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BELC Co., Ltd. (9974) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9974

BELC Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9974)

Select Model
Rating:74.5Outperform
Price Target:JPY 7,229.00â–²(7.41% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The company's solid financial foundation, marked by consistent profitability and a strong balance sheet, is the primary driver of the score. This is partially offset by technical weakness, as the stock remains in a medium-term downtrend despite recent positive momentum. Attractive valuation and a stable dividend provide additional support, but the negative free cash flow trend and overbought technical signals warrant caution.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue ExpansionSteady revenue expansion indicates continued demand for BELC’s supermarket merchandise and services across its operating regions. A larger sales base can improve the productivity of stores and distribution infrastructure, supporting durable scale benefits and creating a foundation for further earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Volatile Free Cash FlowNegative free cash flow after two positive years shows that earnings are not converting consistently into discretionary cash. Whether driven by reinvestment or working-capital absorption, the volatility can constrain liquidity, reduce capital-allocation flexibility, and make store expansion more dependent on disciplined spending.

BELC Co., Ltd. (9974) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9974-7.70%EWJ+15.69%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 141.65B
Dividend Yield
1.90%
Average Volume (3M)
36.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.6
Beta (1Y)
0.20
Revenue Growth
4.94%
EPS Growth
-9.98%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,914
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Grocery Stores

BELC Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Belc Co. Ltd. manages a widespread network of grocery supermarkets. The company offers a comprehensive selection of food items, including fresh and processed meats, seafood, produce (both fresh and prepared), dairy and egg products, various processed...

How the Company Makes Money

BELC primarily makes money through retail sales to end consumers at its Belc supermarkets. Its main revenue stream is merchandise sales, with a large portion typically coming from food categories (e.g., fresh produce, meat, seafood, deli/prepared foo...

BELC Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong income statement and balance sheet (both scored 85) reflect consistent revenue growth, stable margins, and a conservative capital structure. However, cash flow volatility and negative free cash flow (scored 70) due to high capex temper the overall financial picture, resulting in a composite score of 80.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue423.43B423.43B387.78B351.86B310.82B300.27B
Gross Profit118.89B118.89B109.42B99.95B89.87B77.10B
EBITDA26.15B26.15B24.84B21.83B20.86B19.36B
Net Income12.68B12.68B12.38B10.68B9.61B9.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets221.38B221.38B202.19B185.82B170.70B154.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.85B19.85B17.83B17.03B15.58B11.79B
Total Debt43.70B43.70B36.77B34.51B35.83B29.70B
Total Liabilities100.78B100.78B92.26B85.85B79.39B70.79B
Stockholders Equity120.59B120.59B109.92B99.97B91.30B83.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-2.27B4.72B3.80B-988.00M724.00M
Operating Cash Flow020.93B22.69B21.06B15.62B17.06B
Investing Cash Flow0-22.77B-21.72B-16.23B-15.93B-18.48B
Financing Cash Flow03.78B-165.00M-3.38B4.10B5.84B

BELC Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price6730.00

Price Trends

50DMA6586.60Positive
100DMA6531.23Positive
200DMA6850.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD46.64Negative
RSI57.60Neutral
STOCH62.25Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9974, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6730.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6419.00, above the 50-day MA of 6586.60, and below the 200-day MA of 6850.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 46.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9974.

BELC Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9974 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8198JP:819876OutperformJPY 100.24B12.95―2.67%0.90%-28.84%
JP:9974JP:997475OutperformJPY 137.09B12.61―1.90%4.94%-9.98%
JP:8167JP:816772OutperformJPY 59.67B13.14―2.91%3.50%-18.66%
JP:8194JP:819471OutperformJPY 234.21B21.60―2.51%2.59%0.10%
JP:2742JP:274269NeutralJPY 80.81B9.11―1.87%6.48%0.54%
JP:9823JP:982359NeutralJPY 49.84B8.75―2.25%21.09%6.94%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:9974JP:2742JP:8167JP:8194JP:8198JP:9823Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9974 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9974BELC Co., Ltd.6730.00-591.19-8.08%
JP:2742Halows Co., Ltd.3855.00-645.14-14.34%
JP:8167RETAIL PARTNERS CO., LTD.1374.0084.996.59%
JP:8194Life Corporation2705.00256.3510.47%
JP:8198Maxvalu Tokai Co., Ltd.3185.00-251.06-7.31%
JP:9823Mammy Mart Corporation943.00-470.47-33.28%

BELC Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Belc Posts Higher Sales but Weaker Profits, Lifts Dividend Forecast

Oct 9, 2026

Belc Co., Ltd., a Tokyo-listed supermarket and food retail operator, reported a modest 2.8% year-on-year increase in operating income to ¥216.9 billion for the six months ended August 31, 2026, but saw operating profit, ordinary profit and profit att...

Belc Cuts Full-Year Earnings Forecast as Cost Pressures and Weak Demand Bite

Oct 9, 2026

Belc Co., Ltd. has revised its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, lowering expected operating income, ordinary income, and net income while slightly raising operating revenue to 443 billion yen. The dividend...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026