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Trusco Nakayama Corporation (9830) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9830

Trusco Nakayama Corporation

(TSE/TYO:9830)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,394.00▼(-3.27% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily held back by deteriorating cash conversion (declining operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in 2024–2025) and a weak price trend below major moving averages with negative MACD. These are partially offset by attractive valuation (low P/E) and a moderate dividend yield, alongside otherwise steady revenue growth and a generally sound balance sheet despite rising leverage.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthSustained revenue growth indicates expanding demand across Trusco Nakayama’s industrial distribution activities rather than reliance on a single period. Continued sales progression supports operating scale, customer reach, and the company’s ability to fund investment while serving a broad MRO market.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionDeteriorating operating cash flow and consecutive years of negative free cash flow weaken the conversion of reported earnings into financial resources. If sustained, this can reduce funding available for logistics investment, growth initiatives, debt service, and shareholder returns, limiting financial flexibility.

Trusco Nakayama Corporation (9830) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:9830+4.29%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 164.12B
Dividend Yield
2.46%
Average Volume (3M)
117.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.0
Beta (1Y)
0.77
Revenue Growth
10.37%
EPS Growth
1.94%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,809
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Trusco Nakayama Corporation operates as a specialized global trading enterprise, conducting business both within Japan and across international markets. The company's primary activities include the wholesale distribution of a broad spectrum of produc...

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid revenue growth and generally stable operating profitability are offset by weakening cash generation. Operating cash flow fell sharply in 2025 and free cash flow was negative in 2024–2025, while leverage increased (debt-to-equity rising to ~0.43) alongside some margin compression and flat net income despite higher sales.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

71Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue340.01B320.04B295.02B268.15B246.45B213.40B
Gross Profit64.09B61.18B55.64B51.32B45.49B39.34B
EBITDA28.69B28.82B28.98B24.24B22.04B17.61B
Net Income16.34B15.88B16.09B12.27B10.63B8.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets339.51B308.36B271.48B246.04B226.29B209.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.12B47.59B41.35B43.28B39.40B32.38B
Total Debt105.00B80.00B56.50B50.00B45.00B52.00B
Total Liabilities146.19B122.11B97.48B85.32B75.29B76.20B
Stockholders Equity193.32B186.25B174.00B160.72B151.00B132.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-10.31B-6.27B3.63B8.36B7.02B
Operating Cash Flow08.18B13.02B14.80B12.18B15.07B
Investing Cash Flow0-21.57B-18.27B-13.11B-5.17B-8.74B
Financing Cash Flow019.64B3.24B1.93B-9.11B7.72B

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2475.00

Price Trends

50DMA2407.52Positive
100DMA2368.54Positive
200DMA2342.11Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-3.42Negative
RSI56.82Neutral
STOCH67.24Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9830, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2475.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2420.85, above the 50-day MA of 2407.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2342.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -3.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9830.

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9830 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8061JP:806184OutperformJPY 100.03B11.50―3.18%13.02%51.95%
JP:8103JP:810371OutperformJPY 38.14B11.32―4.45%17.27%-5.58%
JP:3176JP:317668NeutralJPY 62.60B10.87―3.72%8.96%23.50%
JP:8052JP:805262NeutralJPY 58.35B10.28―3.65%-1.14%6.30%
JP:9830JP:983059NeutralJPY 161.96B10.03―2.46%10.37%1.94%
JP:7456JP:745658NeutralJPY 153.43B6.71―1.75%47.87%109.92%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:9830JP:3176JP:7456JP:8052JP:8061JP:8103Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9830 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9830Trusco Nakayama Corporation2475.0094.013.95%
JP:3176Sanyo Trading Co., Ltd.1075.00342.5846.77%
JP:7456Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd.6280.001966.0845.58%
JP:8052Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.3015.00481.5319.01%
JP:8061Seika Corporation2866.00699.5532.29%
JP:8103Meiwa Corporation943.00175.9922.94%

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Corporate Events

Trusco Nakayama Posts Strong Nine-Month Sales, Maintains Dividend Amid Margin Pressure

Oct 30, 2026

Trusco Nakayama reported consolidated net sales of ¥266.1 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, up 12.1% year on year, with EBITDA rising 11.3% and profit attributable to owners increasing 4.4%. Despite modest profit growth relative t...

Trusco Nakayama Raises Interim Dividend and Upgrades FY2026 Forecast on Strong Demand

Aug 7, 2026

Trusco Nakayama has approved an interim dividend of 32.5 yen per share as of June 30, 2026, up from its previous forecast of 30 yen and higher than the prior year’s 30.5 yen, bringing total payouts to 2,143 million yen from retained earnings. The mov...

Trusco Nakayama lifts H1 sales, keeps full-year outlook as profits level off

Aug 7, 2026

Trusco Nakayama reported consolidated net sales of ¥178.2 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2026, up 12.6% year on year, with operating profit rising 5.6% to ¥12.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing 5.8% to ¥8.4 bi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026