

LandBridge Reports Record Q2 Results and Strategic Actions

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, LandBridge reported record revenue of $66.8 million, up 41% year-over-year, and net income of $31.0 million, with a 46% margin, alongside Adjusted EBITDA of $59.8 million and robust free cash flow generation. The...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026