Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd (9853) AI Stock Analysis

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Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd

(TSE/TYO:9853)

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Rating:65Neutral

Price Target:JPY 975.00▲(7.38% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/17/26

Ginza Renoir earns a moderate score of 65, primarily supported by its strong financial turnaround, disciplined deleveraging, and solid free cash flow. However, the score is significantly weighed down by its expensive valuation (P/E of 37.49) relative to its thin profit margins, a low dividend yield, and lack of technical momentum. Future performance relies heavily on the company's ability to expand margins to justify its current premium valuation.

Positive Factors

Revenue and Profitability RecoveryRevenue growth and the return to operating and net profitability indicate that demand and store economics have improved. However, the modest 1.9% net margin means the recovery still needs to persist before earnings power is firmly established.

Negative Factors

Unproven Profitability DurabilityThe company incurred losses in 2023–2025 before earning ¥160.0M in 2026, while net margin was only about 1.9%. This history makes the recovery less proven and leaves profits vulnerable if operating performance weakens.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd (9853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Market Cap: JPY 5.55B
Dividend Yield: 0.55%
Average Volume (3M): 2,166
Price to Earnings (P/E): 28.1
Beta (1Y): 0.06
Revenue Growth: 4.58%
EPS Growth: 723.31%
Country: Japan
Employees: 151
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Restaurants

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd. was established in 1964 and primarily focuses on the coffee shop sector within Japan. Its activities extend to the production, processing, and distribution of food items, as well as the oversight...

How the Company Makes Money

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Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ginza Renoir has executed a commendable financial turnaround, successfully returning to profitability with steady revenue growth and robust free cash flow generation. The balance sheet is highly stable with disciplined debt reduction (debt-to-equity of 0.48), though thin net profit margins (1.9%) and a modest ROE (5.0%) remain primary areas for improvement.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.44B	8.35B	7.80B	7.35B	6.12B	4.56B
Gross Profit	6.80B	6.75B	6.30B	5.94B	5.13B	3.94B
EBITDA	414.71M	407.17M	218.34M	127.03M	-78.14M	619.40M
Net Income	197.09M	159.98M	-76.45M	-59.14M	-293.53M	347.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.55B	5.69B	5.89B	6.26B	6.43B	6.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.77B	1.86B	1.96B	2.29B	2.59B	3.12B
Total Debt	1.36B	1.53B	1.94B	2.22B	2.36B	2.49B
Total Liabilities	2.17B	2.44B	2.79B	3.06B	3.15B	3.27B
Stockholders Equity	3.33B	3.20B	3.06B	3.16B	3.24B	3.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0	377.25M	54.73M	-93.35M	-344.05M	81.28M
Operating Cash Flow	0	539.34M	295.80M	316.22M	-34.37M	410.11M
Investing Cash Flow	0	-207.93M	-320.41M	-454.06M	-357.19M	586.52M
Financing Cash Flow	0	-432.51M	-300.63M	-162.88M	-141.17M	381.38M

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive

Last Price908.00

Price Trends

50DMA907.82Positive

100DMA907.25Positive

200DMA917.44Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.22Negative

RSI51.39Neutral

STOCH65.87Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9853, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 908.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 907.55, above the 50-day MA of 907.82, and below the 200-day MA of 917.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9853.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9853 against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JP:3087	73Outperform	JPY 171.34B	19.28	―	1.59%	7.72%	32.66%
JP:3543	71Outperform	JPY 136.80B	20.00	―	2.03%	13.20%	13.76%
JP:7581	70Outperform	JPY 419.71B	38.12	8.59%	0.41%	17.44%	-1.16%
JP:9853	65Neutral	JPY 5.55B	28.15	―	0.55%	4.58%	723.31%
JP:3395	60Neutral	JPY 57.07B	22.34	―	2.03%	10.16%	16.31%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
JP:8153	55Neutral	JPY 136.90B	35.30	―	0.81%	6.32%	10.13%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:9853 and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
JP:9853	Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd	908.00	-14.11	-1.53%
JP:7581	Saizeriya Co	8570.00	3474.82	68.20%
JP:3087	Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.	3910.00	1505.89	62.64%
JP:3395	Saint Marc Holdings Co., Ltd.	2611.00	80.27	3.17%
JP:3543	KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.	2999.00	77.24	2.64%
JP:8153	MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.	4470.00	445.67	11.07%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd AI Stock Analysis