KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3543)
:3543
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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.
(3543)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,954.00
▼(-2.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/09/26
The score is led by a healthy financial profile: strong revenue growth, solid profitability, and reliable cash generation, alongside improving leverage. Offsetting this, technical indicators show the stock is overbought despite an uptrend, and valuation looks somewhat full at a ~22.6 P/E with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Franchise-centered recurring revenue
A franchise-first model creates durable, recurring revenue via royalties and supply margins, enabling scalable growth with limited corporate capex. This structure supports predictable cash flow and margin capture across the network, sustaining earnings quality over months.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Erosion of net margins is a structural concern if cost pressures persist or reinvestment needs rise. Lower margins reduce buffer for shocks, constrain free cash flow over time, and may force higher franchise fees or slower expansion to restore profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-centered recurring revenue
A franchise-first model creates durable, recurring revenue via royalties and supply margins, enabling scalable growth with limited corporate capex. This structure supports predictable cash flow and margin capture across the network, sustaining earnings quality over months.
Read all positive factors
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥127.00B
Dividend Yield1.88%
Average Volume (3M)183.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.3
Beta (1Y)0.14
Revenue Growth21.61%
EPS Growth11.23%
CountryJP
Employees1,023
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)141.98
Shares Outstanding46,271,400
10 Day Avg. Volume248,190
30 Day Avg. Volume183,563
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.84
Price to Book (P/B)2.67
Price to Sales (P/S)2.33
P/FCF Ratio12.18
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)152.44
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥61.27B
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. operates a coffee shop franchise business under the Komeda Coffee and Okagean brand names in Japan. It also involved in the real estate rental activities. KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered...
How the Company Makes Money
KOMEDA Holdings primarily makes money through a franchise-centered model. Key revenue streams include: (1) Franchise-related income: recurring fees paid by franchisees for the right to operate under the company’s brands (e.g., royalties and other ...
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 57.23B | 47.06B | 43.24B | 37.84B | 33.32B |
| Gross Profit | 16.85B | 15.54B | 14.46B | 12.83B | 11.89B |
| EBITDA | 11.62B | 10.24B | 10.18B | 9.27B | 8.75B |
| Net Income | 6.46B | 5.81B | 5.97B | 5.42B | 4.93B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 110.39B | 116.31B | 112.79B | 100.31B | 97.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 8.86B | 10.39B | 7.92B | 6.68B | 6.21B |
| Total Debt | 42.64B | 43.98B | 44.48B | 45.56B | 46.62B |
| Total Liabilities | 60.23B | 70.70B | 69.68B | 59.69B | 60.03B |
| Stockholders Equity | 49.86B | 45.62B | 43.11B | 40.54B | 37.56B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 10.95B | 10.05B | 10.40B | 9.18B | 6.91B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 12.35B | 11.23B | 11.44B | 10.26B | 8.15B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.77B | 642.00M | -1.96B | -1.58B | 9.71B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -9.50B | -9.51B | -8.24B | -8.25B | -18.98B |
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
3035.00
Price Trends
2879.56
Negative
2903.64
Negative
2940.02
Negative
Market Momentum
-40.08
Negative
45.63
Neutral
61.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3035 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2715.60, above the 50-day MA of 2879.56, and above the 200-day MA of 2940.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -40.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3543.
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥118.94B | 15.76 | ― | 2.09% | 6.94% | 8.70% | |
68 Neutral | ¥127.00B | 19.34 | ― | 1.88% | 21.61% | 11.23% | |
65 Neutral | ¥260.61B | 21.61 | 9.66% | 0.55% | 15.12% | 18.16% | |
63 Neutral | ¥110.54B | 24.12 | ― | 0.70% | 6.85% | 45.60% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | ¥629.95B | 35.17 | 9.53% | 0.55% | 12.02% | 20.18% | |
61 Neutral | ¥54.33B | 19.80 | ― | 1.95% | 24.74% | 1.53% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
KOMEDA Issues Restricted Treasury Shares to Align Pay with Long-Term Performance
Jun 24, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 19,836 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation for three directors, 13 directors and executive officers of its subsidiaries, and 125 subsidiary employees, at a disposal price of ¥...
KOMEDA Lifts Full-Year Dividend, Exceeds Five-Year Shareholder Return Target
Apr 15, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a year-end dividend of ¥30 per share for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, matching its latest forecast and bringing the full-year dividend to ¥60 per share. The payout, funded from retained ...
KOMEDA Holdings Unveils Five-Year CONNECT 2030 Medium-Term Plan
Apr 8, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings has unveiled a new five-year medium-term management plan, branded “CONNECT 2030,” covering fiscal years from ending February 2027 through February 2031. The plan is positioned as a roadmap to realize the group’s m...
Komeda Holdings Lifts Earnings and Dividends, Projects Further Growth for FY2027
Apr 8, 2026
Komeda Holdings reported strong results for the year ended February 28, 2026, with revenue climbing 21.6% to ¥57.2 billion and net income attributable to owners rising 11.1% to ¥6.46 billion, while equity and earnings per share also impr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.