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Kilroy Realty (KRC)
:KRC

Kilroy Realty (KRC) AI Stock Analysis

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Kilroy Realty

(NYSE:KRC)

65Neutral
Kilroy Realty's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance with strong balance sheet attributes and a moderate valuation. While technical analysis indicates a lack of momentum, the high dividend yield provides a buffer against challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as occupancy declines and financial performance concerns. Strategic corporate events further support the company's growth potential.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Q4 FFO beat expectations, indicating strong financial performance for the quarter.
Leasing Activity
Leasing activity was the strongest in five and a half years.
Portfolio Valuation
The -15% YTD sell-off in KRC shares presents the opportunity to gain exposure to a high quality portfolio at a low valuation.
Negative Factors
Financial Forecast
Forecast for core FFO year-over-year growth is negative for 2025 and 2026, with estimates below consensus, indicating potential challenges for KRC.
Market Demand
Weaker office demand following the pandemic has led to low retention and downsizings by tenants, especially on the West Coast, creating a persistently elevated amount of available office space in KRC’s key markets.
Occupancy
Occupancy continued to erode, active developments remain unleased, and 2025 guidance suggests tenant retention could fall short of the 30% level achieved in 2024.

Kilroy Realty (KRC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kilroy Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKilroy Realty Corporation (NYSE: KRC, the company, KRC) is a leading West Coast landlord and developer, with a major presence in San Diego, Greater Los Angeles, the San Francisco Bay Area, and the Pacific Northwest. The company has earned global recognition for sustainability, building operations, innovation and design. As pioneers and innovators in the creation of a more sustainable real estate industry, the company's approach to modern business environments helps drive creativity, productivity and employee retention for some of the world's leading technology, entertainment, life science and business services companies. KRC is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) and member of the S&P MidCap 400 Index with more than seven decades of experience developing, acquiring and managing office and mixed-use projects. As of September 30, 2020, KRC's stabilized portfolio totaled approximately 14.3 million square feet of primarily office and life science space that was 92.2% occupied and 95.5% leased. The company also had 808 residential units in Hollywood and San Diego, which had a quarterly average occupancy of 85.0% and 37.5%, respectively. In addition, KRC had seven in-process development projects with an estimated total investment of $1.9 billion, totaling approximately 2.3 million square feet of office and life science space. The office and life science space was 90% leased.
How the Company Makes MoneyKilroy Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing office and mixed-use space to tenants. The company's income is derived from long-term lease agreements, providing a stable and predictable cash flow. As a REIT, Kilroy Realty benefits from favorable tax treatment, as it is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Additionally, the company actively engages in property development and acquisition, which can lead to increased rental income and capital appreciation over time. Kilroy Realty also focuses on maintaining high occupancy rates and managing operational costs effectively to maximize profitability. Strategic partnerships and relationships with key tenants in technology and creative industries further contribute to Kilroy's financial performance.

Kilroy Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kilroy Realty's financial health is stable, with steady revenue growth and efficient cost management despite a decline in profitability. The balance sheet shows strong equity with no current debt, reducing financial risk. Cash flow analysis indicates adequate cash generation but modest conversion to free cash flow.
Income Statement
Kilroy Realty's income statement shows moderate revenue growth of 0.5% from the previous year, indicating stability in its operations. The gross profit margin stands at 52.2%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 12.9% from 18.8% last year, highlighting a decline in profitability. The EBIT margin is 21.7%, which is relatively stable, but the EBITDA margin has decreased to 53.2%, suggesting increased operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
75
Kilroy Realty's balance sheet demonstrates strong equity with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, indicating no reliance on debt financing for the current period. The company's equity ratio is 42.5%, reflecting a solid equity base. Return on equity has decreased to 2.7% from last year’s 3.9%, pointing to reduced profitability on equity. Overall, the balance sheet remains robust with low financial risk.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant increase to $151 million from last year's $59 million, representing a growth rate of 155.8%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.7, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow to net income ratio is only 1.03, suggesting limited conversion of profits to free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.14B1.13B1.10B955.04M898.40M
Gross Profit
783.24M778.62M775.93M685.46M637.68M
EBIT
-2.06M329.91M326.44M286.58M242.53M
EBITDA
354.12M686.21M684.05M596.63M538.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-19.92M212.24M175.22M628.14M116.33M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
193.66M794.83M370.93M441.55M759.47M
Total Assets
12.66B11.40B10.80B10.58B10.00B
Total Debt
4.73B5.05B4.39B4.19B4.02B
Net Debt
4.56B4.54B4.04B3.78B3.29B
Total Liabilities
5.29B5.74B5.12B4.89B4.72B
Stockholders Equity
5.38B5.43B5.44B5.44B5.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
40.17M58.77M5.63M-1.28B-160.47M
Operating Cash Flow
541.15M602.59M592.24M516.40M455.59M
Investing Cash Flow
-225.04M-800.40M-553.19M-747.88M-542.13M
Financing Cash Flow
-660.58M360.60M-118.75M-164.57M833.32M

Kilroy Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.88
Price Trends
50DMA
32.44
Negative
100DMA
35.03
Negative
200DMA
35.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
49.17
Neutral
STOCH
48.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.30, below the 50-day MA of 32.44, and below the 200-day MA of 35.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KRC.

Kilroy Realty Risk Analysis

Kilroy Realty disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kilroy Realty reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kilroy Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CUCUZ
67
Neutral
$4.74B84.321.15%4.53%10.93%-31.07%
KRKRC
65
Neutral
$3.87B18.333.87%6.66%0.53%-1.38%
HIHIW
65
Neutral
$3.15B18.267.21%6.85%-2.01%31.64%
60
Neutral
$2.95B11.320.26%8508.24%6.34%-14.00%
SLSLG
58
Neutral
$4.21B663.10-0.13%5.48%13.36%94.82%
BXBXP
56
Neutral
$11.32B732.74-0.10%6.03%3.74%-102.51%
DEDEI
52
Neutral
$2.94B109.371.03%5.25%-3.33%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRC
Kilroy Realty
31.88
-0.05
-0.16%
BXP
Boston Properties
64.74
7.21
12.53%
CUZ
Cousins Properties
27.79
5.14
22.69%
DEI
Douglas Emmett
14.14
1.04
7.94%
HIW
Highwoods Properties
29.19
4.34
17.46%
SLG
SL Green Realty
54.73
5.84
11.95%

Kilroy Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of strong leasing activity and strategic accomplishments, such as significant deals and investments, alongside challenges related to occupancy declines and development uncertainties. While there are positive signs of recovery and growth opportunities, there remain notable concerns about future occupancy and financial performance.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity
Signed approximately 708,000 square feet of leases in Q4 2024, marking the highest level of leasing activity since Q4 2019.
Significant Deals Completed
Executed a multi-floor lease with Walmart at Skyline Tower in Bellevue, Washington, and a 274,000 square foot new lease in the San Francisco Bay Area with a global technology company.
Promising Future Growth
Vacant space at high-quality assets represented 410 basis points of leased occupancy upside at year-end, offering substantial growth potential.
Positive Transaction Market Outlook
Deal volume and financing levels were higher year-over-year, with core capital returning to the sector.
Investment in PropTech
Made a modest investment in Fifth Wall to better integrate technology into operations and drive efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Decreased Occupancy Rates
Occupancy ended the year at 82.8%, with further declines expected in 2025 due to significant move-outs.
Challenges with Future Development Projects
Potential earnings implications in the second half of 2025 if planning for Flower Mart project concludes with development still unwarranted.
FFO Guidance Decline
The 2025 FFO guidance range is $3.85 to $4.05 per diluted share, reflecting a decrease in occupancy and same-property NOI growth projected to decline between negative 1.5% to negative 3%.
Interest Income Reduction
Interest income expected to drop significantly in 2025 from $38 million in 2024 to about $6 million.
Company Guidance
During the Kilroy Realty Corporation Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, management provided guidance for 2025, outlining several key financial metrics. The company projects FFO to range between $3.85 and $4.05 per diluted share, with an expected midpoint of $3.95. Average occupancy is anticipated to be between 80% and 82%, reflecting a decrease of roughly 300 basis points from 2024 due to anticipated move-outs. Cash same-property NOI is forecasted to decline between 1.5% and 3%, impacted by a 50 basis point decrease from base rent and a 75 basis point decrease from net recoveries. Furthermore, non-cash GAAP NOI adjustments are expected to significantly reduce to between $2 million and $5 million, down from more than $20 million in 2024, due to leasing activity patterns. Overhead costs are projected to rise slightly, with a total of $83 million to $85 million, aligning with a more sustainable future run rate. The company's approach to capital allocation remains disciplined, with plans to monetize non-core assets and maintain a flexible balance sheet.

Kilroy Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kilroy Realty Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Kilroy Realty Corporation reported its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025, highlighting a strong start to the year despite market volatility. The company achieved revenues of $270.8 million and a net income of $39.0 million, with significant leasing activity and progress in its development projects. Kilroy also announced an agreement to sell a portion of its Santa Fe Summit site, which is expected to close in 2026, indicating strategic moves to monetize its land assets.

Spark’s Take on KRC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, KRC is a Neutral.

Kilroy Realty’s overall stock score reflects stable financial performance, strong balance sheet, and moderate valuation. However, the technical analysis shows lack of momentum, and the earnings call highlights challenges in occupancy and future financial performance. The attractive dividend yield provides a buffer against these challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on KRC stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kilroy Realty Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 10, 2025

Kilroy Realty Corporation announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2024, reporting strong leasing performance with over 700,000 square feet signed in Q4, the highest since 2019. The company achieved an increase in revenues and net income compared to the previous year, indicating a robust recovery in its markets, and completed key developments such as Kilroy Oyster Point Phase 2 and a strategic PropTech investment.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.