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J Sainsbury
(OTC:JSAIY)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
â–²(13.07% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/22/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial strength (steady growth but thin margins, meaningful leverage, and somewhat volatile cash-flow trajectory). Technicals are supportive due to the uptrend, though overbought readings temper the outlook. Valuation is balanced by a high dividend yield versus a mid-to-high P/E for the sector, while the latest earnings call was constructive with improved guidance and cash-flow focus but notable competitive and Argos-related headwinds.
Positive Factors
Grocery Growth and Market Position
Grocery volume growth and market-share gains support Sainsbury’s position in its core category, where scale and repeat purchasing matter. Continued sales expansion suggests improved customer retention and commercial execution, providing a durable base for earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin Margins and Grocery Competition
Very thin grocery margins leave limited room to absorb wage, input-cost or promotional pressure without affecting earnings. Intense competition for volume and rising discounts can constrain pricing power, making sustained profit growth dependent on continued efficiency and disciplined execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Grocery Growth and Market Position
Grocery volume growth and market-share gains support Sainsbury’s position in its core category, where scale and repeat purchasing matter. Continued sales expansion suggests improved customer retention and commercial execution, providing a durable base for earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
J Sainsbury Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Number of Stores
Indicates the company's physical retail presence and expansion strategy, which can impact market reach and customer accessibility.
Indicates the company's physical retail presence and expansion strategy, which can impact market reach and customer accessibility.
Data provided by:
The Fly
J Sainsbury (JSAIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.06B
Dividend Yield7.15%
Average Volume (3M)1.47K
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.0
Beta (1Y)0.15
Revenue Growth-0.31%
EPS Growth10.21%
CountryUS
Employees148,498
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryGrocery Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.67
Shares Outstanding553,752,260
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume1,469
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.80
Price to Book (P/B)1.31
Price to Sales (P/S)0.24
P/FCF Ratio6.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.73
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.54
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.78
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.54
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.28
Revenue Forecast (FY)$41.87B
J Sainsbury Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
J Sainsbury plc operates as a leading retailer within the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland, engaging in a broad spectrum of activities including food, general merchandise, and clothing sales, alongside comprehensive financial services. I...
How the Company Makes Money
Sainsbury primarily makes money by selling products to consumers through its retail estate and online channels. The largest revenue stream is retail sales of food and grocery items (including fresh, ambient, and household essentials) sold through ...
J Sainsbury Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2026
(Q2-2027)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive overall. Sainsbury's reported grocery volume growth, market share gains, higher profit, improved earnings per share, strong cash flow, better ROCE, substantial customer and digital engagement gains, and progress on cost savings and the Argos sale. Management also raised the lower end of operating-profit guidance. These positives were partly offset by a subdued and highly competitive market, a slight Q2 volume underperformance versus the market, declines in General Merchandise and Clothing, moderating OnDemand growth, fresh-food input-cost pressure, and significant Argos-related impairment and separation charges.Positive Updates
Strong First-Half Grocery and Profit Performance
Sainsbury's delivered continued grocery volume growth, market share gains and profit growth in the first half. Grocery sales increased 2.9%, total Sainsbury's sales increased 2.6%, and total continuing-operations sales increased 4.5%.
Negative Updates
General Merchandise and Clothing Sales Declines
General Merchandise and Clothing sales declined 3.4% overall. General Merchandise sales fell 5% year-on-year as the company allocated more space to food and simplified the range, while Clothing sales declined around 2% in a subdued and promotional market against tough comparatives.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong First-Half Grocery and Profit Performance
Sainsbury's delivered continued grocery volume growth, market share gains and profit growth in the first half. Grocery sales increased 2.9%, total Sainsbury's sales increased 2.6%, and total continuing-operations sales increased 4.5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance is for the central case employing continued profit growth in the second half, with underlying operation profit from continuing operations of between GBP 1,025 million and GBP 1,065 million, with the central point of the range expected to grow profits 2% in the second half. Continuing operations underlying net finance costs are expected to be around GBP 300 million-GBP 310 million in 2026/2027, free cash flow more than GBP 500 million, and continuing cash capital expenditure between GBP 750 million and GBP 800 million in 2026/2027, consistent with generating at least GBP 1.6 billion over the three years to 2027. Financial Services is expected to contribute around GBP 10 million to continuing operations profit growth for the full year versus the previously guided GBP 20 million, and next year the company still expects to deliver at least half of the GBP 40 million of incremental income on a Sainsbury's-only basis, roughly another GBP 10 million of incremental income from Financial Services next year. Argos is expected to complete in February 2027, with full separation expected by February 2029, and its full-year operation profit is expected to be in line or ahead of last year.J Sainsbury Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 32.38B | 33.46B | 32.81B | 32.70B | 31.49B | 29.89B |
| Gross Profit | 1.98B | 2.06B | 2.22B | 2.34B | 2.32B | 2.21B |
| EBITDA | 2.03B | 2.13B | 2.19B | 1.99B | 1.84B | 2.40B |
| Net Income | 372.56M | 381.82M | 242.00M | 137.00M | 207.00M | 677.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.54B | 18.95B | 24.65B | 25.06B | 26.39B | 27.15B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 794.29M | 1.07B | 3.39B | 2.00B | 1.81B | 1.02B |
| Total Debt | 6.38B | 6.60B | 6.61B | 6.55B | 7.14B | 7.38B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.01B | 12.80B | 18.00B | 18.19B | 19.13B | 18.73B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.53B | 6.15B | 6.65B | 6.87B | 7.25B | 8.42B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.95B | 1.18B | 505.00M | 548.00M | 1.66B | 202.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.48B | 1.79B | 1.36B | 1.97B | 2.39B | 896.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -863.91M | -1.52B | -787.00M | -1.01B | -725.00M | -651.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.47B | -1.42B | -1.12B | -282.00M | -960.00M | -1.02B |
J Sainsbury Technical Analysis
Positive
18.13
Price Trends
18.10
Positive
18.00
Positive
17.64
Positive
Market Momentum
0.26
Negative
53.14
Neutral
39.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JSAIY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.13, above the 50-day MA of 18.10, and above the 200-day MA of 17.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JSAIY.
J Sainsbury Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $585.96M | 11.13 | 10.19% | 2.28% | 3.66% | -6.66% | |
63 Neutral | $10.06B | 20.95 | 6.39% | 7.15% | -0.31% | 10.21% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
62 Neutral | $1.59B | 15.29 | 6.30% | 0.77% | 1.02% | 84.32% | |
61 Neutral | $1.88B | 19.31 | 7.15% | 1.79% | 4.50% | -3.08% | |
54 Neutral | $38.90B | 35.61 | 17.17% | 2.19% | 1.58% | -53.21% | |
54 Neutral | $6.46B | -457.33 | -2.78% | 4.81% | 2.26% | -106.73% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
JSAIY
J Sainsbury
18.48
1.51
8.89%
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
85.49
14.11
19.76%
KR
Kroger Company
65.87
-0.32
-0.48%
VLGEA
Village Super Market
43.86
12.52
39.93%
WMK
Weis Markets
75.90
11.24
17.39%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
13.72
-3.92
-22.20%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.