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Kinder Morgan (KMI)
NYSE:KMI
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Kinder Morgan (KMI) AI Stock Analysis

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KMI

Kinder Morgan

(NYSE:KMI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
â–²(8.85% Upside)
Kinder Morgan's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook, supported by a robust project pipeline and strategic positioning in the natural gas segment. While technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, the company's high P/E ratio and modest revenue growth present potential risks. The attractive dividend yield and improved financial metrics from the earnings call contribute positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Kinder Morgan's ability to generate strong cash flow supports its capacity to fund dividends and debt repayment, ensuring financial stability.
Robust Project Pipeline
A strong project pipeline indicates future growth potential, particularly in the expanding natural gas market, enhancing long-term revenue prospects.
Federal Regulatory Support
Supportive regulatory environment aids in project approvals, facilitating expansion and operational efficiency, crucial for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Modest Revenue Growth
Modest revenue growth may limit competitive positioning and expansion capabilities, potentially impacting long-term market share.
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow can constrain future investments and strategic initiatives, affecting long-term growth and financial flexibility.
CO2 Segment Decline
Declining performance in the CO2 segment may reduce overall profitability and hinder diversification efforts, impacting long-term revenue streams.

Kinder Morgan (KMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kinder Morgan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) is a leading North American energy infrastructure company based in Houston, Texas. It operates through several segments, including Natural Gas Pipelines, CO2, Terminals, and Products Pipelines. KMI's core services include the transportation, storage, and distribution of natural gas, crude oil, and refined petroleum products, making it a vital player in the energy sector. The company owns and operates an extensive network of pipelines and terminals that facilitate the movement of energy resources across the continent.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinder Morgan generates revenue primarily through its fee-based business model, which comprises several key revenue streams. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment is the largest contributor, earning money by charging customers for the transportation of natural gas through its extensive pipeline network. The CO2 segment generates revenue through the sale of carbon dioxide used for enhanced oil recovery. The Terminals segment earns income by providing storage and handling services for various liquid and dry products. Additionally, the Products Pipelines segment contributes revenue through the transportation of refined products. Kinder Morgan also benefits from long-term contracts with customers, which provide stable cash flows. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other companies in the energy sector further enhance its earnings potential.

Kinder Morgan Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Net Oil Production
Average Net Oil Production
Measures the average amount of oil produced, reflecting operational efficiency and the company's capacity to meet market demand.
Chart InsightsKinder Morgan's average net oil production has been on a declining trend since 2019, with a notable drop post-2023. This suggests potential operational challenges or strategic shifts away from oil production. The absence of recent earnings call insights leaves the reasons for this decline unclear, but investors should monitor for any strategic pivots or external factors impacting production levels. The slight uptick in late 2024 might indicate stabilization efforts, though the overall downward trajectory remains a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kinder Morgan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call portrayed a generally positive outlook for Kinder Morgan, driven by strong earnings growth, a robust project pipeline, and improved financial metrics. However, challenges remain in the RNG market and CO2 segment. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly in the natural gas segment, outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
EBITDA grew by 6% and adjusted EPS increased by 16% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in the natural gas segment and the Outrigger acquisition.
Natural Gas Segment Outperformance
The natural gas segment, accounting for two-thirds of the business, exceeded budget expectations, excluding the Outrigger acquisition. Transport volumes were up 6%, and gathering volumes increased by 9% compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Robust Project Pipeline
Kinder Morgan is actively pursuing over $10 billion in potential projects, primarily in natural gas, with a current backlog of $9.3 billion.
Dividend Increase
Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2925 per share, representing a 2% increase over the 2024 dividend.
Improved Balance Sheet and Credit Ratings
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 3.9x. Fitch upgraded the senior unsecured rating to BBB+, with positive outlooks from S&P and Moody's.
Federal Regulatory Support
Benefiting from a more supportive federal regulatory process for project approval, aiding in expansion efforts.
Negative Updates
Weak RNG Volumes and RIN Prices
Lower than budgeted D3 RIN prices and RNG volumes negatively impacted earnings. Although RNG volumes improved, RINs prices remained weak.
CO2 Segment Decline
CO2 segment experienced a 14% decline in CO2 volumes and a 4% drop in oil production volumes compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Crude and Condensate Volumes Decrease
Crude and condensate volumes dropped by 3% due to taking Double H out of service for the NGL conversion project.
Company Guidance
During the Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call for Kinder Morgan, the company provided guidance emphasizing the robust demand for natural gas driven by LNG feedgas needs and electricity demands, particularly from AI data centers. S&P's Commodity Insights estimates a 130% increase in natural gas demand by 2030, reaching 31-32 Bcf per day. Kinder Morgan highlighted its strong cash generation and strategic positioning with over $9 billion in approved projects, and a backlog of $9.3 billion supported by take-or-pay contracts. The company reported a 6% increase in EBITDA and a 16% growth in adjusted EPS year-on-year, supported by the Outrigger acquisition and strong natural gas segment performance. Looking ahead, Kinder Morgan is pursuing over $10 billion in potential projects, primarily in natural gas, with internal projections estimating a 28 Bcf per day increase in natural gas demand by 2030. The company's financial strength is underscored by a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.9x and an upgrade to BBB+ by Fitch.

Kinder Morgan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinder Morgan demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient operations. The company has a strong gross profit margin and robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges include modest revenue growth and a decline in free cash flow, which may impact long-term strategic initiatives.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kinder Morgan shows a strong gross profit margin of approximately 49.1% TTM, indicating efficient control over production costs. The net profit margin stands at around 17.1% TTM, reflecting healthy profitability. Revenue has shown modest growth, with a 5.75% increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins TTM are robust at about 27.7% and 44.6%, respectively, indicating solid operational performance. However, the revenue growth rate is relatively low, which may pose challenges in the competitive market.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 1.06, suggesting a moderate level of leverage, which is typical in the industry but could pose risks in adverse conditions. Return on equity is strong at about 8.86% TTM, indicating effective management of shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at around 42.5%, showing a stable capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a balanced approach to leveraging with potential for improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow covers net income well, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.04 TTM, indicating strong cash generation ability. Free cash flow shows a decline of 11.2% from the previous year, which could impact future investment capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.98, suggesting a good capacity to support dividends and debt repayment. Overall, the cash flow situation is stable, but the decline in free cash flow growth rate warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.94B15.07B15.16B19.55B17.53B11.48B
Gross Profit5.71B5.53B5.13B5.50B6.37B4.28B
EBITDA7.72B7.63B7.25B7.03B5.85B4.41B
Net Income2.72B2.61B2.39B2.55B1.78B119.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.37B71.41B71.02B70.08B70.42B71.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.00M88.00M83.00M745.00M1.14B1.18B
Total Debt32.55B31.67B31.89B31.57B33.21B34.58B
Total Liabilities40.29B39.54B39.29B37.96B38.49B39.41B
Stockholders Equity30.77B30.53B30.31B30.74B30.82B31.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.72B3.01B4.15B3.35B4.43B2.84B
Operating Cash Flow5.57B5.63B6.49B4.97B5.71B4.55B
Investing Cash Flow-3.50B-2.63B-4.17B-2.17B-2.31B-911.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.00B-2.89B-3.01B-3.15B-3.46B-2.64B

Kinder Morgan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.56
Price Trends
50DMA
27.29
Negative
100DMA
27.43
Negative
200DMA
27.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
33.52
Neutral
STOCH
34.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.71, above the 50-day MA of 27.29, and above the 200-day MA of 27.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KMI.

Kinder Morgan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$51.55B12.0731.38%7.52%4.67%2.07%
75
Outperform
$67.21B11.5620.43%6.89%-0.55%2.14%
73
Outperform
$43.82B13.6016.05%5.86%47.00%11.86%
71
Outperform
$58.05B13.0113.73%7.74%-3.65%9.69%
71
Outperform
$61.24B21.538.88%4.21%3.95%11.32%
66
Neutral
$75.91B29.7319.64%3.18%10.57%-14.22%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMI
Kinder Morgan
27.56
3.63
15.17%
ET
Energy Transfer
16.91
1.66
10.89%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
30.95
3.85
14.21%
OKE
Oneok
69.59
-23.44
-25.20%
WMB
Williams Co
58.93
8.09
15.91%
MPLX
MPLX
50.88
10.21
25.10%

Kinder Morgan Corporate Events

Kinder Morgan Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 23, 2025

Kinder Morgan, Inc. is a leading energy infrastructure company in North America, specializing in the transportation and storage of natural gas, refined petroleum products, crude oil, and other commodities. The company operates an extensive network of pipelines and terminals, providing critical energy services across the continent.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Participate in Wolfe Conference
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Kinder Morgan announced its participation in the Wolfe Utilities, Midstream & Clean Energy Conference scheduled for September 30, 2025. The company plans to discuss its business operations and strategies, with materials and a live webcast available on its website, indicating a proactive engagement with stakeholders and industry peers.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Present at Barclays Conference
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Kinder Morgan announced its participation in the Barclays Energy-Power Conference on September 3, 2025, where company representatives will discuss its business operations. The presentation will be available via live and archived webcast on Kinder Morgan’s website, potentially impacting stakeholder engagement and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Attend Citi Natural Resources Conference
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Kinder Morgan announced its participation in the Citi 2025 Natural Resources Conference scheduled for August 12-13, 2025. This participation is aimed at discussing the company’s business and affairs, with materials to be made available on their website prior to the event, highlighting its proactive engagement with stakeholders and potential impact on its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025