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Shokubun Co., Ltd. (9969) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9969

Shokubun Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9969)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 231.00â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—three straight years of net losses and a deterioration to negative operating and free cash flow in 2026—despite improved leverage from declining debt. Technical indicators are moderately constructive but not strong enough to outweigh the fundamental and cash-flow risks, while valuation is constrained by the negative P/E and only a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2026 revenue recovery indicates that customer demand and distribution activity can rebound after weaker periods. If sustained, higher sales could improve operating leverage and provide a foundation for restoring profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net LossesThree consecutive years of net losses indicate that the business has not converted its distribution operations into consistent shareholder earnings. Continued losses can erode equity, constrain investment capacity, and increase dependence on operational recovery.

Shokubun Co., Ltd. (9969) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:9969-6.70%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.54B
Dividend Yield
1.08%
Average Volume (3M)
5,696
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-32.0
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-4.92%
EPS Growth
-246.05%
Country
Japan
Employees
326
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shokubun Co., Ltd. specializes in the conceptualization, development, and direct-to-consumer delivery of meal components and ingredients. The company also provides ready-to-eat nutritious lunch boxes and a selection of special gift items for sale. Be...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite a sharp revenue rebound in 2026 (+29.9% YoY), profitability has deteriorated with net losses persisting in 2024–2026 and EBIT near breakeven in 2025–2026. Cash generation is a major concern as operating cash flow turned negative in 2026 and free cash flow is negative in 2025–2026. The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with meaningful debt reduction by 2026, but ongoing losses and weak cash flow dominate the financial picture.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.65B6.01B6.06B6.39B7.02B6.88B
Gross Profit1.80B2.31B2.13B2.30B2.61B2.65B
EBITDA252.08M187.50M179.43M204.58M337.42M354.61M
Net Income76.25M-32.47M-69.95M-15.89M268.11M221.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.58B4.40B5.21B5.53B5.71B5.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments778.39M473.81M1.39B1.69B1.86B2.06B
Total Debt1.09B1.32B2.07B2.21B2.41B2.65B
Total Liabilities2.16B2.06B2.78B2.94B3.08B3.33B
Stockholders Equity2.41B2.34B2.43B2.60B2.63B2.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-45.22M-1.41M155.60M35.24M137.85M
Operating Cash Flow0-27.25M13.50M219.03M83.89M174.40M
Investing Cash Flow0-82.45M-15.64M-63.91M314.80M19.48M
Financing Cash Flow0-805.41M-294.53M-326.11M-605.09M-230.56M

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price231.00

Price Trends

50DMA234.40Negative
100DMA234.23Negative
200DMA239.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.98Negative
RSI41.95Neutral
STOCH66.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9969, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 231.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 231.95, below the 50-day MA of 234.40, and below the 200-day MA of 239.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9969.

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9969 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3077JP:307768NeutralJPY 7.89B14.46――――
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:3065JP:306558NeutralJPY 4.85B-98.88―0.32%-4.58%-115.94%
JP:3358JP:335855NeutralJPY 3.47B44.71―1.08%49.12%274.67%
JP:3067JP:306746NeutralJPY 4.03B59.03――-1.19%―
JP:9969JP:996946NeutralJPY 3.57B-32.04―1.08%-4.92%-246.05%
JP:2762JP:276240UnderperformJPY 2.59B-2.90――9.21%21.76%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:9969JP:2762JP:3065JP:3067JP:3077JP:3358Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9969 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9969Shokubun Co., Ltd.231.00-16.58-6.70%
JP:2762Sanko Marketing Foods Co., Ltd.59.00-41.00-41.00%
JP:3065Life Foods Co., Ltd.1585.00-38.02-2.34%
JP:3067Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd.451.00-2.00-0.44%
JP:3077Horiifoodservice Co., Ltd.1138.00573.00101.42%
JP:3358Y.S. FOOD CO., LTD.93.003.954.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026