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Shokubun Co., Ltd. (9969) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9969

Shokubun Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9969)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:JPY 232.00â–¼(-0.43% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Shokubun Co., Ltd. receives a below-average score predominantly driven by severe operational headwinds, notably sustained top-line contraction and cash burn. These fundamental weaknesses severely pressure its valuation profile and overshadow prudent, deleveraged balance sheet management. While short-to-medium-term technical indicators suggest slight stabilization, a meaningful turnaround in core profitability and free cash flow generation is required to improve its long-term outlook.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2026 revenue recovery indicates that customer demand and distribution activity can rebound after weaker periods. If sustained, higher sales could improve operating leverage and provide a foundation for restoring profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net LossesThree consecutive years of net losses indicate that the business has not converted its distribution operations into consistent shareholder earnings. Continued losses can erode equity, constrain investment capacity, and increase dependence on operational recovery.

Shokubun Co., Ltd. (9969) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:9969-5.51%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.57B
Dividend Yield
1.07%
Average Volume (3M)
5,160
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-32.3
Beta (1Y)
0.15
Revenue Growth
-4.92%
EPS Growth
-246.05%
Country
Japan
Employees
326
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shokubun Co., Ltd. specializes in the conceptualization, development, and direct-to-consumer delivery of meal components and ingredients. The company also provides ready-to-eat nutritious lunch boxes and a selection of special gift items for sale. Be...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is heavily weighed down by multi-year revenue declines, persistent net losses, and negative cash flows. However, a highly deleveraged balance sheet with stable equity provides a much-needed buffer against these core operational risks.

Income Statement

30Negative

Balance Sheet

75Positive

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.65B6.01B6.06B6.39B7.02B6.88B
Gross Profit1.80B2.31B2.13B2.30B2.61B2.65B
EBITDA252.08M187.50M179.43M204.58M337.42M354.61M
Net Income76.25M-32.47M-69.95M-15.89M268.11M221.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.58B4.40B5.21B5.53B5.71B5.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments778.39M473.81M1.39B1.69B1.86B2.06B
Total Debt1.09B1.32B2.07B2.21B2.41B2.65B
Total Liabilities2.16B2.06B2.78B2.94B3.08B3.33B
Stockholders Equity2.41B2.34B2.43B2.60B2.63B2.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-45.22M-1.41M155.60M35.24M137.85M
Operating Cash Flow0-27.25M13.50M219.03M83.89M174.40M
Investing Cash Flow0-82.45M-15.64M-63.91M314.80M19.48M
Financing Cash Flow0-805.41M-294.53M-326.11M-605.09M-230.56M

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price233.00

Price Trends

50DMA234.90Negative
100DMA233.83Negative
200DMA240.04Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.93Positive
RSI45.87Neutral
STOCH58.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9969, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 233.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 233.85, below the 50-day MA of 234.90, and below the 200-day MA of 240.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9969.

Shokubun Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9969 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3077JP:307768NeutralJPY 8.18B14.99――――
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:3065JP:306556NeutralJPY 4.85B-98.88―0.63%-4.58%-115.94%
JP:3358JP:335849NeutralJPY 3.13B40.38―1.19%49.12%274.67%
JP:9969JP:996947NeutralJPY 3.60B-32.32―1.07%-4.92%-246.05%
JP:3067JP:306746NeutralJPY 4.02B58.90――-1.19%―
JP:2762JP:276241NeutralJPY 2.67B-3.00――9.21%21.76%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%JP:9969JP:2762JP:3065JP:3067JP:3077JP:3358Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:9969 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9969Shokubun Co., Ltd.233.00-13.59-5.51%
JP:2762Sanko Marketing Foods Co., Ltd.61.00-36.00-37.11%
JP:3065Life Foods Co., Ltd.1585.00-41.02-2.52%
JP:3067Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd.450.00-4.00-0.88%
JP:3077Horiifoodservice Co., Ltd.1180.00823.00230.53%
JP:3358Y.S. FOOD CO., LTD.84.00-4.06-4.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026