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Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. (9950) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9950

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9950)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,342.00▲(0.06% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is held back primarily by mixed financial quality—especially the sharp 2026 profitability decline and two consecutive years of negative free cash flow—despite a conservatively levered balance sheet and steady revenue recovery. Technical signals are weak (negative MACD and trading below longer moving averages), and valuation is a major headwind due to the very high P/E alongside only a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue GrowthSustained revenue growth across five years indicates a continuing recovery in customer demand and business scale. For a restaurant and franchise operator, this supports the durability of the store network, brand relevance, and ability to expand revenue over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Profitability DeclineThe sharp 2026 reduction in operating profit and net income weakens confidence in near-term earnings durability. If operating performance remains close to break-even, the company will have less capacity to absorb cost pressure, reinvest in stores, or translate revenue growth into shareholder returns.

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. (9950) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:9950-1.62%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 9.80B
Dividend Yield
0.60%
Average Volume (3M)
2,668
Price to Earnings (P/E)
196.1
Beta (1Y)
0.06
Revenue Growth
8.54%
EPS Growth
-50.31%
Country
Japan
Employees
174
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Restaurants

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. manages restaurant operations across Japan and internationally. Beyond its core hospitality business, the company manufactures and sells a range of food products, including soups and extracts. It also acts as a wholesaler of comme...

How the Company Makes Money

Hachi-Ban primarily makes money through a restaurant chain model that combines (1) sales generated at company-operated restaurants and (2) income derived from franchising its brand and operating know-how. For company-operated stores, revenue is recog...

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has grown consistently from 2022–2026, and leverage is conservative with debt declining in 2026. However, profitability weakened sharply in 2026 (near break-even EBIT and materially lower net income), and free cash flow turned negative in 2025 and stayed slightly negative in 2026, indicating weaker cash conversion and higher funding needs.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.81B8.64B8.23B7.62B7.11B5.92B
Gross Profit3.85B3.73B3.63B3.42B3.28B2.53B
EBITDA305.26M298.09M486.06M429.61M382.67M-128.21M
Net Income59.67M60.14M236.20M160.53M65.18M-168.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.03B5.61B5.66B5.85B4.77B5.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments890.50M682.08M1.01B1.58B818.37M1.32B
Total Debt739.27M477.72M620.56M877.77M274.53M884.62M
Total Liabilities2.16B1.80B1.99B2.47B1.55B2.00B
Stockholders Equity3.88B3.81B3.67B3.38B3.22B3.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-22.45M-244.95M265.33M165.60M96.54M
Operating Cash Flow0359.55M418.60M499.54M385.13M144.59M
Investing Cash Flow0-503.18M-703.35M-282.80M-240.74M39.98M
Financing Cash Flow0-212.00M-317.49M526.01M-669.81M-170.46M

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3340.00

Price Trends

50DMA3356.29Negative
100DMA3381.51Negative
200DMA3400.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-2.76Negative
RSI55.14Neutral
STOCH91.67Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9950, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3340.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3321.00, below the 50-day MA of 3356.29, and below the 200-day MA of 3400.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9950.

Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9950 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2798JP:279865NeutralJPY 9.93B21.23――8.44%54.69%
JP:3082JP:308256NeutralJPY 10.81B152.95―0.76%7.95%-81.35%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3063JP:306352NeutralJPY 13.38B82.93―0.47%-2.36%141.91%
JP:9950JP:995051NeutralJPY 9.76B196.06―0.60%8.54%-50.31%
JP:3053JP:305349NeutralJPY 12.90B77.04――9.99%―
JP:2764JP:276443NeutralJPY 10.79B55.92――2.36%-88.47%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:9950JP:2764JP:2798JP:3053JP:3063JP:3082Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9950 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9950Hachi-Ban Co., Ltd.3340.00-55.03-1.62%
JP:2764Hiramatsu Inc.153.0032.0026.45%
JP:2798Y's table corporation3015.00115.003.97%
JP:3053Pepper Food Service Co., Ltd.211.0026.0014.05%
JP:3063j-Group Holdings Corp.1074.00304.7839.62%
JP:3082KICHIRI HOLDINGS & Co., Ltd.988.0062.376.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026